0x8c57…f939

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8c57f67ac7cc69a4cf96be5747cb2ed63dc9f939
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+10.3pp

ROI

+12%

Tasa de acierto

67% @ 57.1¢

Brier

0.171

Resueltas

1600

Tamaño med.

$416

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	64% (96/150)	-1%	150
Política	75% (64/85)	+24%	85
Geopolítica	71% (15/21)	-1%	21
Deportes	41% (7/17)	-41%	17
Tecnología	67% (2/3)	+30%	3
Cripto	100% (2/2)	+149%	2
Economía	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other150 apuestas
Tasa acierto
64% (96/150)
ROI
-1%
Política85 apuestas
Tasa acierto
75% (64/85)
ROI
+24%
Geopolítica21 apuestas
Tasa acierto
71% (15/21)
ROI
-1%
Deportes17 apuestas
Tasa acierto
41% (7/17)
ROI
-41%
Tecnología3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (2/3)
ROI
+30%
Cripto2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (2/2)
ROI
+149%
Economía1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

67% acierto · 186/279

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$207	29.5¢	Perdió
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	No	$87	87.0¢	Ganó
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	No	$500	72.6¢	Ganó
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?	No	$2.5k	55.5¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	$750	80.6¢	Ganó
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$3.1k	9.7¢	Perdió
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?	No	$2.2k	77.6¢	Ganó
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	No	$2.4k	66.0¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	$8.3k	85.9¢	Ganó
Will Iran strike Jordan again in March?	No	$30	23.3¢	Perdió
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5	Over	$300	52.0¢	Ganó
North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?	No	$195	71.0¢	Ganó
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	$2.0k	76.0¢	Ganó
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$7.5k	14.7¢	Perdió
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?	No	$220	69.0¢	Perdió
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	No	$1.0k	64.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?	Yes	$400	70.0¢	Ganó
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$5.6k	83.0¢	Ganó
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?	No	$132	82.6¢	Ganó
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	$155	69.7¢	Ganó
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	$1.1k	90.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "World Cup" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	$148	53.9¢	Perdió
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	No	$2.0k	83.8¢	Ganó
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	No	$330	79.5¢	Ganó
AC Milan vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5	Under	$1000	53.0¢	Ganó
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2.7k	5.2¢	Perdió
AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$200	60.0¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	$1.0k	76.0¢	Ganó
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$350	34.9¢	Perdió
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$252	76.1¢	Ganó
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?	No	$495	66.6¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$5.0k	88.3¢	Ganó
Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	No	$45	89.0¢	Ganó
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	No	$503	87.4¢	Ganó
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?	Yes	$200	60.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$6.1k	40.3¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$7.5k	75.9¢	Ganó
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovic	Iva Jovic	$103	14.6¢	Perdió
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	$12.6k	77.8¢	Ganó
FC Famalicão vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5	Under	$158	68.3¢	Perdió
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	No	$500	80.7¢	Ganó
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5	Over	$499	57.0¢	Perdió
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	$2.0k	82.3¢	Ganó
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?	No	$4.2k	78.4¢	Ganó
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	$5.0k	23.8¢	Perdió
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	$505	69.8¢	Ganó
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	No	$2.3k	60.3¢	Perdió
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	$450	64.0¢	Ganó
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	$1.8k	69.1¢	Ganó
Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$300	57.0¢	Ganó

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$207 @ 29.5¢
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?Ganó
No$87 @ 87.0¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Ganó
No$500 @ 72.6¢
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?Perdió
No$2.5k @ 55.5¢
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Ganó
Yes$750 @ 80.6¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$3.1k @ 9.7¢
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?Ganó
No$2.2k @ 77.6¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Ganó
No$2.4k @ 66.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Ganó
No$8.3k @ 85.9¢
Will Iran strike Jordan again in March?Perdió
No$30 @ 23.3¢
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5Ganó
Over$300 @ 52.0¢
North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?Ganó
No$195 @ 71.0¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Ganó
No$2.0k @ 76.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$7.5k @ 14.7¢
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?Perdió
No$220 @ 69.0¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Perdió
No$1.0k @ 64.0¢
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?Ganó
Yes$400 @ 70.0¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Ganó
No$5.6k @ 83.0¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Ganó
No$132 @ 82.6¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Ganó
Yes$155 @ 69.7¢
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?Ganó
No$1.1k @ 90.0¢
Will Trump say "World Cup" during events with Brazilian president?Perdió
Yes$148 @ 53.9¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$2.0k @ 83.8¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Ganó
No$330 @ 79.5¢
AC Milan vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Ganó
Under$1000 @ 53.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$2.7k @ 5.2¢
AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to ScoreGanó
Yes$200 @ 60.0¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Ganó
No$1.0k @ 76.0¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$350 @ 34.9¢
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ganó
No$252 @ 76.1¢
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?Perdió
No$495 @ 66.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$5.0k @ 88.3¢
Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Ganó
No$45 @ 89.0¢
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?Ganó
No$503 @ 87.4¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?Perdió
Yes$200 @ 60.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$6.1k @ 40.3¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Ganó
No$7.5k @ 75.9¢
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva JovicPerdió
Iva Jovic$103 @ 14.6¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Ganó
No$12.6k @ 77.8¢
FC Famalicão vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Perdió
Under$158 @ 68.3¢
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$500 @ 80.7¢
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5Perdió
Over$499 @ 57.0¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Ganó
No$2.0k @ 82.3¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Ganó
No$4.2k @ 78.4¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Perdió
Yes$5.0k @ 23.8¢
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Ganó
Under$505 @ 69.8¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Perdió
No$2.3k @ 60.3¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Ganó
No$450 @ 64.0¢
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Ganó
No$1.8k @ 69.1¢
Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to ScoreGanó
Yes$300 @ 57.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Política	No	$15.0k	85.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$5.2k	49.8¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$5.0k	72.8¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Política	No	$4.2k	72.9¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$3.6k	80.9¢
Iran leadership change by October 31?	Política	No	$2.5k	87.0¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$2.2k	80.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$2.0k	35.0¢
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Deportes	Yes	$1.7k	74.2¢
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	Política	Yes	$1.0k	86.0¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Deportes	Yes	$1.0k	27.6¢
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	Política	No	$1000	89.0¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Tecnología	No	$500	20.0¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Geopolítica	No	$500	68.0¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Política	No	$369	37.1¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Deportes	No	$335	67.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$300	67.9¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$290	63.8¢
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Geopolítica	No	$250	88.0¢
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Política	No	$221	58.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$200	29.5¢
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?	Política	No	$200	44.9¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Política	Yes	$115	23.0¢
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	Política	Yes	$54	13.1¢
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Política	No	$30	84.8¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?	Política	Yes	$25	1.2¢
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?	Política	No	$8	80.0¢

Iran leadership change by December 31?Política
No$15.0k @ 85.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$5.2k @ 49.8¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$5.0k @ 72.8¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Política
No$4.2k @ 72.9¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Política
Yes$3.6k @ 80.9¢
Iran leadership change by October 31?Política
No$2.5k @ 87.0¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Política
No$2.2k @ 80.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$2.0k @ 35.0¢
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Deportes
Yes$1.7k @ 74.2¢
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Política
Yes$1.0k @ 86.0¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Deportes
Yes$1.0k @ 27.6¢
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Política
No$1000 @ 89.0¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tecnología
No$500 @ 20.0¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Geopolítica
No$500 @ 68.0¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Política
No$369 @ 37.1¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Deportes
No$335 @ 67.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$300 @ 67.9¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Política
Yes$290 @ 63.8¢
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Geopolítica
No$250 @ 88.0¢
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Política
No$221 @ 58.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$200 @ 29.5¢
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Política
No$200 @ 44.9¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Política
Yes$115 @ 23.0¢
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?Política
Yes$54 @ 13.1¢
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Política
No$30 @ 84.8¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?Política
Yes$25 @ 1.2¢
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?Política
No$8 @ 80.0¢