0x8a7b…782f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8a7b576b7a53ef54876f9eca18bcd84f12d8782f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Ventaja

+3.3pp

ROI

+14%

Tasa de acierto

31% @ 28.2¢

Brier

0.024

Resueltas

Tamaño med.

$62

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	42% (20/48)	+18%	48
Other	28% (12/43)	+8%	43
Economía	46% (13/28)	+39%	28
Tecnología	0% (0/17)	-100%	17
Geopolítica	53% (9/17)	+2%	17
Cripto	50% (1/2)	+22%	2
Deportes	100% (1/1)	+5%	1

Política48 apuestas
Tasa acierto
42% (20/48)
ROI
+18%
Other43 apuestas
Tasa acierto
28% (12/43)
ROI
+8%
Economía28 apuestas
Tasa acierto
46% (13/28)
ROI
+39%
Tecnología17 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/17)
ROI
-100%
Geopolítica17 apuestas
Tasa acierto
53% (9/17)
ROI
+2%
Cripto2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
+22%
Deportes1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+5%

Historial

36% acierto · 56/156

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?	No	$1.1k	89.9¢	Ganó
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$4	7.0¢	Ganó
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?	No	$18	93.0¢	Ganó
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Perdió
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Perdió
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$10	52.0¢	Perdió
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$51	23.0¢	Ganó
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	$2	45.0¢	Ganó
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	$3	2.3¢	Perdió
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$923	92.9¢	Ganó
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	$14	10.2¢	Ganó
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	$32	93.6¢	Ganó
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	$2	1.2¢	Perdió
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	$604	36.9¢	Ganó
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	$130	94.7¢	Ganó
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Perdió
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	$3	27.0¢	Ganó
Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$3	41.0¢	Ganó
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?	Yes	$2	42.0¢	Ganó
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$191	95.3¢	Ganó
Will IonQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$5	23.5¢	Perdió
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the September decision?	No	$33	89.0¢	Ganó
Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$11	54.0¢	Ganó
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?	Yes	$17	17.0¢	Perdió
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?	Yes	$0	9.0¢	Perdió
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?	Yes	$1	10.2¢	Perdió
Iran leadership change by July 31?	No	$280	93.4¢	Ganó
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	$195	97.7¢	Ganó
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?	No	$95	95.0¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?	Yes	$3	0.6¢	Perdió
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	$322	97.8¢	Ganó
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?	No	$70	89.0¢	Ganó
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$3	0.5¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	Yes	$16	15.7¢	Perdió
JD Vance out as VP by July 31?	No	$64	97.0¢	Ganó
JD Vance out as VP by July 31?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?	Yes	$6	1.1¢	Perdió
Trump out as President by July 31?	No	$48	96.0¢	Ganó
Trump out as President by July 31?	Yes	$4	0.1¢	Perdió
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$10	0.2¢	Perdió
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Perdió
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1.9k	77.3¢	Ganó
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Perdió
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$5	11.0¢	Perdió
Anthropic CEO arrested?	No	$34	99.0¢	Ganó
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	$197	98.4¢	Ganó
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?	No	$36	89.0¢	Ganó
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$424	98.9¢	Ganó
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	$29	96.8¢	Ganó
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$2.0k	98.7¢	Ganó

Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?Ganó
No$1.1k @ 89.9¢
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 7.0¢
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?Ganó
No$18 @ 93.0¢
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 52.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$51 @ 23.0¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 45.0¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 2.3¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Ganó
No$923 @ 92.9¢
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Ganó
Yes$14 @ 10.2¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Ganó
No$32 @ 93.6¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 1.2¢
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Ganó
Yes$604 @ 36.9¢
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Ganó
No$130 @ 94.7¢
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Ganó
Yes$3 @ 27.0¢
Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?Ganó
Yes$3 @ 41.0¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 42.0¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
No$191 @ 95.3¢
Will IonQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 23.5¢
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the September decision?Ganó
No$33 @ 89.0¢
Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?Ganó
Yes$11 @ 54.0¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Perdió
Yes$17 @ 17.0¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 9.0¢
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 10.2¢
Iran leadership change by July 31?Ganó
No$280 @ 93.4¢
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$195 @ 97.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?Ganó
No$95 @ 95.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 0.6¢
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$322 @ 97.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?Ganó
No$70 @ 89.0¢
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 0.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Perdió
Yes$16 @ 15.7¢
JD Vance out as VP by July 31?Ganó
No$64 @ 97.0¢
JD Vance out as VP by July 31?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 1.1¢
Trump out as President by July 31?Ganó
No$48 @ 96.0¢
Trump out as President by July 31?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$1.9k @ 77.3¢
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 11.0¢
Anthropic CEO arrested?Ganó
No$34 @ 99.0¢
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Ganó
No$197 @ 98.4¢
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?Ganó
No$36 @ 89.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Ganó
No$424 @ 98.9¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Ganó
No$29 @ 96.8¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Ganó
No$2.0k @ 98.7¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?	Política	No	$1.0k	88.1¢
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?	Política	No	$906	90.9¢
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Economía	No	$691	76.6¢
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?	Economía	No	$656	72.6¢
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?	Política	No	$561	91.6¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Política	Yes	$467	59.9¢
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	Economía	No	$460	92.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Política	No	$273	91.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$228	76.0¢
ECB rate cut in 2026?	Economía	No	$191	83.6¢
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	Cripto	No	$188	90.1¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?	Other	No	$186	93.0¢
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?	Other	Yes	$170	79.4¢
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	Política	No	$136	90.4¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?	Política	No	$132	79.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	Other	No	$117	89.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$104	10.4¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?	Política	No	$97	90.2¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?	Política	No	$87	78.2¢
Will Dogecoin reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$73	72.5¢
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	Política	No	$62	88.0¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?	Política	No	$57	90.5¢
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	Política	No	$52	92.0¢
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?	Política	No	$50	93.7¢
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?	Economía	No	$48	96.1¢
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026?	Economía	No	$48	96.0¢
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Economía	Yes	$45	34.8¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?	Política	No	$31	88.6¢
Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$25	79.0¢
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?	Política	No	$24	80.0¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?Política
No$1.0k @ 88.1¢
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?Política
No$906 @ 90.9¢
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Economía
No$691 @ 76.6¢
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?Economía
No$656 @ 72.6¢
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?Política
No$561 @ 91.6¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Política
Yes$467 @ 59.9¢
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Economía
No$460 @ 92.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Política
No$273 @ 91.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$228 @ 76.0¢
ECB rate cut in 2026?Economía
No$191 @ 83.6¢
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?Cripto
No$188 @ 90.1¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?Other
No$186 @ 93.0¢
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Other
Yes$170 @ 79.4¢
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Política
No$136 @ 90.4¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?Política
No$132 @ 79.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?Other
No$117 @ 89.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$104 @ 10.4¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?Política
No$97 @ 90.2¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?Política
No$87 @ 78.2¢
Will Dogecoin reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$73 @ 72.5¢
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?Política
No$62 @ 88.0¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?Política
No$57 @ 90.5¢
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Política
No$52 @ 92.0¢
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?Política
No$50 @ 93.7¢
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?Economía
No$48 @ 96.1¢
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026?Economía
No$48 @ 96.0¢
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Economía
Yes$45 @ 34.8¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?Política
No$31 @ 88.6¢
Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$25 @ 79.0¢
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?Política
No$24 @ 80.0¢