0x8597…daee

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8597ca63e722d6216bfc3057591fdc67ec49daee
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Rentable

Ventaja

+5.4pp

ROI

+4%

Tasa de acierto

72% @ 67.0¢

Brier

0.162

Resueltas

3629

Tamaño med.

$316

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	69% (123/177)	-1%	177
Política	71% (59/83)	+10%	83
Geopolítica	74% (20/27)	+4%	27
Deportes	50% (3/6)	-9%	6
Tecnología	100% (5/5)	+19%	5
Cultura	67% (2/3)	+49%	3
Ciencia	100% (1/1)	+6%	1
Cripto	100% (1/1)	+71%	1

Other177 apuestas
Tasa acierto
69% (123/177)
ROI
-1%
Política83 apuestas
Tasa acierto
71% (59/83)
ROI
+10%
Geopolítica27 apuestas
Tasa acierto
74% (20/27)
ROI
+4%
Deportes6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (3/6)
ROI
-9%
Tecnología5 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (5/5)
ROI
+19%
Cultura3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (2/3)
ROI
+49%
Ciencia1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+6%
Cripto1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+71%

Historial

71% acierto · 214/303

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	$1	3.1¢	Perdió
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	Yes	$3.1k	38.8¢	Perdió
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	No	$1.4k	73.9¢	Perdió
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$1.8k	76.9¢	Ganó
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by June 30?	Yes	$91	88.6¢	Ganó
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	No	$2.5k	85.0¢	Ganó
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?	Yes	$2.7k	78.5¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$11.5k	71.6¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$20.3k	29.5¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$259	75.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?	No	$2.3k	87.0¢	Perdió
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$3.7k	83.2¢	Ganó
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	No	$1.7k	82.6¢	Ganó
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	No	$1.4k	89.0¢	Ganó
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	$106	5.3¢	Perdió
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	$3.9k	57.6¢	Ganó
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	Yes	$4.5k	82.0¢	Perdió
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?	No	$17	83.0¢	Ganó
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	No	$675	45.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?	Yes	$7.0k	81.6¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	$5.1k	85.5¢	Ganó
Will CME Group (CME) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$50	83.0¢	Ganó
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	$35	55.0¢	Perdió
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner	Sinner	$425	85.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	$532	84.8¢	Ganó
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	$4.0k	88.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$1.2k	15.0¢	Perdió
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?	Yes	$3.7k	88.1¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$8.0k	81.3¢	Ganó
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$3.2k	85.7¢	Ganó
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?	Yes	$1.7k	86.0¢	Ganó
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$1.8k	52.4¢	Ganó
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	No	$6.3k	83.3¢	Ganó
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?	No	$2.2k	68.0¢	Perdió
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	No	$5.0k	62.5¢	Ganó
Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	$8.2k	86.7¢	Ganó
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?	Yes	$2.0k	89.2¢	Ganó
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$8.7k	78.4¢	Ganó
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	No	$6.0k	83.4¢	Ganó
Will the US next strike Iran on March 7, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$25	4.1¢	Perdió
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$21.5k	79.1¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$1.4k	6.7¢	Perdió
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?	No	$387	21.5¢	Perdió
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$3.8k	84.5¢	Ganó
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	$2.4k	85.9¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	$5.5k	88.6¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$10.6k	58.5¢	Ganó
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	$1.3k	80.0¢	Ganó
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	$1.3k	88.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	Yes	$101	80.6¢	Perdió

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?Perdió
Yes$3.1k @ 38.8¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Perdió
No$1.4k @ 73.9¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Ganó
Yes$1.8k @ 76.9¢
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by June 30?Ganó
Yes$91 @ 88.6¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Ganó
No$2.5k @ 85.0¢
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?Ganó
Yes$2.7k @ 78.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$11.5k @ 71.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$20.3k @ 29.5¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Perdió
Yes$259 @ 75.0¢
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?Perdió
No$2.3k @ 87.0¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Ganó
No$3.7k @ 83.2¢
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$1.7k @ 82.6¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Ganó
No$1.4k @ 89.0¢
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Perdió
No$106 @ 5.3¢
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Ganó
Yes$3.9k @ 57.6¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Perdió
Yes$4.5k @ 82.0¢
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?Ganó
No$17 @ 83.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$675 @ 45.0¢
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? Ganó
Yes$7.0k @ 81.6¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Ganó
No$5.1k @ 85.5¢
Will CME Group (CME) beat quarterly earnings?Ganó
Yes$50 @ 83.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Perdió
No$35 @ 55.0¢
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik SinnerPerdió
Sinner$425 @ 85.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Ganó
No$532 @ 84.8¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Ganó
No$4.0k @ 88.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.2k @ 15.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?Ganó
Yes$3.7k @ 88.1¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Ganó
No$8.0k @ 81.3¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$3.2k @ 85.7¢
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?Ganó
Yes$1.7k @ 86.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Ganó
Yes$1.8k @ 52.4¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Ganó
No$6.3k @ 83.3¢
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?Perdió
No$2.2k @ 68.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Ganó
No$5.0k @ 62.5¢
Iran leadership change by May 31?Ganó
No$8.2k @ 86.7¢
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?Ganó
Yes$2.0k @ 89.2¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$8.7k @ 78.4¢
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Ganó
No$6.0k @ 83.4¢
Will the US next strike Iran on March 7, 2026 (ET)?Perdió
Yes$25 @ 4.1¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Perdió
No$21.5k @ 79.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Perdió
Yes$1.4k @ 6.7¢
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?Perdió
No$387 @ 21.5¢
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?Ganó
Yes$3.8k @ 84.5¢
Iran leadership change by March 13?Ganó
No$2.4k @ 85.9¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$5.5k @ 88.6¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$10.6k @ 58.5¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Ganó
No$1.3k @ 80.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Ganó
No$1.3k @ 88.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Perdió
Yes$101 @ 80.6¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$14.0k	83.9¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Geopolítica	Yes	$11.1k	75.1¢
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Geopolítica	No	$11.0k	75.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Política	Yes	$10.7k	81.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$6.6k	83.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Política	No	$6.6k	65.8¢
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$5.8k	75.3¢
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$5.7k	95.3¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Política	No	$4.8k	69.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Política	No	$4.4k	86.9¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Tecnología	No	$4.3k	83.7¢
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?	Política	No	$3.9k	84.5¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Política	Yes	$2.2k	64.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$2.1k	78.7¢
Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?	Política	No	$2.1k	90.6¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Geopolítica	Yes	$2.1k	83.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Política	No	$1.7k	42.4¢
Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?	Tecnología	No	$1.2k	81.4¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Tecnología	Yes	$1.1k	25.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Política	No	$1.0k	69.7¢
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Geopolítica	No	$994	85.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Política	No	$524	8.3¢
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?	Política	No	$199	89.5¢
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$48	85.0¢
Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30?	Política	No	$32	97.0¢
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	Other	No	$30	41.0¢
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Geopolítica	No	$1	90.0¢

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Política
No$14.0k @ 83.9¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Geopolítica
Yes$11.1k @ 75.1¢
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Geopolítica
No$11.0k @ 75.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Política
Yes$10.7k @ 81.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$6.6k @ 83.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Política
No$6.6k @ 65.8¢
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Geopolítica
No$5.8k @ 75.3¢
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Política
No$5.7k @ 95.3¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Política
No$4.8k @ 69.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Política
No$4.4k @ 86.9¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tecnología
No$4.3k @ 83.7¢
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?Política
No$3.9k @ 84.5¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Política
Yes$2.2k @ 64.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
Yes$2.1k @ 78.7¢
Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?Política
No$2.1k @ 90.6¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Geopolítica
Yes$2.1k @ 83.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Política
No$1.7k @ 42.4¢
Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Tecnología
No$1.2k @ 81.4¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tecnología
Yes$1.1k @ 25.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Política
No$1.0k @ 69.7¢
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Geopolítica
No$994 @ 85.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Política
No$524 @ 8.3¢
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?Política
No$199 @ 89.5¢
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$48 @ 85.0¢
Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30?Política
No$32 @ 97.0¢
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Other
No$30 @ 41.0¢
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Geopolítica
No$1 @ 90.0¢