← Dinero inteligente
0x8df9…468c
ExpertoVentaja
+6.1pp
ROI
+6%
Tasa de acierto
34% @ 28.2¢
Brier
0.133
Resueltas
2502
Tamaño med.
$61
Tendencia ROI
Especialización por esfera
| Esfera | Tasa acierto | ROI | Apuestas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 31% (113/362) | +31% | 362 |
| Política | 36% (32/89) | -29% | 89 |
| Geopolítica | 21% (7/33) | -43% | 33 |
| Deportes | 16% (3/19) | -76% | 19 |
| Tecnología | 75% (3/4) | +57% | 4 |
| Cripto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other362 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 31% (113/362)
- ROI
- +31%
- Política89 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 36% (32/89)
- ROI
- -29%
- Geopolítica33 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 21% (7/33)
- ROI
- -43%
- Deportes19 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 16% (3/19)
- ROI
- -76%
- Tecnología4 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +57%
- Cripto1 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Historial
31% acierto · 158/508- Yes$100 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 1.5¢
- Yes$30 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 33.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 2.1¢
- No$11.6k @ 9.3¢
- Yes$584 @ 86.4¢
- Yes$100 @ 1.2¢
- No$146 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 61.5¢
- Yes$100 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$400 @ 11.2¢
- Yes$4 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
- No$33 @ 49.0¢
- No$1 @ 2.0¢
- No$39 @ 55.0¢
- Switzerland$311 @ 29.3¢
- Yes$874 @ 11.6¢
- No$200 @ 21.1¢
- Yes$30 @ 5.6¢
- Yes$10 @ 3.3¢
- Yes$100 @ 34.0¢
- No$16 @ 62.1¢
- Yes$31 @ 20.1¢
- No$31 @ 52.7¢
- Yes$68 @ 68.0¢
- No$2 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$17 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 20.0¢
- No$100 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$100 @ 88.1¢
- Yes$100 @ 1.5¢
- No$384 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 61.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$330 @ 85.7¢
- Yes$168 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$130 @ 2.3¢
- No$100 @ 47.3¢
- Yes$385 @ 84.5¢
- Yes$214 @ 13.1¢
- No$100 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$140 @ 83.8¢
- Yes$11 @ 0.2¢
- No$92 @ 23.0¢
- No$2 @ 31.7¢
- Yes$48 @ 73.7¢
- Yes$108 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 13.0¢
Operaciones recientes
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Posiciones actuales
- Yes$439 @ 18.7¢
- Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?GeopolíticaNo$402 @ 58.6¢
- Yes$200 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$170 @ 67.1¢
- Yes$150 @ 17.4¢
- Yes$130 @ 14.1¢
- Yes$119 @ 13.9¢
- Yes$115 @ 31.6¢
- Yes$100 @ 89.0¢
- Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?TecnologíaYes$100 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 17.0¢
- Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?GeopolíticaYes$82 @ 11.4¢
- Yes$80 @ 29.2¢
- Yes$78 @ 78.0¢
- Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?GeopolíticaYes$60 @ 30.5¢
- Yes$60 @ 7.6¢
- Yes$56 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$52 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 17.4¢
- Yes$50 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 3.7¢
- Yes$40 @ 9.7¢
- Yes$36 @ 0.8¢
- No$30 @ 80.0¢
- No$30 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 8.1¢
- Yes$19 @ 53.0¢
- Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?TecnologíaYes$10 @ 55.3¢
- Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?TecnologíaYes$10 @ 49.0¢