0x71ab…f015

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x71abe97b83eaba3f06cb04fd4d9a03ee37d2f015
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+16.8pp

ROI

+60%

Tasa de acierto

59% @ 42.6¢

Brier

0.171

Resueltas

2883

Tamaño med.

$113

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	56% (132/237)	+55%	237
Política	59% (36/61)	+24%	61
Geopolítica	67% (26/39)	+55%	39
Economía	50% (2/4)	+64%	4
Cripto	33% (1/3)	-43%	3
Deportes	50% (1/2)	+205%	2

Other237 apuestas
Tasa acierto
56% (132/237)
ROI
+55%
Política61 apuestas
Tasa acierto
59% (36/61)
ROI
+24%
Geopolítica39 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (26/39)
ROI
+55%
Economía4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (2/4)
ROI
+64%
Cripto3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (1/3)
ROI
-43%
Deportes2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
+205%

Historial

57% acierto · 198/346

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	No	$117	29.3¢	Perdió
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	No	$89	8.6¢	Perdió
Will Copper (HG) hit (HIGH) $6.30 by end of February?	Yes	$67	57.9¢	Perdió
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	Yes	$282	15.2¢	Perdió
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?	No	$1.2k	52.6¢	Ganó
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?	No	$64	19.9¢	Perdió
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	$136	66.2¢	Ganó
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	$1.0k	53.5¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	$1.7k	20.2¢	Ganó
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	$55	2.0¢	Perdió
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 February 16-22?	No	$180	72.0¢	Perdió
Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?	No	$348	87.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$530	53.0¢	Ganó
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?	No	$100	25.0¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$525	66.6¢	Ganó
Will Copper (HG) settle over $6.60 on the final trading day of February 2026?	No	$72	60.0¢	Ganó
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$2.9k	72.6¢	Perdió
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	No	$402	18.0¢	Perdió
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	No	$80	20.0¢	Ganó
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by May 31?	No	$3	1.4¢	Perdió
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	Yes	$253	9.2¢	Perdió
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?	Yes	$195	9.3¢	Perdió
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?	No	$426	81.7¢	Ganó
Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by July 31?	No	$706	76.5¢	Ganó
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?	No	$686	79.3¢	Ganó
Will Copper (HG) settle over $6.00 on the final trading day of February 2026?	No	$105	45.5¢	Perdió
Will Copper (HG) settle over $6.00 on the final trading day of February 2026?	Yes	$94	71.2¢	Ganó
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$609	82.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$1.6k	80.9¢	Ganó
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?	No	$69	63.0¢	Ganó
Will Meta dip to $640 in April?	Yes	$12	80.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$3.9k	38.7¢	Ganó
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 on February 20?	Yes	$2	11.0¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	$156	73.0¢	Ganó
Will Amazon reach $216 in March?	No	$85	17.0¢	Perdió
Will Nik Airball win at Hustler Casino on Friday?	No	$18	35.0¢	Perdió
Will Nik Airball win at Hustler Casino on Friday?	Yes	$0	10.0¢	Ganó
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	$23	4.5¢	Perdió
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$2.6k	53.1¢	Ganó
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	$1.5k	85.7¢	Ganó
Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by March 31?	Yes	$34	2.8¢	Perdió
Will NVIDIA reach $192 in April?	Yes	$126	24.9¢	Ganó
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 20?	Yes	$47	21.0¢	Perdió
Will Copper (HG) hit (HIGH) $7.00 by end of February?	No	$20	55.0¢	Ganó
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	No	$139	84.8¢	Ganó
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the September interest rate announcement?	Yes	$1	2.0¢	Perdió
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	$11.2k	70.8¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?	No	$59	80.0¢	Ganó
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on February 20?	Yes	$5	24.0¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$4.6k	12.8¢	Perdió

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Perdió
No$117 @ 29.3¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Perdió
No$89 @ 8.6¢
Will Copper (HG) hit (HIGH) $6.30 by end of February?Perdió
Yes$67 @ 57.9¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Perdió
Yes$282 @ 15.2¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Ganó
No$1.2k @ 52.6¢
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?Perdió
No$64 @ 19.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Ganó
No$136 @ 66.2¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Ganó
Yes$1.0k @ 53.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Ganó
Yes$1.7k @ 20.2¢
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Perdió
Yes$55 @ 2.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 February 16-22?Perdió
No$180 @ 72.0¢
Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?Ganó
No$348 @ 87.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$530 @ 53.0¢
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?Ganó
No$100 @ 25.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Ganó
No$525 @ 66.6¢
Will Copper (HG) settle over $6.60 on the final trading day of February 2026?Ganó
No$72 @ 60.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Perdió
No$2.9k @ 72.6¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Perdió
No$402 @ 18.0¢
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Ganó
No$80 @ 20.0¢
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by May 31?Perdió
No$3 @ 1.4¢
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?Perdió
Yes$253 @ 9.2¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?Perdió
Yes$195 @ 9.3¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Ganó
No$426 @ 81.7¢
Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by July 31?Ganó
No$706 @ 76.5¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Ganó
No$686 @ 79.3¢
Will Copper (HG) settle over $6.00 on the final trading day of February 2026?Perdió
No$105 @ 45.5¢
Will Copper (HG) settle over $6.00 on the final trading day of February 2026?Ganó
Yes$94 @ 71.2¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$609 @ 82.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$1.6k @ 80.9¢
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?Ganó
No$69 @ 63.0¢
Will Meta dip to $640 in April?Ganó
Yes$12 @ 80.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$3.9k @ 38.7¢
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 on February 20?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 11.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Ganó
No$156 @ 73.0¢
Will Amazon reach $216 in March?Perdió
No$85 @ 17.0¢
Will Nik Airball win at Hustler Casino on Friday?Perdió
No$18 @ 35.0¢
Will Nik Airball win at Hustler Casino on Friday?Ganó
Yes$0 @ 10.0¢
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$23 @ 4.5¢
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$2.6k @ 53.1¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Ganó
No$1.5k @ 85.7¢
Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by March 31?Perdió
Yes$34 @ 2.8¢
Will NVIDIA reach $192 in April?Ganó
Yes$126 @ 24.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 20?Perdió
Yes$47 @ 21.0¢
Will Copper (HG) hit (HIGH) $7.00 by end of February?Ganó
No$20 @ 55.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?Ganó
No$139 @ 84.8¢
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the September interest rate announcement?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Ganó
No$11.2k @ 70.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?Ganó
No$59 @ 80.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on February 20?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 24.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Perdió
Yes$4.6k @ 12.8¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$10.6k	83.5¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Geopolítica	No	$10.4k	76.9¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Geopolítica	No	$8.8k	83.8¢
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Política	No	$8.2k	88.1¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Política	No	$7.6k	78.7¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	Cultura	No	$3.9k	86.7¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$3.0k	54.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Política	Yes	$1.7k	48.3¢
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	Política	Yes	$1.4k	16.0¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$1.3k	34.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$955	81.4¢
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Tecnología	No	$928	92.8¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Tecnología	No	$924	22.2¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Geopolítica	No	$797	78.5¢
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Tecnología	No	$793	71.8¢
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Negocios	No	$770	77.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Tecnología	No	$728	33.1¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Tecnología	No	$627	18.8¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	Yes	$600	30.0¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$580	77.0¢
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Cripto	No	$574	70.9¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Tecnología	No	$567	51.1¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Tecnología	No	$506	9.9¢
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$488	15.6¢
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Tecnología	No	$454	61.7¢
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$450	90.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Política	Yes	$402	1.3¢
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?	Política	Yes	$397	7.0¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	No	$390	78.0¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Tecnología	No	$317	15.3¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$10.6k @ 83.5¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Geopolítica
No$10.4k @ 76.9¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Geopolítica
No$8.8k @ 83.8¢
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Política
No$8.2k @ 88.1¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Política
No$7.6k @ 78.7¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Cultura
No$3.9k @ 86.7¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Política
Yes$3.0k @ 54.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Política
Yes$1.7k @ 48.3¢
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Política
Yes$1.4k @ 16.0¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Política
Yes$1.3k @ 34.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$955 @ 81.4¢
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Tecnología
No$928 @ 92.8¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Tecnología
No$924 @ 22.2¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Geopolítica
No$797 @ 78.5¢
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Tecnología
No$793 @ 71.8¢
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Negocios
No$770 @ 77.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tecnología
No$728 @ 33.1¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tecnología
No$627 @ 18.8¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
Yes$600 @ 30.0¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Geopolítica
No$580 @ 77.0¢
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Cripto
No$574 @ 70.9¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tecnología
No$567 @ 51.1¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tecnología
No$506 @ 9.9¢
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Cripto
Yes$488 @ 15.6¢
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Tecnología
No$454 @ 61.7¢
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?Geopolítica
No$450 @ 90.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Política
Yes$402 @ 1.3¢
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?Política
Yes$397 @ 7.0¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
No$390 @ 78.0¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Tecnología
No$317 @ 15.3¢