0x8242…0f3c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8242a0899ad50231a13e4dc401d1bfbbf3f60f3c
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+11.9pp

ROI

+10%

Tasa de acierto

61% @ 49.2¢

Brier

0.165

Resueltas

591

Tamaño med.

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	31% (15/49)	+7%	49
Other	50% (18/36)	-13%	36
Cripto	60% (3/5)	+120%	5
Tecnología	100% (2/2)	+109%	2
Geopolítica	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Política49 apuestas
Tasa acierto
31% (15/49)
ROI
+7%
Other36 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (18/36)
ROI
-13%
Cripto5 apuestas
Tasa acierto
60% (3/5)
ROI
+120%
Tecnología2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (2/2)
ROI
+109%
Geopolítica2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Historial

40% acierto · 38/94

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Weed rescheduled by June 30?	No	$1	72.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$1	59.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$24	15.4¢	Perdió
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	$1	60.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$10	11.2¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$2	72.0¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$3	16.0¢	Perdió
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	Yes	$1	12.0¢	Perdió
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	Yes	$1	19.0¢	Perdió
Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	$2	31.7¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$21	72.2¢	Ganó
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$23	0.9¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$1	11.0¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$41	37.2¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$7	2.5¢	Perdió
Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	$2	0.6¢	Perdió
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	$1	6.1¢	Perdió
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	$8	17.3¢	Perdió
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	$10	57.4¢	Ganó
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	$1	13.0¢	Ganó
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	No	$1	83.0¢	Perdió
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Yes	$11	42.1¢	Ganó
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	$4	40.0¢	Ganó
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	$8	0.8¢	Perdió
Will Trump post "Secret Service" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	$2	82.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$7	13.8¢	Perdió
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$6	31.4¢	Perdió
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$22	75.9¢	Ganó
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	$4	18.0¢	Perdió
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	$5	76.2¢	Ganó
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	$2	83.0¢	Ganó
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	$5	6.4¢	Perdió
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?	Yes	$7	5.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$5	51.8¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	26.5¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	No	$1	24.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$3	71.3¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$1	57.0¢	Ganó
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	5.9¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?	No	$1	65.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?	Yes	$11	30.1¢	Perdió
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?	No	$1	87.0¢	Ganó
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	$29	86.0¢	Perdió
Netanyahu out by March 31?	Yes	$6	0.6¢	Perdió
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	$1	9.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	$2	8.3¢	Perdió
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	$2	52.5¢	Perdió
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	$18	45.5¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	$2	30.6¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	82.0¢	Ganó

Weed rescheduled by June 30?Ganó
No$1 @ 72.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$1 @ 59.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$24 @ 15.4¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Perdió
No$1 @ 60.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 11.2¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Ganó
No$2 @ 72.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 16.0¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 19.0¢
Iran leadership change by May 31?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 31.7¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$21 @ 72.2¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Perdió
Yes$23 @ 0.9¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$41 @ 37.2¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 2.5¢
Trump out as President by May 31?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 0.6¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 6.1¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Perdió
No$8 @ 17.3¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 57.4¢
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Perdió
No$1 @ 83.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Ganó
Yes$11 @ 42.1¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Ganó
No$4 @ 40.0¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 0.8¢
Will Trump post "Secret Service" on Truth Social this week?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 82.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 13.8¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Perdió
No$6 @ 31.4¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Ganó
Yes$22 @ 75.9¢
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Perdió
No$4 @ 18.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 76.2¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Ganó
No$2 @ 83.0¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 6.4¢
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 5.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$5 @ 51.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 26.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Ganó
No$1 @ 24.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 71.3¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 57.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 5.9¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?Ganó
No$1 @ 65.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?Perdió
Yes$11 @ 30.1¢
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? Ganó
No$1 @ 87.0¢
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Perdió
Yes$29 @ 86.0¢
Netanyahu out by March 31?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 0.6¢
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Perdió
No$1 @ 9.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 8.3¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Perdió
No$2 @ 52.5¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Ganó
Yes$18 @ 45.5¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Perdió
No$2 @ 30.6¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 82.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$27	69.1¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Geopolítica	Yes	$18	64.3¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$15	96.9¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Política	No	$12	74.3¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Geopolítica	Yes	$10	45.8¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$8	38.6¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Geopolítica	Yes	$7	9.0¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Política	No	$6	62.7¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	Política	Yes	$6	55.0¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Política	Yes	$6	39.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolítica	No	$5	80.0¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	Yes	$5	16.4¢
Kash Patel out by June 30?	Política	Yes	$4	39.3¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	No	$4	54.8¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	Política	No	$4	33.2¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Política	No	$3	74.0¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	No	$3	83.0¢
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Política	No	$3	93.1¢
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 17, 2026?	—	Yes	$3	63.4¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Política	Yes	$3	67.3¢
Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?	Política	Yes	$3	54.6¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Ciencia	No	$3	91.5¢
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?	Política	Yes	$3	17.0¢
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Política	Yes	$3	27.7¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	Yes	$2	14.1¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?	Política	No	$2	97.9¢
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Política	Yes	$2	62.0¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Política	No	$2	75.5¢
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 17, 2026?	—	No	$2	89.9¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$2	51.0¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$27 @ 69.1¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Geopolítica
Yes$18 @ 64.3¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Geopolítica
No$15 @ 96.9¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Política
No$12 @ 74.3¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolítica
Yes$10 @ 45.8¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$8 @ 38.6¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Geopolítica
Yes$7 @ 9.0¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Política
No$6 @ 62.7¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Política
Yes$6 @ 55.0¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Política
Yes$6 @ 39.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolítica
No$5 @ 80.0¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
Yes$5 @ 16.4¢
Kash Patel out by June 30?Política
Yes$4 @ 39.3¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
No$4 @ 54.8¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Política
No$4 @ 33.2¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Política
No$3 @ 74.0¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
No$3 @ 83.0¢
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Política
No$3 @ 93.1¢
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 17, 2026?—
Yes$3 @ 63.4¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Política
Yes$3 @ 67.3¢
Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?Política
Yes$3 @ 54.6¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ciencia
No$3 @ 91.5¢
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?Política
Yes$3 @ 17.0¢
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Política
Yes$3 @ 27.7¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
Yes$2 @ 14.1¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?Política
No$2 @ 97.9¢
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Política
Yes$2 @ 62.0¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Política
No$2 @ 75.5¢
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 17, 2026?—
No$2 @ 89.9¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
Yes$2 @ 51.0¢