0x8a4e…1ba4

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8a4e8f6e20b99ae0b05caf1237aeabe184831ba4
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+15.4pp

ROI

+13%

Tasa de acierto

62% @ 46.8¢

Brier

0.181

Resueltas

270

Tamaño med.

$512

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	44% (23/52)	+50%	52
Política	43% (16/37)	-17%	37
Deportes	38% (8/21)	-36%	21
Tecnología	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Geopolítica	100% (1/1)	+15%	1
Economía	100% (1/1)	+94%	1

Other52 apuestas
Tasa acierto
44% (23/52)
ROI
+50%
Política37 apuestas
Tasa acierto
43% (16/37)
ROI
-17%
Deportes21 apuestas
Tasa acierto
38% (8/21)
ROI
-36%
Tecnología2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+15%
Economía1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+94%

Historial

43% acierto · 49/114

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tien	Learner Tien	$1.0k	62.0¢	Ganó
Grass Court Championships: Nikola Bartunkova vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	$1.0k	38.0¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	No	$1000	31.6¢	Perdió
Valorant: All Gamers vs TEC Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs	TEC Esports	$1	25.0¢	Ganó
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	Yes	$2.0k	61.9¢	Perdió
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton	Adam Walton	$1.0k	76.5¢	Perdió
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$3.1k	39.3¢	Perdió
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	$102	25.0¢	Perdió
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$22.6k	56.6¢	Ganó
Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?	Yes	$1.1k	86.0¢	Perdió
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?	Yes	$102	21.5¢	Ganó
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1000	51.8¢	Perdió
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	$3.2k	67.6¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$1000	35.8¢	Ganó
ITF Kayseri: Ksenia Smirnova vs Elizaveta Gurianova	Elizaveta Gurianova	$1	24.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	$1000	30.0¢	Perdió
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$1.0k	49.0¢	Perdió
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$1.0k	70.5¢	Ganó
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova	Ashlyn Krueger	$1.0k	59.0¢	Ganó
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	$1000	38.9¢	Ganó
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	$1.4k	30.0¢	Perdió
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$1.0k	37.1¢	Perdió
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	$2.0k	46.5¢	Ganó
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	HANJIN BRION	$1	12.0¢	Perdió
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	$100	20.0¢	Ganó
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	Yes	$102	34.0¢	Ganó
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$420	6.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	$6.0k	61.8¢	Ganó
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	$1.0k	70.2¢	Ganó
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	GLYPH	$1	29.0¢	Perdió
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	$1.0k	42.0¢	Perdió
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Shevchenko vs Alex Michelsen	Alex Michelsen	$1.0k	60.0¢	Ganó
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier	Carolina Royal Ravens	$1	28.0¢	Ganó
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	$1000	54.2¢	Ganó
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef	Mary Stoiana	$1.0k	50.0¢	Perdió
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata	Rinky Hijikata	$1.0k	50.0¢	Ganó
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	$104	12.0¢	Perdió
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	$1.0k	61.0¢	Perdió
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$4.1k	49.5¢	Ganó
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer	Tristan Boyer	$2.0k	48.5¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	$1000	47.0¢	Perdió
Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?	Yes	$303	72.1¢	Ganó
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs	MVK Esports	$1	18.0¢	Perdió
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	$1.0k	60.0¢	Ganó
Kosice: Dali Blanch vs Peter Fajta	Peter Fajta	$1	26.0¢	Perdió
Brescia: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Nuria Brancaccio	Nuria Brancaccio	$1.0k	32.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	$1000	50.3¢	Ganó
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$205	35.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$1000	46.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.5k	49.0¢	Ganó

Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner TienGanó
Learner Tien$1.0k @ 62.0¢
Grass Court Championships: Nikola Bartunkova vs Diana ShnaiderPerdió
Diana Shnaider$1.0k @ 38.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Perdió
No$1000 @ 31.6¢
Valorant: All Gamers vs TEC Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 PlayoffsGanó
TEC Esports$1 @ 25.0¢
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?Perdió
Yes$2.0k @ 61.9¢
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam WaltonPerdió
Adam Walton$1.0k @ 76.5¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$3.1k @ 39.3¢
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Perdió
Yes$102 @ 25.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Ganó
Yes$22.6k @ 56.6¢
Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?Perdió
Yes$1.1k @ 86.0¢
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?Ganó
Yes$102 @ 21.5¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1000 @ 51.8¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Ganó
Yes$3.2k @ 67.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Ganó
No$1000 @ 35.8¢
ITF Kayseri: Ksenia Smirnova vs Elizaveta GurianovaPerdió
Elizaveta Gurianova$1 @ 24.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Perdió
No$1000 @ 30.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Perdió
Yes$1.0k @ 49.0¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Ganó
Yes$1.0k @ 70.5¢
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja VidmanovaGanó
Ashlyn Krueger$1.0k @ 59.0¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Ganó
No$1000 @ 38.9¢
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Perdió
Yes$1.4k @ 30.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$1.0k @ 37.1¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Ganó
Yes$2.0k @ 46.5¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Perdió
HANJIN BRION$1 @ 12.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Ganó
No$100 @ 20.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?Ganó
Yes$102 @ 34.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Perdió
No$420 @ 6.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Ganó
No$6.0k @ 61.8¢
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Pablo Llamas RuizGanó
Pablo Llamas Ruiz$1.0k @ 70.2¢
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StagePerdió
GLYPH$1 @ 29.0¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?Perdió
No$1.0k @ 42.0¢
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Shevchenko vs Alex MichelsenGanó
Alex Michelsen$1.0k @ 60.0¢
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers QualifierGanó
Carolina Royal Ravens$1 @ 28.0¢
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Ganó
No$1000 @ 54.2¢
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine NaefPerdió
Mary Stoiana$1.0k @ 50.0¢
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky HijikataGanó
Rinky Hijikata$1.0k @ 50.0¢
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Perdió
No$104 @ 12.0¢
Golden Knights vs. AvalanchePerdió
Avalanche$1.0k @ 61.0¢
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Ganó
Yes$4.1k @ 49.5¢
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan BoyerPerdió
Tristan Boyer$2.0k @ 48.5¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$1000 @ 47.0¢
Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?Ganó
Yes$303 @ 72.1¢
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO5) - LCP PlayoffsPerdió
MVK Esports$1 @ 18.0¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue JaysGanó
Toronto Blue Jays$1.0k @ 60.0¢
Kosice: Dali Blanch vs Peter FajtaPerdió
Peter Fajta$1 @ 26.0¢
Brescia: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Nuria BrancaccioPerdió
Nuria Brancaccio$1.0k @ 32.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Ganó
No$1000 @ 50.3¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Perdió
Yes$205 @ 35.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$1000 @ 46.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1.5k @ 49.0¢

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