0x8920…bdb2

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8920441216c9c06c0706518a87172410df07bdb2
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+5.6pp

ROI

+24%

Tasa de acierto

58% @ 52.6¢

Brier

0.198

Resueltas

1184

Tamaño med.

$40

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	59% (71/121)	+27%	121
Política	48% (15/31)	+20%	31
Geopolítica	17% (1/6)	-54%	6
Economía	50% (1/2)	-41%	2
Cripto	100% (2/2)	+77%	2
Cultura	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other121 apuestas
Tasa acierto
59% (71/121)
ROI
+27%
Política31 apuestas
Tasa acierto
48% (15/31)
ROI
+20%
Geopolítica6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
17% (1/6)
ROI
-54%
Economía2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
-41%
Cripto2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (2/2)
ROI
+77%
Cultura1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

55% acierto · 90/163

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	$5	9.6¢	Ganó
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	$0	2.1¢	Perdió
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	65.6¢	Ganó
Epstein client list released in 2025?	No	$0	92.2¢	Ganó
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition	No	$460	45.1¢	Ganó
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition	No	$266	39.0¢	Perdió
Israel strike on Damascus by September 30?	Yes	$84	13.8¢	Perdió
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?	No	$56	51.2¢	Ganó
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	$1.9k	56.8¢	Ganó
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?	No	$240	54.5¢	Ganó
US bank failure by March 31?	Yes	$29	28.6¢	Ganó
US government shutdown by October 1?	No	$1.3k	36.7¢	Perdió
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31?	No	$39	77.6¢	Ganó
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	$262	72.8¢	Ganó
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?	Yes	$64	43.1¢	Perdió
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	$106	35.5¢	Ganó
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?	No	$5	10.0¢	Perdió
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	$2.0k	75.3¢	Ganó
North Korea missile launch by January 31?	Yes	$12	60.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?	Yes	$781	62.0¢	Ganó
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	$307	39.9¢	Ganó
Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?	No	$55	27.3¢	Perdió
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	$21	71.0¢	Ganó
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$25	28.0¢	Perdió
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?	Yes	$35	11.5¢	Perdió
Will Democrats win five elections in Nov?	No	$7	13.0¢	Perdió
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	$768	53.9¢	Ganó
Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?	No	$20	9.0¢	Perdió
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	Yes	$13	25.3¢	Ganó
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?	No	$55	25.1¢	Perdió
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?	No	$299	32.1¢	Perdió
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	$764	53.4¢	Perdió
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$803	56.9¢	Ganó
Israel strike on Yemen by September 22?	No	$31	83.0¢	Ganó
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?	Yes	$88	73.2¢	Ganó
Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by October 15?	Yes	$91	20.0¢	Ganó
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?	Yes	$232	52.8¢	Ganó
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?	No	$8	78.0¢	Ganó
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	$85	45.6¢	Perdió
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	$789	41.5¢	Ganó
Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	$126	16.0¢	Perdió
French election called by December 31?	Yes	$21	44.0¢	Perdió
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?	No	$365	60.8¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	$386	23.0¢	Perdió
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	No	$6	58.0¢	Perdió
Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?	Yes	$150	78.6¢	Ganó
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?	Yes	$34	16.3¢	Perdió
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$388	66.4¢	Perdió
Trump's Christmas Wishlist Parlay	No	$822	89.3¢	Ganó
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?	No	$10	29.0¢	Perdió

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 9.6¢
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 2.1¢
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 65.6¢
Epstein client list released in 2025?Ganó
No$0 @ 92.2¢
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel EditionGanó
No$460 @ 45.1¢
Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionPerdió
No$266 @ 39.0¢
Israel strike on Damascus by September 30?Perdió
Yes$84 @ 13.8¢
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?Ganó
No$56 @ 51.2¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Ganó
Yes$1.9k @ 56.8¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?Ganó
No$240 @ 54.5¢
US bank failure by March 31?Ganó
Yes$29 @ 28.6¢
US government shutdown by October 1?Perdió
No$1.3k @ 36.7¢
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? Ganó
No$39 @ 77.6¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Ganó
No$262 @ 72.8¢
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?Perdió
Yes$64 @ 43.1¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Ganó
No$106 @ 35.5¢
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Perdió
No$5 @ 10.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Ganó
Yes$2.0k @ 75.3¢
North Korea missile launch by January 31?Ganó
Yes$12 @ 60.0¢
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?Ganó
Yes$781 @ 62.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Ganó
Yes$307 @ 39.9¢
Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?Perdió
No$55 @ 27.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Ganó
No$21 @ 71.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$25 @ 28.0¢
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Perdió
Yes$35 @ 11.5¢
Will Democrats win five elections in Nov?Perdió
No$7 @ 13.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Ganó
No$768 @ 53.9¢
Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?Perdió
No$20 @ 9.0¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Ganó
Yes$13 @ 25.3¢
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Perdió
No$55 @ 25.1¢
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?Perdió
No$299 @ 32.1¢
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Perdió
No$764 @ 53.4¢
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$803 @ 56.9¢
Israel strike on Yemen by September 22?Ganó
No$31 @ 83.0¢
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?Ganó
Yes$88 @ 73.2¢
Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by October 15?Ganó
Yes$91 @ 20.0¢
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?Ganó
Yes$232 @ 52.8¢
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?Ganó
No$8 @ 78.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Perdió
No$85 @ 45.6¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Ganó
Yes$789 @ 41.5¢
Iran leadership change by May 31?Perdió
Yes$126 @ 16.0¢
French election called by December 31?Perdió
Yes$21 @ 44.0¢
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Ganó
No$365 @ 60.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Perdió
No$386 @ 23.0¢
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Perdió
No$6 @ 58.0¢
Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?Ganó
Yes$150 @ 78.6¢
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?Perdió
Yes$34 @ 16.3¢
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$388 @ 66.4¢
Trump's Christmas Wishlist ParlayGanó
No$822 @ 89.3¢
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Perdió
No$10 @ 29.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	—	No	$162	54.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	Política	No	$46	4.4¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?	—	Yes	$20	67.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Política	Yes	$17	1.8¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?	Política	Yes	$17	2.8¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?	—	No	$12	41.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	—	No	$9	44.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	—	No	$5	28.7¢
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Política	Yes	$5	9.6¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	—	No	$4	68.9¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	—	Yes	$4	60.4¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?	Política	Yes	$4	19.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	—	Yes	$3	5.4¢
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?	Cripto	No	$3	86.0¢
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?	—	No	$3	82.3¢
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	—	Yes	$3	42.1¢
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Geopolítica	Yes	$3	66.4¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?	Geopolítica	Yes	$3	5.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by April 30?	—	Yes	$2	93.8¢
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?	Geopolítica	Yes	$2	9.6¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Política	No	$2	65.1¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Política	No	$1	51.9¢
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	—	No	$1	70.0¢
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$1	40.5¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	—	Yes	$1	67.1¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	—	No	$1	11.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	—	No	$1	8.1¢
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	—	Yes	$1	52.4¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Política	Yes	$1	63.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	—	Yes	$1	90.9¢

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?—
No$162 @ 54.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?Política
No$46 @ 4.4¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?—
Yes$20 @ 67.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Política
Yes$17 @ 1.8¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Política
Yes$17 @ 2.8¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?—
No$12 @ 41.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?—
No$9 @ 44.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?—
No$5 @ 28.7¢
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Política
Yes$5 @ 9.6¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?—
No$4 @ 68.9¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?—
Yes$4 @ 60.4¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?Política
Yes$4 @ 19.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?—
Yes$3 @ 5.4¢
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?Cripto
No$3 @ 86.0¢
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?—
No$3 @ 82.3¢
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?—
Yes$3 @ 42.1¢
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Geopolítica
Yes$3 @ 66.4¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Geopolítica
Yes$3 @ 5.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by April 30?—
Yes$2 @ 93.8¢
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?Geopolítica
Yes$2 @ 9.6¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Política
No$2 @ 65.1¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Política
No$1 @ 51.9¢
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?—
No$1 @ 70.0¢
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?—
Yes$1 @ 40.5¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?—
Yes$1 @ 67.1¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?—
No$1 @ 11.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?—
No$1 @ 8.1¢
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?—
Yes$1 @ 52.4¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Política
Yes$1 @ 63.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?—
Yes$1 @ 90.9¢