0x961b…2b00

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x961b2866b349bad732c6fce081af9090be4d2b00
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+4.3pp

ROI

+17%

Tasa de acierto

28% @ 23.7¢

Brier

0.135

Resueltas

761

Tamaño med.

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	51% (43/85)	+13%	85
Other	53% (37/70)	+34%	70
Economía	23% (11/48)	-18%	48
Ciencia	38% (15/39)	-4%	39
Geopolítica	48% (11/23)	+31%	23
Tecnología	75% (6/8)	+103%	8
Deportes	43% (3/7)	+33%	7
Cultura	50% (1/2)	+236%	2

Política85 apuestas
Tasa acierto
51% (43/85)
ROI
+13%
Other70 apuestas
Tasa acierto
53% (37/70)
ROI
+34%
Economía48 apuestas
Tasa acierto
23% (11/48)
ROI
-18%
Ciencia39 apuestas
Tasa acierto
38% (15/39)
ROI
-4%
Geopolítica23 apuestas
Tasa acierto
48% (11/23)
ROI
+31%
Tecnología8 apuestas
Tasa acierto
75% (6/8)
ROI
+103%
Deportes7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
43% (3/7)
ROI
+33%
Cultura2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
+236%

Historial

45% acierto · 127/282

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Arnab peak as a very severe cyclonic storm?	No	$3	14.0¢	Perdió
Will DoorDash acquire Instacart in 2026?	Yes	$3	55.0¢	Ganó
Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	Yes	$20	65.0¢	Ganó
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$15	43.7¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Hyperliquid" in September?	No	$25	54.0¢	Ganó
Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	Yes	$32	42.9¢	Perdió
Will annual inflation be 2.9% or less in September?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Perdió
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	Yes	$20	61.6¢	Ganó
Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	$20	13.9¢	Ganó
Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?	Meta	$5	34.0¢	Ganó
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 14, 2026?	Yes	$10	21.0¢	Ganó
Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?	Yes	$4	1.0¢	Perdió
Boxing: Tommy Fury vs. Eddie Hall	Fury	$30	61.0¢	Ganó
Will Zacharia say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House Press Briefing?	Yes	$15	51.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" this week?	Yes	$12	13.0¢	Perdió
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?	Yes	$10	21.0¢	Ganó
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 23m?	Yes	$5	3.0¢	Perdió
Will Trudy peak at Category 2?	Yes	$7	3.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Coal" during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium?	Yes	$15	35.0¢	Perdió
Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in September?	No	$16	81.0¢	Ganó
Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in September?	Yes	$8	6.4¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	$15	29.0¢	Perdió
Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31?	No	$10	15.0¢	Perdió
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September?	Yes	$4	1.3¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	$10	28.8¢	Perdió
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.0% or less in September?	Yes	$1	1.8¢	Perdió
FDA approves Elevar Therapeutics' Rivoceranib + camrelizumab?	Yes	$10	29.0¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	$11	64.8¢	Ganó
Will the US lose more than 50k jobs in September?	No	$22	83.0¢	Ganó
Will the US lose more than 50k jobs in September?	Yes	$1	3.3¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	$15	55.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Milk" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	$4	65.0¢	Ganó
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?	No	$12	61.0¢	Ganó
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?	Yes	$20	37.0¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump's tie be red?	No	$0	28.0¢	Ganó
Will Zacharia say "Go Ahead" during the next White House Press Briefing?	Yes	$15	46.0¢	Perdió
Will Zacharia say "Iran" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?	Yes	$15	35.0¢	Perdió
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	$25	68.7¢	Ganó
No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?	Yes	$1	8.1¢	Perdió
Will Choi-wan peak as a Very strong typhoon?	Yes	$30	33.6¢	Ganó
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?	Yes	$15	33.2¢	Ganó
Trump alleges Georgia foreign election interference by July 16?	No	$12	39.3¢	Ganó
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$7	28.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium?	Yes	$15	57.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Tractor" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	No	$10	41.0¢	Perdió
What percent of U.S. cattle inventory area will be in drought? (week of September 1)	Yes	$20	55.0¢	Ganó
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$0	3.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week?	Yes	$2	19.5¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Fake News" during his announcement?	Yes	$15	54.0¢	Ganó
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?	Yes	$25	71.0¢	Ganó

Will Arnab peak as a very severe cyclonic storm?Perdió
No$3 @ 14.0¢
Will DoorDash acquire Instacart in 2026?Ganó
Yes$3 @ 55.0¢
Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?Ganó
Yes$20 @ 65.0¢
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 43.7¢
Will Trump say "Hyperliquid" in September?Ganó
No$25 @ 54.0¢
Will Trudy peak at Category 4?Perdió
Yes$32 @ 42.9¢
Will annual inflation be 2.9% or less in September?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?Ganó
Yes$20 @ 61.6¢
Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Ganó
Yes$20 @ 13.9¢
Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?Ganó
Meta$5 @ 34.0¢
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 14, 2026?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 21.0¢
Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 1.0¢
Boxing: Tommy Fury vs. Eddie HallGanó
Fury$30 @ 61.0¢
Will Zacharia say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House Press Briefing?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 51.0¢
Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" this week?Perdió
Yes$12 @ 13.0¢
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 21.0¢
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 23m?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 3.0¢
Will Trudy peak at Category 2?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 3.0¢
Will Trump say "Coal" during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 35.0¢
Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in September?Ganó
No$16 @ 81.0¢
Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in September?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 6.4¢
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?Perdió
No$15 @ 29.0¢
Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31?Perdió
No$10 @ 15.0¢
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 1.3¢
Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 28.8¢
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.0% or less in September?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 1.8¢
FDA approves Elevar Therapeutics' Rivoceranib + camrelizumab?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 29.0¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Ganó
No$11 @ 64.8¢
Will the US lose more than 50k jobs in September?Ganó
No$22 @ 83.0¢
Will the US lose more than 50k jobs in September?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 3.3¢
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 55.0¢
Will Trump say "Milk" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?Ganó
No$4 @ 65.0¢
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?Ganó
No$12 @ 61.0¢
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 37.0¢
Will Donald Trump's tie be red?Ganó
No$0 @ 28.0¢
Will Zacharia say "Go Ahead" during the next White House Press Briefing?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 46.0¢
Will Zacharia say "Iran" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 35.0¢
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30?Ganó
Yes$25 @ 68.7¢
No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 8.1¢
Will Choi-wan peak as a Very strong typhoon?Ganó
Yes$30 @ 33.6¢
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?Ganó
Yes$15 @ 33.2¢
Trump alleges Georgia foreign election interference by July 16?Ganó
No$12 @ 39.3¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$7 @ 28.0¢
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium?Ganó
Yes$15 @ 57.0¢
Will Trump say "Tractor" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?Perdió
No$10 @ 41.0¢
What percent of U.S. cattle inventory area will be in drought? (week of September 1)Ganó
Yes$20 @ 55.0¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 3.0¢
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 19.5¢
Will Trump say "Fake News" during his announcement?Ganó
Yes$15 @ 54.0¢
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?Ganó
Yes$25 @ 71.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 51.0 or higher?	Economía	Yes	$50	85.0¢
Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027?	Política	No	$50	66.6¢
Will another sitting Australian MP join One Nation in 2026?	Política	No	$45	39.9¢
Elon Musk meets with Putin by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$40	77.5¢
Elon Musk meets with Putin by March 31, 2027?	Política	No	$40	81.0¢
Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31?	Política	No	$40	88.5¢
Israeli Knesset election annulled?	Política	No	$40	88.0¢
Court finds BBC liable for defaming Trump?	Política	No	$40	65.0¢
Supreme Court sides with Catholic preschools in Colorado funding case?	Política	Yes	$40	61.0¢
María Corina Machado arrested before 2027?	Política	No	$40	84.0¢
Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?	Política	No	$35	38.2¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day reach $1B in domestic box office in 2026?	Cultura	No	$30	80.2¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria?	Política	Yes	$30	35.4¢
Netanyahu out before the next Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting?	Política	No	$30	75.0¢
Danielle Smith out as Premier of Alberta by March 31?	Política	No	$30	80.9¢
Supreme Court revives Arizona's proof-of-citizenship voting rules?	Política	Yes	$30	71.0¢
Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by December 31, 2026?	Economía	No	$30	76.0¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Andrey Gyurov win Bulgaria?	Política	No	$30	76.0¢
ICE Agent charged in NYC incident by December 31?	Política	No	$30	70.5¢
EU debt downgrade before 2027?	Política	No	$30	85.0¢
Turkey military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$30	85.0¢
Danielle Smith out as Premier of Alberta by November 30?	Política	No	$30	85.3¢
Turkish troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$30	79.0¢
Will more than 575,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?	Ciencia	No	$30	28.9¢
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?	Ciencia	Yes	$30	26.9¢
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?	Política	No	$30	85.0¢
Elon Musk out as Project Meridian co-lead by January 27?	Política	No	$30	69.0¢
Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?	Política	No	$30	60.3¢
Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 52.0 or higher?	Economía	Yes	$30	67.0¢
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2026?	Cultura	No	$30	68.6¢

Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 51.0 or higher?Economía
Yes$50 @ 85.0¢
Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027?Política
No$50 @ 66.6¢
Will another sitting Australian MP join One Nation in 2026?Política
No$45 @ 39.9¢
Elon Musk meets with Putin by December 31, 2026?Política
No$40 @ 77.5¢
Elon Musk meets with Putin by March 31, 2027?Política
No$40 @ 81.0¢
Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31?Política
No$40 @ 88.5¢
Israeli Knesset election annulled?Política
No$40 @ 88.0¢
Court finds BBC liable for defaming Trump?Política
No$40 @ 65.0¢
Supreme Court sides with Catholic preschools in Colorado funding case?Política
Yes$40 @ 61.0¢
María Corina Machado arrested before 2027?Política
No$40 @ 84.0¢
Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?Política
No$35 @ 38.2¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day reach $1B in domestic box office in 2026?Cultura
No$30 @ 80.2¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria?Política
Yes$30 @ 35.4¢
Netanyahu out before the next Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting?Política
No$30 @ 75.0¢
Danielle Smith out as Premier of Alberta by March 31?Política
No$30 @ 80.9¢
Supreme Court revives Arizona's proof-of-citizenship voting rules?Política
Yes$30 @ 71.0¢
Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by December 31, 2026?Economía
No$30 @ 76.0¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Andrey Gyurov win Bulgaria?Política
No$30 @ 76.0¢
ICE Agent charged in NYC incident by December 31?Política
No$30 @ 70.5¢
EU debt downgrade before 2027?Política
No$30 @ 85.0¢
Turkey military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Geopolítica
No$30 @ 85.0¢
Danielle Smith out as Premier of Alberta by November 30?Política
No$30 @ 85.3¢
Turkish troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026?Política
No$30 @ 79.0¢
Will more than 575,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?Ciencia
No$30 @ 28.9¢
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?Ciencia
Yes$30 @ 26.9¢
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?Política
No$30 @ 85.0¢
Elon Musk out as Project Meridian co-lead by January 27?Política
No$30 @ 69.0¢
Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?Política
No$30 @ 60.3¢
Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 52.0 or higher?Economía
Yes$30 @ 67.0¢
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2026?Cultura
No$30 @ 68.6¢