0x71ed…d338

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x71edffd0d70a1da823ff07a3c6fc81457294d338
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Rentable

Ventaja

+19.2pp

ROI

+4%

Tasa de acierto

68% @ 49.1¢

Brier

0.254

Resueltas

644

Tamaño med.

$531

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	26% (5/19)	-92%	19
Política	31% (4/13)	+75%	13
Tecnología	43% (3/7)	-42%	7
Deportes	17% (1/6)	-23%	6
Economía	17% (1/6)	-96%	6
Cripto	50% (1/2)	-85%	2
Geopolítica	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other19 apuestas
Tasa acierto
26% (5/19)
ROI
-92%
Política13 apuestas
Tasa acierto
31% (4/13)
ROI
+75%
Tecnología7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
43% (3/7)
ROI
-42%
Deportes6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
17% (1/6)
ROI
-23%
Economía6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
17% (1/6)
ROI
-96%
Cripto2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
-85%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

28% acierto · 15/54

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	$926	79.2¢	Perdió
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	No	$8	74.0¢	Perdió
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$7	7.0¢	Perdió
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$196	48.0¢	Ganó
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$1.0k	64.0¢	Ganó
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$973	0.5¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$11.5k	17.7¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	$33.0k	78.3¢	Perdió
Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?	Yes	$5	15.0¢	Perdió
Will 53 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?	Yes	$8	12.7¢	Perdió
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	$6	6.0¢	Perdió
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	$27	40.0¢	Ganó
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	$136	67.0¢	Ganó
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	$100	9.5¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.8k	90.0¢	Ganó
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	$680	81.4¢	Perdió
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	No	$50	30.1¢	Perdió
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	$93.8k	68.2¢	Perdió
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?	Yes	$8	15.0¢	Perdió
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$123.4k	43.9¢	Ganó
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?	No	$28	27.0¢	Perdió
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$7.0k	25.2¢	Perdió
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$55.1k	76.2¢	Ganó
Will 52 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?	Yes	$2	44.9¢	Perdió
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	$144	47.0¢	Perdió
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	$10	12.0¢	Perdió
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$9.9k	32.2¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?	No	$102	71.1¢	Ganó
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$85	6.3¢	Perdió
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$246	25.0¢	Perdió
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?	No	$11	11.0¢	Perdió
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	$128	85.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	$100	12.3¢	Perdió
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	No	$74	33.7¢	Perdió
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$553	18.0¢	Perdió
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	$1.0k	56.1¢	Perdió
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	$2	1.7¢	Perdió
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$87	87.0¢	Ganó
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	No	$883	89.4¢	Ganó
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	$100	48.0¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$220	22.0¢	Perdió
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	$501	81.0¢	Ganó
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	$20	20.0¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$581	56.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	$2	1.3¢	Perdió
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$14.0k	88.7¢	Ganó
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?	No	$2	28.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$193	12.4¢	Perdió
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	$144	28.0¢	Perdió
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	$7	1.6¢	Perdió

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Perdió
No$926 @ 79.2¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Perdió
No$8 @ 74.0¢
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Ganó
Yes$196 @ 48.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Ganó
Yes$1.0k @ 64.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$973 @ 0.5¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$11.5k @ 17.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Perdió
No$33.0k @ 78.3¢
Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 15.0¢
Will 53 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 12.7¢
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Ganó
Yes$27 @ 40.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Ganó
Yes$136 @ 67.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Perdió
Yes$100 @ 9.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1.8k @ 90.0¢
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Perdió
No$680 @ 81.4¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?Perdió
No$50 @ 30.1¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Perdió
No$93.8k @ 68.2¢
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 15.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$123.4k @ 43.9¢
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?Perdió
No$28 @ 27.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Perdió
No$7.0k @ 25.2¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$55.1k @ 76.2¢
Will 52 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 44.9¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Perdió
Yes$144 @ 47.0¢
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 12.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$9.9k @ 32.2¢
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?Ganó
No$102 @ 71.1¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$85 @ 6.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$246 @ 25.0¢
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?Perdió
No$11 @ 11.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Ganó
Yes$128 @ 85.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Perdió
No$100 @ 12.3¢
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?Perdió
No$74 @ 33.7¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?Perdió
Yes$553 @ 18.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Perdió
Yes$1.0k @ 56.1¢
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?Perdió
No$2 @ 1.7¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Ganó
No$87 @ 87.0¢
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?Ganó
No$883 @ 89.4¢
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Perdió
No$100 @ 48.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Perdió
No$220 @ 22.0¢
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Ganó
No$501 @ 81.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Ganó
Yes$581 @ 56.0¢
Will Trump's remarks not air?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 1.3¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$14.0k @ 88.7¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?Perdió
No$2 @ 28.0¢
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$193 @ 12.4¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Perdió
Yes$144 @ 28.0¢
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 1.6¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$17.2k	45.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$9.1k	65.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$6.7k	45.0¢
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?	Economía	No	$6.1k	88.4¢
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?	Economía	No	$4.1k	77.4¢
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	Economía	No	$3.9k	56.2¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$3.1k	74.5¢
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$1.9k	18.8¢
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Cripto	No	$1.6k	94.0¢
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?	Economía	No	$920	90.0¢
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?	Other	Yes	$488	84.7¢
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$480	37.6¢
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Economía	Yes	$273	23.9¢
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$204	36.4¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?	Política	No	$196	81.5¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?	Política	No	$173	74.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Política	Yes	$158	62.2¢
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?	Cripto	No	$125	80.1¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$71	71.0¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economía	No	$56	24.7¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$45	45.0¢
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$43	13.4¢
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economía	Yes	$34	5.3¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Política	Yes	$28	28.0¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$22	42.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$20	30.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?	Política	No	$13	87.7¢
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Cripto	Yes	$11	64.0¢
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Economía	Yes	$10	19.0¢
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economía	Yes	$10	7.0¢

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Política
Yes$17.2k @ 45.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$9.1k @ 65.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$6.7k @ 45.0¢
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Economía
No$6.1k @ 88.4¢
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Economía
No$4.1k @ 77.4¢
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Economía
No$3.9k @ 56.2¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
Yes$3.1k @ 74.5¢
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$1.9k @ 18.8¢
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?Cripto
No$1.6k @ 94.0¢
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Economía
No$920 @ 90.0¢
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Other
Yes$488 @ 84.7¢
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$480 @ 37.6¢
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economía
Yes$273 @ 23.9¢
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Cripto
Yes$204 @ 36.4¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?Política
No$196 @ 81.5¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?Política
No$173 @ 74.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Política
Yes$158 @ 62.2¢
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?Cripto
No$125 @ 80.1¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$71 @ 71.0¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economía
No$56 @ 24.7¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$45 @ 45.0¢
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tecnología
Yes$43 @ 13.4¢
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economía
Yes$34 @ 5.3¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Política
Yes$28 @ 28.0¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tecnología
Yes$22 @ 42.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$20 @ 30.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?Política
No$13 @ 87.7¢
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Cripto
Yes$11 @ 64.0¢
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economía
Yes$10 @ 19.0¢
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economía
Yes$10 @ 7.0¢