← Dinero inteligente
0x708d…ea78
ExpertoVentaja
+5.4pp
ROI
+12%
Tasa de acierto
43% @ 38.0¢
Brier
0.199
Resueltas
1011
Tamaño med.
$251
Tendencia ROI
Especialización por esfera
| Esfera | Tasa acierto | ROI | Apuestas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (129/259) | +6% | 259 |
| Política | 41% (35/85) | +28% | 85 |
| Geopolítica | 0% (0/7) | -100% | 7 |
| Tecnología | 33% (1/3) | -80% | 3 |
| Deportes | 50% (1/2) | +34% | 2 |
| Ciencia | 100% (1/1) | +74% | 1 |
| Economía | 100% (1/1) | +18% | 1 |
- Other259 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 50% (129/259)
- ROI
- +6%
- Política85 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 41% (35/85)
- ROI
- +28%
- Geopolítica7 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 0% (0/7)
- ROI
- -100%
- Tecnología3 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -80%
- Deportes2 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +34%
- Ciencia1 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +74%
- Economía1 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +18%
Historial
47% acierto · 168/358- Yes$3.5k @ 89.6¢
- Yes$33 @ 97.4¢
- Yes$38 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 41.8¢
- Yes$131 @ 68.0¢
- No$57 @ 20.2¢
- Yes$26 @ 4.3¢
- No$26 @ 41.7¢
- Yes$57 @ 14.0¢
- Oh My God$124 @ 31.6¢
- No$4.2k @ 89.0¢
- No$5 @ 35.0¢
- No$131 @ 62.5¢
- Yes$53 @ 53.0¢
- No$810 @ 81.0¢
- No$666 @ 57.6¢
- No$12 @ 2.2¢
- T1$453 @ 66.3¢
- Yes$801 @ 36.0¢
- Invictus Gaming$272 @ 77.6¢
- Yes$16 @ 2.9¢
- Team WE$371 @ 41.3¢
- No$9 @ 4.5¢
- No$493 @ 23.2¢
- Yes$125 @ 39.5¢
- Yes$54 @ 12.5¢
- Yes$784 @ 53.3¢
- No$10 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$159 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 37.1¢
- No$33 @ 66.0¢
- No$917 @ 69.7¢
- Yes$108 @ 17.9¢
- Kevin Vallejos$500 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$674 @ 25.4¢
- Yes$150 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$41 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$33 @ 13.8¢
- No$15 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$436 @ 69.3¢
- No$600 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 77.6¢
- No$15 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 23.8¢
- Thunder$2 @ 87.0¢
- No$8 @ 55.0¢
- Team WE$948 @ 64.7¢
- No$160 @ 40.2¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 72.9¢
- No$441 @ 23.9¢
Operaciones recientes
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Posiciones actuales
| Mercado | Esfera | Resultado | Tamaño | Entrada |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Tecnología | No | $9.7k | 42.0¢ |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | Tecnología | No | $5.4k | 93.7¢ |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Negocios | No | $1.3k | 16.7¢ |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Política | No | $230 | 57.5¢ |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | Negocios | Yes | $197 | 66.0¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona Secretary of State race in 2026? | Política | Yes | $72 | 16.0¢ |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026? | Política | No | $67 | 43.5¢ |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | Política | No | $5 | 70.0¢ |
| Will Donald Trump be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028? | Política | Yes | $3 | 4.5¢ |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | Política | Yes | $0 | 6.0¢ |
- No$9.7k @ 42.0¢
- No$5.4k @ 93.7¢
- No$1.3k @ 16.7¢
- No$230 @ 57.5¢
- Yes$197 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$72 @ 16.0¢
- No$67 @ 43.5¢
- No$5 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$0 @ 6.0¢