0x8ebf…83ce

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8ebfdc251c6c378d4a3a54a8f15cebfa4b9183ce
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

RentableFrancotirador

Ventaja

+22.5pp

ROI

+1374%

Tasa de acierto

48% @ 25.9¢

Brier

0.274

Resueltas

Tamaño med.

$63

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	22% (2/9)	-2%	9
Other	40% (2/5)	+12%	5
Cripto	60% (3/5)	+1504%	5
Deportes	25% (1/4)	-34%	4
Cultura	33% (1/3)	+7%	3
Tecnología	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Política9 apuestas
Tasa acierto
22% (2/9)
ROI
-2%
Other5 apuestas
Tasa acierto
40% (2/5)
ROI
+12%
Cripto5 apuestas
Tasa acierto
60% (3/5)
ROI
+1504%
Deportes4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
25% (1/4)
ROI
-34%
Cultura3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (1/3)
ROI
+7%
Tecnología1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

33% acierto · 9/27

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?	No	$18	88.6¢	Ganó
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$1.4k	55.9¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$28	12.5¢	Perdió
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	Yes	$16	27.2¢	Perdió
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026?	No	$2	5.0¢	Perdió
Luca Zidane: 4+ saves	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$8	8.0¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$36	71.0¢	Ganó
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 3?	No	$42	0.2¢	Ganó
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?	Yes	$32	2.7¢	Perdió
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?	Yes	$4	89.0¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 3?	Yes	$250	50.0¢	Perdió
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?	Yes	$7	7.0¢	Perdió
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	$0	0.4¢	Perdió
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?	Yes	$3	53.0¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$67	84.8¢	Ganó
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	$1.1k	55.5¢	Perdió
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	$390	39.0¢	Ganó
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$2	0.3¢	Perdió
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	$18	0.1¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$454	40.7¢	Perdió
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	$2	0.8¢	Perdió
Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?	No	$11	1.4¢	Perdió
Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?	Yes	$510	88.8¢	Ganó
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$1.5k	77.5¢	Ganó

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Ganó
No$18 @ 88.6¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$1.4k @ 55.9¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$28 @ 12.5¢
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?Perdió
Yes$16 @ 27.2¢
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026?Perdió
No$2 @ 5.0¢
Luca Zidane: 4+ savesPerdió
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 8.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$36 @ 71.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 3?Ganó
No$42 @ 0.2¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Perdió
Yes$32 @ 2.7¢
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 89.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 3?Perdió
Yes$250 @ 50.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Perdió
No$0 @ 0.4¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Ganó
Yes$3 @ 53.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$67 @ 84.8¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Perdió
No$1.1k @ 55.5¢
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Ganó
No$390 @ 39.0¢
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Perdió
Yes$18 @ 0.1¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$454 @ 40.7¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?Perdió
No$11 @ 1.4¢
Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?Ganó
Yes$510 @ 88.8¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Ganó
No$1.5k @ 77.5¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$64.5k	50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	No	$64.5k	50.0¢
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Cripto	No	$864	92.2¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?	—	Yes	$133	96.1¢
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?	—	No	$50	99.9¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Política	No	$45	89.0¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Geopolítica	No	$32	64.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Política	No	$18	35.6¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Política	Yes	$14	16.2¢
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$9	0.1¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?	Política	Yes	$7	7.0¢
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?	Cripto	No	$7	65.6¢
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?	—	No	$5	99.5¢
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$5	90.0¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Política	No	$4	82.6¢
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Política	Yes	$2	38.0¢

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$64.5k @ 50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
No$64.5k @ 50.0¢
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Cripto
No$864 @ 92.2¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?—
Yes$133 @ 96.1¢
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?—
No$50 @ 99.9¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?Política
No$45 @ 89.0¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolítica
No$32 @ 64.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Política
No$18 @ 35.6¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Política
Yes$14 @ 16.2¢
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tecnología
Yes$9 @ 0.1¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?Política
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?Cripto
No$7 @ 65.6¢
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?—
No$5 @ 99.5¢
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$5 @ 90.0¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Política
No$4 @ 82.6¢
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Política
Yes$2 @ 38.0¢