0x8e4f…4594

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8e4f8d2922fa1f5312f89f36d3f4c358c6924594
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+7.3pp

ROI

+9%

Tasa de acierto

44% @ 36.5¢

Brier

0.119

Resueltas

479

Tamaño med.

$19

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	38% (9/24)	+18%	24
Other	11% (1/9)	-62%	9
Deportes	33% (2/6)	-45%	6
Geopolítica	0% (0/4)	-100%	4

Política24 apuestas
Tasa acierto
38% (9/24)
ROI
+18%
Other9 apuestas
Tasa acierto
11% (1/9)
ROI
-62%
Deportes6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (2/6)
ROI
-45%
Geopolítica4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%

Historial

28% acierto · 12/43

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	$89	79.2¢	Ganó
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	$33	21.9¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$420	80.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$48	10.7¢	Perdió
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5	Under	$45	44.0¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	$13	3.9¢	Perdió
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?	Yes	$16	2.9¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	$9	7.1¢	Perdió
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	$101	20.2¢	Perdió
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$1.5k	4.1¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$112	84.4¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$17	1.6¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$58	74.0¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$37	7.8¢	Perdió
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	Yes	$3	4.9¢	Perdió
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	Yes	$68	67.0¢	Ganó
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$3	0.3¢	Perdió
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$456	4.9¢	Perdió
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	$105	56.4¢	Perdió
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$31	6.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$143	67.3¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$10	33.0¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$4	1.8¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	$24	36.4¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$3.8k	57.2¢	Ganó
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?	No	$124	3.0¢	Perdió
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5	Under	$160	53.3¢	Perdió
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	$44	30.4¢	Perdió
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	$146	40.6¢	Perdió
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$213	45.8¢	Ganó
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5	Under	$49	49.0¢	Perdió
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$13	3.5¢	Perdió
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	$37	44.4¢	Perdió
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	$63	46.6¢	Perdió
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	$60	40.9¢	Perdió
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$377	38.7¢	Ganó
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$96	8.7¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	$197	86.3¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	$83	21.1¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	$313	59.6¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?	No	$11	39.6¢	Perdió
Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?	Yes	$10	4.1¢	Perdió
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$36	12.0¢	Perdió

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Ganó
No$89 @ 79.2¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Perdió
Yes$33 @ 21.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$420 @ 80.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$48 @ 10.7¢
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5Ganó
Under$45 @ 44.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?Perdió
Yes$13 @ 3.9¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?Perdió
Yes$16 @ 2.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?Perdió
Yes$9 @ 7.1¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Perdió
No$101 @ 20.2¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Perdió
Yes$1.5k @ 4.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$112 @ 84.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$17 @ 1.6¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Ganó
No$58 @ 74.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Perdió
Yes$37 @ 7.8¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 4.9¢
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?Ganó
Yes$68 @ 67.0¢
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 0.3¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Perdió
Yes$456 @ 4.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Perdió
Yes$105 @ 56.4¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$31 @ 6.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$143 @ 67.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 33.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 1.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Perdió
No$24 @ 36.4¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$3.8k @ 57.2¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?Perdió
No$124 @ 3.0¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Perdió
Under$160 @ 53.3¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Perdió
Yes$44 @ 30.4¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Perdió
No$146 @ 40.6¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Ganó
Yes$213 @ 45.8¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Perdió
Under$49 @ 49.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?Perdió
Yes$13 @ 3.5¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Perdió
Yes$37 @ 44.4¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Perdió
No$63 @ 46.6¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$60 @ 40.9¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$377 @ 38.7¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$96 @ 8.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?Ganó
No$197 @ 86.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Perdió
No$83 @ 21.1¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Ganó
No$313 @ 59.6¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?Perdió
No$11 @ 39.6¢
Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 4.1¢
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Perdió
Yes$36 @ 12.0¢

Operaciones recientes

en vivo desde Polymarket · haz clic en una columna para ordenar

Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Política	No	$740	45.6¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?	Política	Yes	$517	17.2¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Política	Yes	$489	2.5¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?	Política	Yes	$392	39.3¢
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Política	Yes	$262	9.4¢
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?	Política	Yes	$214	38.3¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?	Política	Yes	$154	9.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Política	Yes	$144	36.0¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Política	Yes	$135	9.0¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Ciencia	Yes	$134	10.9¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?	—	Yes	$132	22.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?	—	Yes	$114	43.5¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Política	No	$114	21.3¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?	Política	No	$102	73.0¢
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?	Geopolítica	Yes	$101	23.8¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$100	11.3¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	—	Yes	$97	28.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	—	Yes	$96	67.8¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	—	Yes	$91	24.6¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Política	Yes	$74	23.9¢
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$55	55.3¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?	Geopolítica	Yes	$52	9.4¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Política	Yes	$51	1.8¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	Geopolítica	Yes	$44	21.2¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Política	Yes	$42	2.1¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Política	Yes	$40	86.0¢
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?	Geopolítica	Yes	$39	39.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?	Política	Yes	$31	15.3¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	Yes	$27	27.0¢
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Geopolítica	Yes	$19	3.5¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Política
No$740 @ 45.6¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Política
Yes$517 @ 17.2¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Política
Yes$489 @ 2.5¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Política
Yes$392 @ 39.3¢
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Política
Yes$262 @ 9.4¢
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Política
Yes$214 @ 38.3¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Política
Yes$154 @ 9.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Política
Yes$144 @ 36.0¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Política
Yes$135 @ 9.0¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?Ciencia
Yes$134 @ 10.9¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?—
Yes$132 @ 22.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?—
Yes$114 @ 43.5¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Política
No$114 @ 21.3¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Política
No$102 @ 73.0¢
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?Geopolítica
Yes$101 @ 23.8¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Política
No$100 @ 11.3¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?—
Yes$97 @ 28.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?—
Yes$96 @ 67.8¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?—
Yes$91 @ 24.6¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Política
Yes$74 @ 23.9¢
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Geopolítica
No$55 @ 55.3¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Geopolítica
Yes$52 @ 9.4¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Política
Yes$51 @ 1.8¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Geopolítica
Yes$44 @ 21.2¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Política
Yes$42 @ 2.1¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Política
Yes$40 @ 86.0¢
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?Geopolítica
Yes$39 @ 39.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?Política
Yes$31 @ 15.3¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
Yes$27 @ 27.0¢
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Geopolítica
Yes$19 @ 3.5¢