0x8c65…dcf7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8c65191e411feec6c73aefbd74a55d246099dcf7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+4.5pp

ROI

+9%

Tasa de acierto

39% @ 34.4¢

Brier

0.152

Resueltas

2328

Tamaño med.

$12

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	36% (294/827)	+14%	827
Deportes	40% (34/85)	-8%	85
Política	38% (29/77)	-33%	77
Ciencia	50% (11/22)	+75%	22
Tecnología	48% (10/21)	+15%	21
Geopolítica	38% (6/16)	+22%	16
Cultura	9% (1/11)	+15%	11
Economía	43% (3/7)	+54%	7
Cripto	50% (3/6)	+220%	6
Negocios	67% (4/6)	+49%	6

Other827 apuestas
Tasa acierto
36% (294/827)
ROI
+14%
Deportes85 apuestas
Tasa acierto
40% (34/85)
ROI
-8%
Política77 apuestas
Tasa acierto
38% (29/77)
ROI
-33%
Ciencia22 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (11/22)
ROI
+75%
Tecnología21 apuestas
Tasa acierto
48% (10/21)
ROI
+15%
Geopolítica16 apuestas
Tasa acierto
38% (6/16)
ROI
+22%
Cultura11 apuestas
Tasa acierto
9% (1/11)
ROI
+15%
Economía7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
43% (3/7)
ROI
+54%
Cripto6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (3/6)
ROI
+220%
Negocios6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (4/6)
ROI
+49%

Historial

37% acierto · 395/1078

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)	Spurs	$6	57.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 27?	Yes	$2	20.0¢	Perdió
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	Yes	$7	68.0¢	Ganó
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	Yes	$17	86.8¢	Ganó
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	$12	24.0¢	Perdió
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	$7	74.0¢	Ganó
Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?	No	$2	51.0¢	Ganó
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	$25	46.9¢	Ganó
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	No	$1	5.9¢	Perdió
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Perdió
Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	$1	12.0¢	Perdió
Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5	Over	$3	51.0¢	Perdió
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	No	$2	15.0¢	Ganó
Will Warsh say "Job" 15+ times during June Press Conference?	Yes	$10	52.0¢	Perdió
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?	Yes	$79	80.0¢	Ganó
Pacers vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	$15	56.0¢	Ganó
Will Mike Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?	No	$6	31.8¢	Perdió
Will M&T Bank (MTB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$11	22.0¢	Perdió
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Perdió
Will Trae Young be traded this season?	Yes	$1	17.0¢	Ganó
Will "Sarah's Oil" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	$0	0.1¢	Perdió
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?	No	$1	6.0¢	Perdió
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	$2	34.0¢	Perdió
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones	Kentucky Wildcats	$680	34.0¢	Perdió
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 1.5% and 3%?	Yes	$5	12.2¢	Perdió
Will Apple announce a touchscreen MacBook during the WWDC 2026 keynote?	No	$5	54.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in London be 47°F or higher on November 21?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Perdió
Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Manchester City?	No	$273	46.6¢	Ganó
Wizards vs. Hornets	Hornets	$7	66.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 3?	Yes	$1	3.0¢	Perdió
Will Elliot Anderson join Liverpool?	Yes	$1	9.0¢	Perdió
Stars vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	$11	53.0¢	Perdió
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	$31	62.9¢	Ganó
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	$11	55.0¢	Ganó
Will Kanye visit Israel by December 31?	Yes	$2	9.0¢	Perdió
Will Shawn Harris win the GA-14 special election?	Yes	$8	3.1¢	Perdió
Heat vs. Mavericks	Heat	$2	19.0¢	Perdió
Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	$7	14.0¢	Perdió
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Weibo Gaming	$1	1.0¢	Perdió
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$9	21.5¢	Perdió
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	$13	63.5¢	Ganó
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)	Hornets	$10	52.0¢	Ganó
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$61	61.0¢	Ganó
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?	Yes	$3	15.0¢	Perdió
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?	Yes	$24	48.0¢	Ganó
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?	No	$72	72.0¢	Ganó
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$39	19.3¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on December 4?	No	$12	24.0¢	Ganó
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	$23	45.0¢	Ganó

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Ganó
Spurs$6 @ 57.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 27?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 20.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Ganó
Yes$7 @ 68.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Ganó
Yes$17 @ 86.8¢
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Perdió
No$12 @ 24.0¢
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Ganó
Yes$7 @ 74.0¢
Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?Ganó
No$2 @ 51.0¢
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Ganó
Yes$25 @ 46.9¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Perdió
No$1 @ 5.9¢
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Nuggets vs. PelicansPerdió
Pelicans$1 @ 12.0¢
Hornets vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Perdió
Over$3 @ 51.0¢
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?Ganó
No$2 @ 15.0¢
Will Warsh say "Job" 15+ times during June Press Conference?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 52.0¢
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?Ganó
Yes$79 @ 80.0¢
Pacers vs. PelicansGanó
Pelicans$15 @ 56.0¢
Will Mike Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?Perdió
No$6 @ 31.8¢
Will M&T Bank (MTB) beat quarterly earnings?Perdió
No$11 @ 22.0¢
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Trae Young be traded this season?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 17.0¢
Will "Sarah's Oil" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Perdió
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Perdió
No$1 @ 6.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Perdió
No$2 @ 34.0¢
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State CyclonesPerdió
Kentucky Wildcats$680 @ 34.0¢
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 1.5% and 3%?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 12.2¢
Will Apple announce a touchscreen MacBook during the WWDC 2026 keynote?Ganó
No$5 @ 54.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 47°F or higher on November 21?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Manchester City?Ganó
No$273 @ 46.6¢
Wizards vs. HornetsGanó
Hornets$7 @ 66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 3?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
Will Elliot Anderson join Liverpool?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
Stars vs. CanadiensPerdió
Canadiens$11 @ 53.0¢
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Ganó
Yes$31 @ 62.9¢
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Ganó
No$11 @ 55.0¢
Will Kanye visit Israel by December 31?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 9.0¢
Will Shawn Harris win the GA-14 special election?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 3.1¢
Heat vs. MavericksPerdió
Heat$2 @ 19.0¢
Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 14.0¢
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerPerdió
Weibo Gaming$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$9 @ 21.5¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?Ganó
No$13 @ 63.5¢
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Ganó
Hornets$10 @ 52.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ganó
Yes$61 @ 61.0¢
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 15.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?Ganó
Yes$24 @ 48.0¢
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?Ganó
No$72 @ 72.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$39 @ 19.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on December 4?Ganó
No$12 @ 24.0¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Ganó
No$23 @ 45.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Política	Yes	$67	68.0¢
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Política	No	$66	66.6¢
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	Tecnología	Yes	$26	26.4¢
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Cripto	No	$14	39.4¢
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Cripto	No	$5	15.8¢
Will Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be delayed?	Cultura	No	$3	49.1¢

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Política
Yes$67 @ 68.0¢
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Política
No$66 @ 66.6¢
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tecnología
Yes$26 @ 26.4¢
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?Cripto
No$14 @ 39.4¢
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?Cripto
No$5 @ 15.8¢
Will Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be delayed?Cultura
No$3 @ 49.1¢