0x81e9…1812

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x81e930b91d3423d231cce7b32623cd4ceac51812
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+6.6pp

ROI

+39%

Tasa de acierto

47% @ 39.9¢

Brier

0.172

Resueltas

673

Tamaño med.

$26

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	48% (30/62)	-3%	62
Política	58% (14/24)	+18%	24
Tecnología	80% (4/5)	+62%	5
Cripto	67% (2/3)	+127%	3
Geopolítica	100% (2/2)	+26%	2
Deportes	100% (1/1)	+55%	1

Other62 apuestas
Tasa acierto
48% (30/62)
ROI
-3%
Política24 apuestas
Tasa acierto
58% (14/24)
ROI
+18%
Tecnología5 apuestas
Tasa acierto
80% (4/5)
ROI
+62%
Cripto3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (2/3)
ROI
+127%
Geopolítica2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (2/2)
ROI
+26%
Deportes1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+55%

Historial

55% acierto · 53/97

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?	No	$30	32.0¢	Ganó
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$21	64.6¢	Ganó
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$8	0.5¢	Perdió
Kings vs. Flames	Kings	$20	61.0¢	Perdió
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	$91	87.9¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$182	81.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.3k	25.9¢	Perdió
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$366	49.4¢	Ganó
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	$15	3.4¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$72	52.8¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$200	38.5¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$163	85.7¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$28	14.4¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$174	78.2¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	$176	88.0¢	Ganó
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$20	3.2¢	Perdió
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	$182	72.0¢	Ganó
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$2	0.5¢	Perdió
Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	$85	85.0¢	Ganó
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$78	81.0¢	Ganó
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	$12	22.0¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$2.5k	28.5¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.3k	51.4¢	Perdió
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	Yes	$100	6.0¢	Perdió
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	$52	87.0¢	Perdió
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?	No	$176	86.4¢	Ganó
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	$4	76.0¢	Ganó
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	$127	55.2¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	$294	34.3¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$150	46.0¢	Ganó
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$5	1.1¢	Perdió
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	$23	68.0¢	Ganó
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	$48	82.0¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	$4	40.8¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026?	Yes	$119	88.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.2k	49.7¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?	Yes	$46	69.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	$167	76.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	$8	9.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Too Late" or "Fed" during Fox interview on Wednesday?	Yes	$4	79.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$13	50.0¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$363	25.7¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$248	55.0¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	$17	34.0¢	Ganó
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$51	2.1¢	Perdió
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	$10	26.0¢	Perdió
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	$258	41.7¢	Ganó
LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season	Ici Japon Corp. Esport	$3	52.0¢	Ganó
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	$30	39.0¢	Perdió
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$8	34.8¢	Perdió

Will Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?Ganó
No$30 @ 32.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Ganó
Yes$21 @ 64.6¢
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 0.5¢
Kings vs. FlamesPerdió
Kings$20 @ 61.0¢
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Ganó
No$91 @ 87.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$182 @ 81.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.3k @ 25.9¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Ganó
Yes$366 @ 49.4¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 3.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Ganó
No$72 @ 52.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Perdió
Yes$200 @ 38.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$163 @ 85.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$28 @ 14.4¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Ganó
No$174 @ 78.2¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?Ganó
No$176 @ 88.0¢
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 3.2¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Ganó
No$182 @ 72.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
Iran leadership change by May 31?Ganó
No$85 @ 85.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$78 @ 81.0¢
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Ganó
Yes$12 @ 22.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$2.5k @ 28.5¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.3k @ 51.4¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?Perdió
Yes$100 @ 6.0¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Perdió
No$52 @ 87.0¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?Ganó
No$176 @ 86.4¢
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Ganó
No$4 @ 76.0¢
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Ganó
Yes$127 @ 55.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Perdió
No$294 @ 34.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Ganó
Yes$150 @ 46.0¢
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 1.1¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Ganó
Yes$23 @ 68.0¢
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Perdió
Yes$48 @ 82.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Ganó
No$4 @ 40.8¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026?Ganó
Yes$119 @ 88.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1.2k @ 49.7¢
Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?Ganó
Yes$46 @ 69.0¢
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Ganó
Yes$167 @ 76.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 9.0¢
Will Trump say "Too Late" or "Fed" during Fox interview on Wednesday?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 79.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Perdió
Yes$13 @ 50.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Perdió
No$363 @ 25.7¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Ganó
Yes$248 @ 55.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Ganó
Yes$17 @ 34.0¢
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?Perdió
Yes$51 @ 2.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 26.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Ganó
Yes$258 @ 41.7¢
LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular SeasonGanó
Ici Japon Corp. Esport$3 @ 52.0¢
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Perdió
Yes$30 @ 39.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 34.8¢

Operaciones recientes

en vivo desde Polymarket · haz clic en una columna para ordenar

Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Política	No	$1.8k	35.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	Cripto	No	$438	87.5¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	Política	No	$364	35.2¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Política	No	$348	70.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolítica	No	$302	92.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Other	No	$265	80.6¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Política	No	$240	93.3¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$221	70.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$165	67.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$125	14.0¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Geopolítica	Yes	$104	77.0¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$77	90.0¢
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Política	Yes	$71	43.3¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$60	96.2¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$52	62.4¢
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?	Política	Yes	$50	40.6¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?	Política	No	$44	69.0¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Ciencia	Yes	$27	9.7¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Ciencia	Yes	$23	26.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Política	No	$19	68.0¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Política	Yes	$15	3.4¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	Política	Yes	$4	1.6¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$1	0.5¢
100kt meteor strike in 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$1	6.0¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Política
No$1.8k @ 35.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Cripto
No$438 @ 87.5¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Política
No$364 @ 35.2¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Política
No$348 @ 70.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolítica
No$302 @ 92.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Other
No$265 @ 80.6¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Política
No$240 @ 93.3¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
Yes$221 @ 70.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$165 @ 67.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tecnología
Yes$125 @ 14.0¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Geopolítica
Yes$104 @ 77.0¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Política
Yes$77 @ 90.0¢
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Política
Yes$71 @ 43.3¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Política
Yes$60 @ 96.2¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Deportes
Yes$52 @ 62.4¢
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Política
Yes$50 @ 40.6¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?Política
No$44 @ 69.0¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ciencia
Yes$27 @ 9.7¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?Ciencia
Yes$23 @ 26.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Política
No$19 @ 68.0¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Política
Yes$15 @ 3.4¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Política
Yes$4 @ 1.6¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Política
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
100kt meteor strike in 2026?Tecnología
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢