0x8f42…b88f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8f42ae0a01c0383c7ca8bd060b86a645ee74b88f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+6.9pp

ROI

+30%

Tasa de acierto

51% @ 44.1¢

Brier

0.152

Resueltas

3615

Tamaño med.

$504

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	54% (255/469)	+30%	469
Política	42% (28/67)	+34%	67
Geopolítica	35% (6/17)	-10%	17
Deportes	40% (2/5)	+79%	5

Other469 apuestas
Tasa acierto
54% (255/469)
ROI
+30%
Política67 apuestas
Tasa acierto
42% (28/67)
ROI
+34%
Geopolítica17 apuestas
Tasa acierto
35% (6/17)
ROI
-10%
Deportes5 apuestas
Tasa acierto
40% (2/5)
ROI
+79%

Historial

52% acierto · 291/558

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?	Yes	$62	11.6¢	Perdió
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$571	46.8¢	Perdió
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	No	$2.4k	88.6¢	Ganó
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?	Yes	$108	37.8¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?	No	$12.6k	84.3¢	Ganó
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	No	$2.9k	10.9¢	Perdió
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	Yes	$5.0k	57.8¢	Ganó
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?	No	$1.9k	36.1¢	Ganó
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?	Yes	$1.1k	37.8¢	Perdió
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	$1.2k	10.4¢	Perdió
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 1?	Yes	$64	58.0¢	Ganó
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?	Yes	$48	33.3¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$20.5k	73.9¢	Ganó
Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?	No	$534	87.3¢	Ganó
Will Netanyahu be pardoned in 2025?	Yes	$118	3.1¢	Perdió
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	Yes	$1.4k	55.0¢	Perdió
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$312	16.9¢	Perdió
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	$400	7.0¢	Perdió
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?	Yes	$488	79.4¢	Ganó
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	$633	9.6¢	Perdió
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 16?	Yes	$167	45.0¢	Ganó
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$2.9k	66.0¢	Ganó
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	Yes	$100	0.9¢	Perdió
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?	Yes	$47	5.6¢	Perdió
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?	No	$629	81.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?	Yes	$2.0k	83.9¢	Ganó
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	$286	18.7¢	Perdió
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	No	$4.6k	64.2¢	Ganó
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	Yes	$2.6k	31.2¢	Perdió
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	$1.1k	39.5¢	Perdió
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$10.9k	57.2¢	Perdió
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?	No	$58	2.6¢	Perdió
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?	Yes	$2.2k	75.2¢	Ganó
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?	Yes	$67	39.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in September?	Yes	$1.6k	69.3¢	Ganó
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	$102	27.0¢	Ganó
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?	No	$612	7.3¢	Perdió
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?	Yes	$986	83.0¢	Ganó
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	$1.5k	80.6¢	Ganó
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?	Yes	$67	23.0¢	Perdió
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?	No	$908	4.3¢	Ganó
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?	No	$640	43.1¢	Ganó
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?	Yes	$67	49.1¢	Perdió
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?	Yes	$33	1.0¢	Perdió
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	$10.0k	36.3¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	No	$15.3k	89.1¢	Ganó
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?	Yes	$163	11.0¢	Perdió
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?	No	$2.8k	62.5¢	Perdió
Will Ireland participate in Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$49	2.9¢	Perdió
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	$6.5k	72.8¢	Ganó

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?Perdió
Yes$62 @ 11.6¢
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$571 @ 46.8¢
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?Ganó
No$2.4k @ 88.6¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?Ganó
Yes$108 @ 37.8¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Ganó
No$12.6k @ 84.3¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Perdió
No$2.9k @ 10.9¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Ganó
Yes$5.0k @ 57.8¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?Ganó
No$1.9k @ 36.1¢
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?Perdió
Yes$1.1k @ 37.8¢
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?Perdió
Yes$1.2k @ 10.4¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 1?Ganó
Yes$64 @ 58.0¢
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?Ganó
Yes$48 @ 33.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Ganó
No$20.5k @ 73.9¢
Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?Ganó
No$534 @ 87.3¢
Will Netanyahu be pardoned in 2025?Perdió
Yes$118 @ 3.1¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Perdió
Yes$1.4k @ 55.0¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$312 @ 16.9¢
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?Perdió
Yes$400 @ 7.0¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?Ganó
Yes$488 @ 79.4¢
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Perdió
Yes$633 @ 9.6¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 16?Ganó
Yes$167 @ 45.0¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Ganó
No$2.9k @ 66.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Perdió
Yes$100 @ 0.9¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?Perdió
Yes$47 @ 5.6¢
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?Ganó
No$629 @ 81.0¢
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Ganó
Yes$2.0k @ 83.9¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Perdió
Yes$286 @ 18.7¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Ganó
No$4.6k @ 64.2¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Perdió
Yes$2.6k @ 31.2¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Perdió
Yes$1.1k @ 39.5¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Perdió
Yes$10.9k @ 57.2¢
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? Perdió
No$58 @ 2.6¢
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? Ganó
Yes$2.2k @ 75.2¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?Perdió
Yes$67 @ 39.0¢
Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in September?Ganó
Yes$1.6k @ 69.3¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Ganó
Yes$102 @ 27.0¢
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Perdió
No$612 @ 7.3¢
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Ganó
Yes$986 @ 83.0¢
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Ganó
Yes$1.5k @ 80.6¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?Perdió
Yes$67 @ 23.0¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?Ganó
No$908 @ 4.3¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?Ganó
No$640 @ 43.1¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?Perdió
Yes$67 @ 49.1¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?Perdió
Yes$33 @ 1.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Perdió
No$10.0k @ 36.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Ganó
No$15.3k @ 89.1¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Perdió
Yes$163 @ 11.0¢
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Perdió
No$2.8k @ 62.5¢
Will Ireland participate in Eurovision 2026?Perdió
Yes$49 @ 2.9¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Ganó
No$6.5k @ 72.8¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	No	$22.0k	64.5¢
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Política	No	$16.4k	85.8¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$13.4k	26.9¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Política	No	$11.5k	86.3¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Política	Yes	$10.8k	88.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Política	No	$7.2k	46.8¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$4.1k	48.6¢
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	No	$3.7k	94.6¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Geopolítica	No	$3.6k	40.0¢
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?	Política	Yes	$2.8k	58.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$2.8k	35.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Política	No	$2.8k	62.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Política	Yes	$2.3k	47.0¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$1.6k	94.0¢
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Política	No	$1.4k	74.0¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Política	No	$1.2k	46.3¢
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Política	No	$1.1k	99.0¢
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Geopolítica	Yes	$129	24.8¢
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	Geopolítica	Yes	$116	11.4¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Negocios	Yes	$99	26.9¢

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
No$22.0k @ 64.5¢
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Política
No$16.4k @ 85.8¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$13.4k @ 26.9¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?Política
No$11.5k @ 86.3¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Política
Yes$10.8k @ 88.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Política
No$7.2k @ 46.8¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Política
Yes$4.1k @ 48.6¢
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
No$3.7k @ 94.6¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Geopolítica
No$3.6k @ 40.0¢
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?Política
Yes$2.8k @ 58.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Política
Yes$2.8k @ 35.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Política
No$2.8k @ 62.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Política
Yes$2.3k @ 47.0¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Política
Yes$1.6k @ 94.0¢
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Política
No$1.4k @ 74.0¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Política
No$1.2k @ 46.3¢
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Política
No$1.1k @ 99.0¢
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?Geopolítica
Yes$129 @ 24.8¢
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Geopolítica
Yes$116 @ 11.4¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Negocios
Yes$99 @ 26.9¢