0x80cf…614d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x80cf0749b26556cb2ce5bad513388309865d614d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+5.4pp

ROI

+27%

Tasa de acierto

38% @ 32.3¢

Brier

0.178

Resueltas

1491

Tamaño med.

$82

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	35% (56/159)	+30%	159
Política	46% (16/35)	+12%	35
Tecnología	43% (3/7)	+84%	7
Economía	75% (3/4)	+22%	4
Negocios	100% (1/1)	+23%	1

Other159 apuestas
Tasa acierto
35% (56/159)
ROI
+30%
Política35 apuestas
Tasa acierto
46% (16/35)
ROI
+12%
Tecnología7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
43% (3/7)
ROI
+84%
Economía4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
75% (3/4)
ROI
+22%
Negocios1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+23%

Historial

38% acierto · 79/206

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?	No	$257	82.0¢	Ganó
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?	Yes	$47	15.0¢	Perdió
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	$2.9k	78.2¢	Ganó
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?	No	$545	89.0¢	Ganó
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?	Yes	$209	19.3¢	Perdió
Will Trump issue 15-19 executive orders on Day 1?	Yes	$70	7.0¢	Perdió
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?	Yes	$123	15.4¢	Perdió
Will Elon Musk attend presidential inauguration?	No	$0	4.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.1k	30.1¢	Perdió
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?	No	$800	80.0¢	Ganó
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?	Yes	$36	3.6¢	Perdió
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?	No	$70	7.0¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	$438	73.0¢	Ganó
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	No	$1.1k	51.5¢	Ganó
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	Yes	$964	50.0¢	Perdió
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?	No	$466	77.7¢	Ganó
Will the next US Speaker be elected in three ballots?	No	$122	76.0¢	Ganó
Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?	No	$48	4.3¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	$223	13.4¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$518	37.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$2	18.0¢	Ganó
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Perdió
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	No	$1.1k	78.5¢	Ganó
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?	No	$26	52.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?	Yes	$10	1.4¢	Perdió
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?	No	$1.7k	14.6¢	Perdió
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on May 16?	Yes	$211	19.0¢	Perdió
Will Ron DeSantis be Trump's Defense Secretary?	Yes	$3	0.6¢	Perdió
Assad public appearance before 2025?	Yes	$21	1.4¢	Perdió
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?	Yes	$22	12.6¢	Perdió
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?	No	$160	88.0¢	Ganó
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$558	0.7¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Epstein" by Monday?	Yes	$39	7.7¢	Perdió
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	No	$8	81.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	$1.4k	32.5¢	Perdió
Will Trump meet Pope Leo XIV before August?	Yes	$2	42.0¢	Perdió
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?	Yes	$83	8.3¢	Ganó
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?	No	$2.6k	68.1¢	Perdió
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	$338	26.0¢	Perdió
Congress passes funding bill before 2025?	No	$1	0.1¢	Perdió
Will Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?	Yes	$4	1.2¢	Perdió
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?	No	$130	51.0¢	Ganó
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?	Yes	$23	46.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	$356	89.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	$64	8.0¢	Perdió
Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through 2025?	No	$359	24.0¢	Perdió
Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through 2025?	Yes	$160	70.9¢	Ganó
Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?	Yes	$3	0.9¢	Perdió
Will Trump issue 10-14 executive orders on Day 1?	Yes	$87	5.8¢	Perdió
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September 2026?	Yes	$144	55.8¢	Perdió

Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?Ganó
No$257 @ 82.0¢
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?Perdió
Yes$47 @ 15.0¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Ganó
Yes$2.9k @ 78.2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Ganó
No$545 @ 89.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Perdió
Yes$209 @ 19.3¢
Will Trump issue 15-19 executive orders on Day 1?Perdió
Yes$70 @ 7.0¢
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?Perdió
Yes$123 @ 15.4¢
Will Elon Musk attend presidential inauguration?Perdió
No$0 @ 4.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.1k @ 30.1¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Ganó
No$800 @ 80.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Perdió
Yes$36 @ 3.6¢
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?Perdió
No$70 @ 7.0¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Ganó
No$438 @ 73.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Ganó
No$1.1k @ 51.5¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Perdió
Yes$964 @ 50.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?Ganó
No$466 @ 77.7¢
Will the next US Speaker be elected in three ballots?Ganó
No$122 @ 76.0¢
Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?Perdió
No$48 @ 4.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Perdió
No$223 @ 13.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$518 @ 37.0¢
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 18.0¢
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Ganó
No$1.1k @ 78.5¢
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Perdió
No$26 @ 52.0¢
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 1.4¢
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?Perdió
No$1.7k @ 14.6¢
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on May 16?Perdió
Yes$211 @ 19.0¢
Will Ron DeSantis be Trump's Defense Secretary?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 0.6¢
Assad public appearance before 2025?Perdió
Yes$21 @ 1.4¢
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?Perdió
Yes$22 @ 12.6¢
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?Ganó
No$160 @ 88.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$558 @ 0.7¢
Will Trump say "Epstein" by Monday?Perdió
Yes$39 @ 7.7¢
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Ganó
No$8 @ 81.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.4k @ 32.5¢
Will Trump meet Pope Leo XIV before August?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 42.0¢
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?Ganó
Yes$83 @ 8.3¢
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Perdió
No$2.6k @ 68.1¢
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Perdió
Yes$338 @ 26.0¢
Congress passes funding bill before 2025?Perdió
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 1.2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Ganó
No$130 @ 51.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Perdió
Yes$23 @ 46.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Ganó
No$356 @ 89.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Perdió
Yes$64 @ 8.0¢
Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through 2025?Perdió
No$359 @ 24.0¢
Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through 2025?Ganó
Yes$160 @ 70.9¢
Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 0.9¢
Will Trump issue 10-14 executive orders on Day 1?Perdió
Yes$87 @ 5.8¢
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September 2026?Perdió
Yes$144 @ 55.8¢

Operaciones recientes

en vivo desde Polymarket · haz clic en una columna para ordenar

Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	No	$7.4k	50.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$7.4k	50.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Política	Yes	$1.4k	6.4¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$498	9.0¢
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	Política	No	$292	66.7¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Política	Yes	$216	36.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$139	18.1¢
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Política	No	$138	9.0¢
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$125	9.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$124	62.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$69	69.0¢
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$64	10.1¢
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	Política	Yes	$48	8.0¢
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	Tecnología	No	$43	7.1¢
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Tecnología	No	$41	51.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	Yes	$18	18.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$17	7.1¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$6	36.0¢
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?	Tecnología	Yes	$3	35.0¢

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
No$7.4k @ 50.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
Yes$7.4k @ 50.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Política
Yes$1.4k @ 6.4¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$498 @ 9.0¢
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Política
No$292 @ 66.7¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Política
Yes$216 @ 36.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tecnología
Yes$139 @ 18.1¢
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Política
No$138 @ 9.0¢
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$125 @ 9.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tecnología
Yes$124 @ 62.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$69 @ 69.0¢
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$64 @ 10.1¢
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Política
Yes$48 @ 8.0¢
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tecnología
No$43 @ 7.1¢
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tecnología
No$41 @ 51.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
Yes$18 @ 18.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tecnología
Yes$17 @ 7.1¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$6 @ 36.0¢
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?Tecnología
Yes$3 @ 35.0¢