0x8a52…d74c

Especialización por esfera

• Other17 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  53% (9/17)

  ROI

  +150%

• Tecnología10 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  40% (4/10)

  ROI

  -12%

• Geopolítica2 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +15%

• Política1 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?Ganó
  Yes$7 @ 90.0¢
• Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?Ganó
  Yes$40 @ 89.6¢
• Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?Ganó
  No$16 @ 90.0¢
• Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Ganó
  Yes$1.3k @ 70.0¢
• Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?Perdió
  No$1 @ 2.1¢
• Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?Ganó
  Yes$31 @ 36.3¢
• US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Perdió
  No$6 @ 0.2¢
• Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Perdió
  Yes$16 @ 2.4¢
• Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?Ganó
  Yes$1.7k @ 33.4¢
• Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?Ganó
  Yes$13 @ 85.0¢
• Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1480 and 1490?Perdió
  Yes$3 @ 50.0¢
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?Perdió
  Yes$10 @ 56.4¢
• Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?Ganó
  Yes$16 @ 84.0¢
• Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Perdió
  Yes$10 @ 1.9¢
• Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Perdió
  Yes$713 @ 44.4¢
• Will xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Perdió
  Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
• Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 750.0k by May 31?Perdió
  No$2 @ 1.8¢
• Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 750.0k by May 31?Ganó
  Yes$31 @ 26.0¢
• Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Ganó
  Yes$20 @ 73.5¢
• Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?Perdió
  Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
• Will Claude Code Commits be between 650.0k and 700.0k on June 30?Perdió
  Yes$82 @ 10.7¢
• Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Ganó
  Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
• Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?Ganó
  No$14 @ 63.0¢
• Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?Perdió
  No$15 @ 4.2¢
• Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440 by December 31, 2026?Perdió
  No$8 @ 3.8¢
• Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Ganó
  Yes$522 @ 87.8¢
• Will Claude Code Commits be between 700.0k and 750.0k on June 30?Perdió
  Yes$76 @ 14.7¢
• Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?Perdió
  No$8 @ 2.3¢
• Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Ganó
  Yes$20 @ 13.8¢
• Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?Ganó
  Yes$502 @ 88.7¢

Posiciones actuales

• Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026?Tecnología
  Yes$1.9k @ 90.1¢
• Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?Tecnología
  Yes$951 @ 77.9¢