0x8697…190d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x86974dde10087a6ff34978364ccd67dbea21190d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+7.6pp

ROI

+34%

Tasa de acierto

46% @ 38.4¢

Brier

0.169

Resueltas

330

Tamaño med.

$21

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	48% (60/124)	+2%	124
Deportes	17% (3/18)	+2%	18
Política	40% (4/10)	-0%	10
Ciencia	71% (5/7)	-0%	7
Geopolítica	75% (3/4)	+161%	4

Other124 apuestas
Tasa acierto
48% (60/124)
ROI
+2%
Deportes18 apuestas
Tasa acierto
17% (3/18)
ROI
+2%
Política10 apuestas
Tasa acierto
40% (4/10)
ROI
-0%
Ciencia7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
71% (5/7)
ROI
-0%
Geopolítica4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
75% (3/4)
ROI
+161%

Historial

46% acierto · 75/163

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Seattle have between 0.5 and 1 inches of precipitation in May?	Yes	$18	63.6¢	Ganó
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in June?	No	$336	87.4¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17?	Yes	$24	79.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 17?	Yes	$10	22.0¢	Perdió
Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	$12	13.6¢	Perdió
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Argentina	$15	75.0¢	Ganó
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$72	33.1¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$77	77.0¢	Ganó
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$16	31.0¢	Perdió
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$15	50.5¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or higher on May 4?	No	$20	39.4¢	Perdió
Will Hong Kong have between 220-230mm of precipitation in May?	Yes	$11	12.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?	Yes	$4	43.0¢	Ganó
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$3	5.2¢	Perdió
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	$50	9.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 18?	No	$25	71.8¢	Perdió
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 19?	Yes	$11	18.3¢	Ganó
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$10	28.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 11?	No	$56	89.3¢	Perdió
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 11?	No	$9	83.0¢	Perdió
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	$17	17.0¢	Perdió
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	$50	12.6¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 27?	Yes	$11	7.5¢	Ganó
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	8.6¢	Perdió
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?	No	$2	2.9¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?	Yes	$5	18.9¢	Perdió
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	$2	8.0¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$885	33.2¢	Ganó
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	No	$149	67.1¢	Ganó
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	$10	28.0¢	Perdió
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$6	11.1¢	Perdió
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?	No	$6	0.3¢	Perdió
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08?	Yes	$2	8.0¢	Perdió
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$10	13.0¢	Perdió
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 11?	Yes	$4	44.0¢	Perdió
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$10	11.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	$36	72.0¢	Ganó
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$10	12.0¢	Perdió
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$4	7.0¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$336	67.2¢	Ganó
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$13	8.9¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 25?	Yes	$5	29.3¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 14?	Yes	$1	2.5¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?	No	$34	66.6¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?	Yes	$5	86.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 12?	No	$75	88.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on April 23?	Yes	$46	14.8¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$45	45.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 25?	Yes	$5	10.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 23?	No	$149	82.7¢	Ganó

Will Seattle have between 0.5 and 1 inches of precipitation in May?Ganó
Yes$18 @ 63.6¢
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in June?Ganó
No$336 @ 87.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17?Ganó
Yes$24 @ 79.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 17?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 22.0¢
Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?Perdió
Yes$12 @ 13.6¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceGanó
Argentina$15 @ 75.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$72 @ 33.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$77 @ 77.0¢
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$16 @ 31.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 50.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or higher on May 4?Perdió
No$20 @ 39.4¢
Will Hong Kong have between 220-230mm of precipitation in May?Ganó
Yes$11 @ 12.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 43.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 5.2¢
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?Perdió
Yes$50 @ 9.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 18?Perdió
No$25 @ 71.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 19?Ganó
Yes$11 @ 18.3¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 28.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 11?Perdió
No$56 @ 89.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 11?Perdió
No$9 @ 83.0¢
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Perdió
Yes$17 @ 17.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?Perdió
Yes$50 @ 12.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 27?Ganó
Yes$11 @ 7.5¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 8.6¢
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?Perdió
No$2 @ 2.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 18.9¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Ganó
No$885 @ 33.2¢
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?Ganó
No$149 @ 67.1¢
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 28.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 11.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Perdió
No$6 @ 0.3¢
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 13.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 11?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 44.0¢
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 11.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Ganó
Yes$36 @ 72.0¢
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 12.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 7.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Ganó
No$336 @ 67.2¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Perdió
Yes$13 @ 8.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 25?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 29.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 14?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 2.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?Ganó
No$34 @ 66.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 12?Ganó
No$75 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on April 23?Perdió
Yes$46 @ 14.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$45 @ 45.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 25?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 23?Ganó
No$149 @ 82.7¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Política	No	$740	34.1¢
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Cultura	No	$85	29.1¢
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Cultura	Yes	$82	23.3¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Deportes	Yes	$17	17.0¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Política
No$740 @ 34.1¢
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Cultura
No$85 @ 29.1¢
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Cultura
Yes$82 @ 23.3¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Deportes
Yes$17 @ 17.0¢