0x848d…35e6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x848df648f91091f0f90d941990764c895d1235e6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+14.0pp

ROI

+14%

Tasa de acierto

71% @ 57.2¢

Brier

0.178

Resueltas

535

Tamaño med.

$50

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	54% (22/41)	+24%	41
Other	63% (20/32)	-9%	32
Geopolítica	64% (9/14)	+31%	14
Deportes	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Política41 apuestas
Tasa acierto
54% (22/41)
ROI
+24%
Other32 apuestas
Tasa acierto
63% (20/32)
ROI
-9%
Geopolítica14 apuestas
Tasa acierto
64% (9/14)
ROI
+31%
Deportes1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

58% acierto · 51/88

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	No	$276	61.3¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	No	$136	42.4¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	$346	86.9¢	Ganó
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?	No	$258	86.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$1.1k	67.2¢	Ganó
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	$468	40.6¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	$84	81.4¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$310	83.6¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?	Yes	$74	10.7¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$52	26.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	$84	84.0¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	$65	54.0¢	Ganó
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	No	$155	81.3¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	21.0¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$40	80.0¢	Ganó
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?	Yes	$23	3.5¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	No	$78	78.0¢	Perdió
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$205	83.8¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$597	36.5¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	$262	74.8¢	Ganó
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	$1.5k	78.4¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.8¢	Perdió
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	$189	8.3¢	Perdió
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$380	76.0¢	Ganó
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	No	$1.1k	88.3¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	$40	64.9¢	Perdió
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?	Yes	$1000	85.5¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$364	71.3¢	Ganó
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$100	83.0¢	Ganó
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?	No	$246	24.6¢	Perdió
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	$88	87.7¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	$370	77.3¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$34	18.0¢	Perdió
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?	No	$110	85.0¢	Ganó
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?	Yes	$1	11.0¢	Perdió
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?	No	$38	76.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$193	48.3¢	Perdió
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	No	$516	82.9¢	Ganó
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$9	2.2¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	$254	60.6¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$21	35.0¢	Perdió
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?	No	$350	85.3¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	$80	66.3¢	Perdió
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	$117	78.0¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$902	83.4¢	Ganó
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	$44	88.0¢	Ganó
Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$24	60.0¢	Ganó
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	No	$237	52.4¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$900	73.0¢	Ganó
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$300	64.7¢	Ganó

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Ganó
No$276 @ 61.3¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Ganó
No$136 @ 42.4¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Ganó
No$346 @ 86.9¢
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Ganó
No$258 @ 86.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$1.1k @ 67.2¢
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?Perdió
Yes$468 @ 40.6¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Ganó
No$84 @ 81.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$310 @ 83.6¢
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?Perdió
Yes$74 @ 10.7¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Perdió
Yes$52 @ 26.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?Ganó
No$84 @ 84.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Ganó
Yes$65 @ 54.0¢
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$155 @ 81.3¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 21.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$40 @ 80.0¢
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?Perdió
Yes$23 @ 3.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Perdió
No$78 @ 78.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Perdió
No$205 @ 83.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Ganó
No$597 @ 36.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Ganó
No$262 @ 74.8¢
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?Ganó
Yes$1.5k @ 78.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Perdió
Yes$189 @ 8.3¢
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$380 @ 76.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Ganó
No$1.1k @ 88.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Perdió
No$40 @ 64.9¢
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?Ganó
Yes$1000 @ 85.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Ganó
No$364 @ 71.3¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Ganó
Yes$100 @ 83.0¢
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?Perdió
No$246 @ 24.6¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Ganó
Yes$88 @ 87.7¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Ganó
No$370 @ 77.3¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$34 @ 18.0¢
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?Ganó
No$110 @ 85.0¢
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Ganó
No$38 @ 76.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$193 @ 48.3¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Ganó
No$516 @ 82.9¢
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$9 @ 2.2¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$254 @ 60.6¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$21 @ 35.0¢
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Ganó
No$350 @ 85.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$80 @ 66.3¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?Ganó
Yes$117 @ 78.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$902 @ 83.4¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Ganó
Yes$44 @ 88.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by October 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$24 @ 60.0¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Perdió
No$237 @ 52.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Ganó
No$900 @ 73.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Ganó
No$300 @ 64.7¢

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