← Dinero inteligente
0x6e9a…f3bb
ExpertoVentaja
+7.7pp
ROI
+35%
Tasa de acierto
42% @ 34.6¢
Brier
0.151
Resueltas
2954
Tamaño med.
$63
Tendencia ROI
Especialización por esfera
| Esfera | Tasa acierto | ROI | Apuestas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Política | 52% (82/157) | +19% | 157 |
| Other | 48% (59/123) | +10% | 123 |
| Tecnología | 33% (4/12) | -50% | 12 |
| Deportes | 33% (4/12) | +653% | 12 |
| Geopolítica | 38% (3/8) | -63% | 8 |
| Cripto | 63% (5/8) | -58% | 8 |
| Cultura | 60% (3/5) | -10% | 5 |
- Política157 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 52% (82/157)
- ROI
- +19%
- Other123 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 48% (59/123)
- ROI
- +10%
- Tecnología12 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 33% (4/12)
- ROI
- -50%
- Deportes12 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 33% (4/12)
- ROI
- +653%
- Geopolítica8 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 38% (3/8)
- ROI
- -63%
- Cripto8 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 63% (5/8)
- ROI
- -58%
- Cultura5 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 60% (3/5)
- ROI
- -10%
Historial
49% acierto · 160/325- No$255 @ 98.2¢
- No$60 @ 99.6¢
- Yes$198 @ 99.0¢
- Up$300 @ 99.9¢
- Yes$205 @ 99.4¢
- Yes$210 @ 99.7¢
- Yes$893 @ 98.4¢
- Yes$131 @ 99.8¢
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?PerdióYes$57 @ 6.7¢
- No$39 @ 95.3¢
- No$51 @ 95.9¢
- Yes$7 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$882 @ 99.9¢
- Yes$22 @ 90.1¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 87.7¢
- No$187 @ 93.5¢
- No$337 @ 55.1¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 32.9¢
- No$483 @ 48.9¢
- Yes$59 @ 61.4¢
- No$951 @ 33.3¢
- HANJIN BRION$88 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 77.0¢
- No$73 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
- No$97 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$239 @ 28.3¢
- No$6.4k @ 48.9¢
- Yes$3.7k @ 17.4¢
- Yes$5 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$111 @ 35.7¢
- Yes$322 @ 85.8¢
- No$14 @ 81.0¢
- No$0 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$240 @ 25.4¢
- No$2 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$114 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$185 @ 63.0¢
- No$79 @ 78.5¢
- Yes$11 @ 22.0¢
- No$9.6k @ 73.3¢
- Yes$605 @ 26.7¢
- No$89 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$192 @ 25.9¢
- No$129 @ 70.0¢
- No$391 @ 10.5¢
- Yes$397 @ 89.0¢
- No$347 @ 70.2¢
Operaciones recientes
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Posiciones actuales
| Mercado | Esfera | Resultado | Tamaño | Entrada |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Política | No | $894 | 89.4¢ |
| Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | Geopolítica | No | $647 | 92.4¢ |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | Tecnología | Yes | $624 | 66.4¢ |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by October 31, 2026? | Política | Yes | $319 | 93.9¢ |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Política | No | $276 | 92.0¢ |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Política | Yes | $260 | 13.0¢ |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Política | Yes | $132 | 88.0¢ |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | Tecnología | No | $55 | 61.3¢ |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? | Política | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ |
- No$894 @ 89.4¢
- Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?GeopolíticaNo$647 @ 92.4¢
- Yes$624 @ 66.4¢
- Yes$319 @ 93.9¢
- No$276 @ 92.0¢
- Yes$260 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$132 @ 88.0¢
- Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?TecnologíaNo$55 @ 61.3¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢