0x97d3…3f3c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x97d37d16d1774785197bfa23ffed625a8e493f3c
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+8.3pp

ROI

+17%

Tasa de acierto

70% @ 61.6¢

Brier

0.129

Resueltas

2297

Tamaño med.

$47

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	69% (68/98)	+24%	98
Other	63% (57/91)	+6%	91
Geopolítica	70% (14/20)	-18%	20
Cultura	100% (7/7)	+12%	7

Política98 apuestas
Tasa acierto
69% (68/98)
ROI
+24%
Other91 apuestas
Tasa acierto
63% (57/91)
ROI
+6%
Geopolítica20 apuestas
Tasa acierto
70% (14/20)
ROI
-18%
Cultura7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (7/7)
ROI
+12%

Historial

68% acierto · 146/216

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Turkey by December 31, 2027?	Yes	$0	5.0¢	Perdió
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	$96	32.0¢	Perdió
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$217	69.9¢	Ganó
Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?	No	$164	82.0¢	Ganó
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	$210	70.0¢	Perdió
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	$309	57.9¢	Ganó
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	$23	6.7¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	$302	75.5¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	$12	5.9¢	Perdió
Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?	No	$24	95.3¢	Ganó
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	$199	83.8¢	Ganó
Turkish troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	$43	85.0¢	Ganó
Will Collins's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rot"?	No	$125	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Collins's 2026 Word of the Year contain "maxx"?	No	$178	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Collins's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rage"?	No	$18	91.0¢	Ganó
Will Collins's 2026 Word of the Year contain "lore"?	No	$128	90.8¢	Ganó
Will Collins's 2026 Word of the Year contain "agent"?	No	$77	86.0¢	Ganó
Will Collins's 2026 Word of the Year contain "larp"?	No	$170	88.1¢	Ganó
Will Collins's 2026 Word of the Year contain "slop"?	No	$90	90.0¢	Ganó
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	$96	24.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	$126	63.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	$192	43.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	$8	52.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	$427	63.5¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	$473	70.1¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	$54	27.0¢	Perdió
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	$212	58.0¢	Ganó
Saudi troops enter Sanaa by October 31, 2026?	No	$134	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni by October 31, 2026?	No	$178	92.0¢	Ganó
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?	No	$153	94.9¢	Ganó
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	$61	97.1¢	Ganó
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	$47	93.2¢	Ganó
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	$357	91.4¢	Ganó
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	$138	34.1¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	$357	85.4¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	No	$172	26.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$2.4k	67.5¢	Ganó
Iran leadership change by September 30?	Yes	$32	8.0¢	Perdió
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?	Yes	$68	75.2¢	Ganó
Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	$40	85.0¢	Ganó
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?	No	$292	86.2¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$3.0k	60.9¢	Ganó
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?	No	$176	87.8¢	Ganó
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	$116	58.0¢	Perdió
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?	Yes	$1	2.0¢	Perdió
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?	No	$15	51.0¢	Ganó
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?	Yes	$155	27.4¢	Perdió
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	No	$10	52.0¢	Perdió
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$170	85.0¢	Ganó
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$646	43.7¢	Perdió

Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Turkey by December 31, 2027?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 5.0¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Perdió
No$96 @ 32.0¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$217 @ 69.9¢
Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?Ganó
No$164 @ 82.0¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Perdió
No$210 @ 70.0¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$309 @ 57.9¢
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Perdió
No$23 @ 6.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ganó
Yes$302 @ 75.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?Perdió
No$12 @ 5.9¢
Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?Ganó
No$24 @ 95.3¢
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Ganó
No$199 @ 83.8¢
Turkish troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?Ganó
No$43 @ 85.0¢
Will Collins's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rot"?Ganó
No$125 @ 89.0¢
Will Collins's 2026 Word of the Year contain "maxx"?Ganó
No$178 @ 89.0¢
Will Collins's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rage"?Ganó
No$18 @ 91.0¢
Will Collins's 2026 Word of the Year contain "lore"?Ganó
No$128 @ 90.8¢
Will Collins's 2026 Word of the Year contain "agent"?Ganó
No$77 @ 86.0¢
Will Collins's 2026 Word of the Year contain "larp"?Ganó
No$170 @ 88.1¢
Will Collins's 2026 Word of the Year contain "slop"?Ganó
No$90 @ 90.0¢
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ganó
No$96 @ 24.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Perdió
Yes$126 @ 63.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?Perdió
Yes$192 @ 43.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 52.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ganó
No$427 @ 63.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ganó
No$473 @ 70.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Perdió
Yes$54 @ 27.0¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ganó
No$212 @ 58.0¢
Saudi troops enter Sanaa by October 31, 2026?Ganó
No$134 @ 89.0¢
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni by October 31, 2026?Ganó
No$178 @ 92.0¢
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Ganó
No$153 @ 94.9¢
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ganó
No$61 @ 97.1¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ganó
No$47 @ 93.2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ganó
No$357 @ 91.4¢
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Perdió
No$138 @ 34.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ganó
Yes$357 @ 85.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Perdió
No$172 @ 26.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$2.4k @ 67.5¢
Iran leadership change by September 30?Perdió
Yes$32 @ 8.0¢
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?Ganó
Yes$68 @ 75.2¢
Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Ganó
No$40 @ 85.0¢
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Ganó
No$292 @ 86.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$3.0k @ 60.9¢
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?Ganó
No$176 @ 87.8¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Perdió
Yes$116 @ 58.0¢
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Ganó
No$15 @ 51.0¢
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Perdió
Yes$155 @ 27.4¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?Perdió
No$10 @ 52.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$170 @ 85.0¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$646 @ 43.7¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$1.2k	89.5¢
Will Cambridge Dictionary's 2026 Word of the Year contain "agent"?	Cultura	No	$349	83.3¢
Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "maxx"?	Cultura	No	$302	85.4¢
Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rot"?	Cultura	No	$258	82.2¢
Will Cambridge Dictionary's 2026 Word of the Year contain "lore"?	Cultura	No	$239	90.3¢
Will Cambridge Dictionary's 2026 Word of the Year contain "vibe"?	Cultura	No	$232	86.3¢
Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "larp"?	Cultura	No	$207	88.7¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	Política	Yes	$204	51.0¢
Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "agent"?	Cultura	No	$202	83.4¢
Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "larp"?	Cultura	No	$180	90.0¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Política	Yes	$129	92.5¢
Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rot"?	Cultura	No	$117	84.9¢
Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "vibe"?	Cultura	No	$117	90.2¢
Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?	Política	No	$108	71.9¢
Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "agent"?	Cultura	No	$101	82.9¢
Will Trump veto a bill by February 1, 2027?	Política	Yes	$84	55.7¢
Will Cambridge Dictionary's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rot"?	Cultura	No	$83	91.0¢
Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "lore"?	Cultura	No	$62	89.0¢
Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "bait"?	Cultura	No	$58	92.8¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Política	Yes	$51	51.0¢
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$50	93.0¢
Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "maxx"?	Cultura	No	$27	91.0¢
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	—	No	$23	6.7¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	Política	Yes	$15	3.8¢

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Política
No$1.2k @ 89.5¢
Will Cambridge Dictionary's 2026 Word of the Year contain "agent"?Cultura
No$349 @ 83.3¢
Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "maxx"?Cultura
No$302 @ 85.4¢
Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rot"?Cultura
No$258 @ 82.2¢
Will Cambridge Dictionary's 2026 Word of the Year contain "lore"?Cultura
No$239 @ 90.3¢
Will Cambridge Dictionary's 2026 Word of the Year contain "vibe"?Cultura
No$232 @ 86.3¢
Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "larp"?Cultura
No$207 @ 88.7¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?Política
Yes$204 @ 51.0¢
Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "agent"?Cultura
No$202 @ 83.4¢
Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "larp"?Cultura
No$180 @ 90.0¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Política
Yes$129 @ 92.5¢
Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rot"?Cultura
No$117 @ 84.9¢
Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "vibe"?Cultura
No$117 @ 90.2¢
Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?Política
No$108 @ 71.9¢
Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "agent"?Cultura
No$101 @ 82.9¢
Will Trump veto a bill by February 1, 2027?Política
Yes$84 @ 55.7¢
Will Cambridge Dictionary's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rot"?Cultura
No$83 @ 91.0¢
Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "lore"?Cultura
No$62 @ 89.0¢
Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "bait"?Cultura
No$58 @ 92.8¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Política
Yes$51 @ 51.0¢
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?Geopolítica
No$50 @ 93.0¢
Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "maxx"?Cultura
No$27 @ 91.0¢
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?—
No$23 @ 6.7¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?Política
Yes$15 @ 3.8¢