0x860d…6071

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x860d81da0e4f6ddfc9635b6c6b26316505a26071
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+6.7pp

ROI

+36%

Tasa de acierto

53% @ 46.8¢

Brier

0.195

Resueltas

475

Tamaño med.

$22

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	47% (37/79)	+10%	79
Política	40% (16/40)	+127%	40
Deportes	64% (23/36)	+30%	36
Tecnología	40% (2/5)	+26%	5
Economía	100% (1/1)	+19%	1

Other79 apuestas
Tasa acierto
47% (37/79)
ROI
+10%
Política40 apuestas
Tasa acierto
40% (16/40)
ROI
+127%
Deportes36 apuestas
Tasa acierto
64% (23/36)
ROI
+30%
Tecnología5 apuestas
Tasa acierto
40% (2/5)
ROI
+26%
Economía1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+19%

Historial

49% acierto · 79/161

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	$1	84.0¢	Ganó
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	No	$10	64.6¢	Perdió
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	$16	79.0¢	Ganó
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	$3	38.9¢	Perdió
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$2	20.0¢	Perdió
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%?	Yes	$9	11.1¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$2	90.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?	Yes	$2	4.0¢	Perdió
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?	Yes	$6	27.3¢	Perdió
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$10	72.0¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	$6	6.0¢	Perdió
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be 120,000 voters or higher?	Yes	$1	7.0¢	Perdió
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5	Over	$2	70.0¢	Ganó
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5	Over	$3	78.0¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump's tie be red?	Yes	$2	66.0¢	Perdió
Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	$9	49.1¢	Perdió
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	No	$1	86.0¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	$55	82.0¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	$8	14.0¢	Perdió
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?	Yes	$1	11.0¢	Perdió
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$20	66.5¢	Ganó
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$17	34.0¢	Perdió
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$5	71.0¢	Ganó
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?	Yes	$2	27.0¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	$13	62.4¢	Perdió
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?	Yes	$5	62.0¢	Perdió
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$1	52.0¢	Ganó
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	$1	54.0¢	Ganó
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$6	28.8¢	Perdió
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	$2	85.0¢	Perdió
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?	Yes	$1	18.0¢	Perdió
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?	Yes	$1	38.0¢	Perdió
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	$2	21.0¢	Ganó
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	$2	23.0¢	Ganó
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	No	$1	81.0¢	Ganó
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$5	45.0¢	Perdió
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	$76	74.7¢	Ganó
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	$1	67.0¢	Perdió
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	$19	61.6¢	Ganó
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	No	$5	47.9¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	$42	81.0¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	$9	89.9¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	$193	26.9¢	Ganó
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	$2	60.0¢	Ganó
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$29	76.9¢	Ganó
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	No	$10	82.0¢	Ganó
Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	$142	88.7¢	Ganó
Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	$2	17.0¢	Perdió
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Perdió
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 90,000 and 100,000 voters?	Yes	$1	24.0¢	Perdió

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Ganó
No$1 @ 84.0¢
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Perdió
No$10 @ 64.6¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Ganó
No$16 @ 79.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Perdió
No$3 @ 38.9¢
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 20.0¢
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%?Perdió
Yes$9 @ 11.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$2 @ 90.0¢
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 4.0¢
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 27.3¢
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 72.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be 120,000 voters or higher?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Ganó
Over$2 @ 70.0¢
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Perdió
Over$3 @ 78.0¢
Will Donald Trump's tie be red?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 66.0¢
Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Perdió
Yes$9 @ 49.1¢
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?Ganó
No$1 @ 86.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Ganó
No$55 @ 82.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 14.0¢
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Ganó
Yes$20 @ 66.5¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Perdió
Yes$17 @ 34.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 71.0¢
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 27.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Perdió
Yes$13 @ 62.4¢
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 62.0¢
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreGanó
Yes$1 @ 52.0¢
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-10?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 54.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 28.8¢
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-02?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 85.0¢
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 18.0¢
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 38.0¢
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 21.0¢
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 23.0¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Ganó
No$1 @ 81.0¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 45.0¢
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Ganó
Yes$76 @ 74.7¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Perdió
No$1 @ 67.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Ganó
No$19 @ 61.6¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Ganó
No$5 @ 47.9¢
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Ganó
No$42 @ 81.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Perdió
No$9 @ 89.9¢
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Ganó
Yes$193 @ 26.9¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 60.0¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Ganó
Yes$29 @ 76.9¢
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?Ganó
No$10 @ 82.0¢
Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Ganó
No$142 @ 88.7¢
Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 17.0¢
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 90,000 and 100,000 voters?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 24.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$1.5k	68.0¢
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Política	No	$941	75.3¢
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$711	2.4¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$476	9.5¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$287	5.7¢
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Política	Yes	$269	44.8¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$261	52.1¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$218	10.9¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Política	Yes	$188	37.4¢
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$160	1.6¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$130	2.6¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Política	No	$110	73.0¢
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$105	1.1¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$90	29.9¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Política	No	$87	43.4¢
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	No	$81	40.5¢
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$79	39.5¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Política	Yes	$78	15.6¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$74	18.6¢
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$69	1.4¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Política	No	$69	69.0¢
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Política	No	$69	68.6¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$67	66.6¢
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$57	0.6¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Política	No	$54	54.0¢
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$43	0.9¢
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$42	84.8¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?	Política	Yes	$38	19.0¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Política	Yes	$37	74.8¢
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?	Política	Yes	$35	17.4¢

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Política
Yes$1.5k @ 68.0¢
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Política
No$941 @ 75.3¢
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$711 @ 2.4¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$476 @ 9.5¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$287 @ 5.7¢
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Política
Yes$269 @ 44.8¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
Yes$261 @ 52.1¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$218 @ 10.9¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolítica
Yes$188 @ 37.4¢
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$160 @ 1.6¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$130 @ 2.6¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Política
No$110 @ 73.0¢
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$105 @ 1.1¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
Yes$90 @ 29.9¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Política
No$87 @ 43.4¢
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
No$81 @ 40.5¢
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$79 @ 39.5¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolítica
Yes$78 @ 15.6¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
Yes$74 @ 18.6¢
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$69 @ 1.4¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Política
No$69 @ 69.0¢
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Política
No$69 @ 68.6¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Deportes
Yes$67 @ 66.6¢
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$57 @ 0.6¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolítica
No$54 @ 54.0¢
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$43 @ 0.9¢
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$42 @ 84.8¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?Política
Yes$38 @ 19.0¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Política
Yes$37 @ 74.8¢
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?Política
Yes$35 @ 17.4¢