0x841f…bbd0

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x841ff7664a363a502639fb6eab10724d5fa1bbd0
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Rentable

Ventaja

-16.4pp

ROI

+7%

Tasa de acierto

45% @ 61.0¢

Brier

0.223

Resueltas

Tamaño med.

$199

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	20% (2/10)	-3%	10
Política	83% (5/6)	+22%	6
Geopolítica	100% (2/2)	+15%	2
Tecnología	100% (1/1)	+100%	1
Deportes	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other10 apuestas
Tasa acierto
20% (2/10)
ROI
-3%
Política6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
83% (5/6)
ROI
+22%
Geopolítica2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (2/2)
ROI
+15%
Tecnología1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+100%
Deportes1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

50% acierto · 10/20

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$102	50.0¢	Ganó
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?	No	$458	75.9¢	Ganó
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?	No	$100	53.0¢	Perdió
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	No	$3.5k	88.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$320	80.0¢	Ganó
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	$107	26.0¢	Perdió
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$72	35.5¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$4.0k	84.8¢	Ganó
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	$67	66.0¢	Ganó
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$282	67.0¢	Perdió
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$503	87.2¢	Ganó
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?	No	$100	81.9¢	Perdió
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	$1.1k	81.4¢	Ganó
Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?	Yes	$20	17.3¢	Perdió
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	$65	75.0¢	Perdió
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes	Nebraska Cornhuskers	$248	64.7¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump dance on June 14, 2026?	Yes	$55	55.0¢	Perdió
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$98	49.0¢	Ganó
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$502	89.2¢	Ganó
Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$82	41.0¢	Perdió

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Ganó
Yes$102 @ 50.0¢
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?Ganó
No$458 @ 75.9¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?Perdió
No$100 @ 53.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Ganó
No$3.5k @ 88.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Ganó
No$320 @ 80.0¢
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Perdió
Yes$107 @ 26.0¢
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$72 @ 35.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Ganó
No$4.0k @ 84.8¢
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Ganó
No$67 @ 66.0¢
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Perdió
No$282 @ 67.0¢
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?Ganó
Yes$503 @ 87.2¢
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?Perdió
No$100 @ 81.9¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?Ganó
No$1.1k @ 81.4¢
Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 17.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$65 @ 75.0¢
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa HawkeyesPerdió
Nebraska Cornhuskers$248 @ 64.7¢
Will Donald Trump dance on June 14, 2026?Perdió
Yes$55 @ 55.0¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$98 @ 49.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Ganó
No$502 @ 89.2¢
Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?Perdió
Yes$82 @ 41.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Geopolítica	Yes	$365	73.0¢
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?	—	No	$258	86.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?	—	No	$191	95.7¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Deportes	Yes	$128	25.6¢
Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Política	Yes	$82	41.0¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Política	No	$39	39.3¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in July?	—	No	$4	80.0¢
Will $ANSEM reach $2 before 2027?	—	Yes	$1	3.0¢

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Geopolítica
Yes$365 @ 73.0¢
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?—
No$258 @ 86.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?—
No$191 @ 95.7¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Deportes
Yes$128 @ 25.6¢
Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?Política
Yes$82 @ 41.0¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Política
No$39 @ 39.3¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in July?—
No$4 @ 80.0¢
Will $ANSEM reach $2 before 2027?—
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢