0x6dce…4490

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6dceb84cb3b8f003c8c4db52c5554303070f4490
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+3.1pp

ROI

+52%

Tasa de acierto

17% @ 14.0¢

Brier

0.108

Resueltas

7464

Tamaño med.

$15

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	21% (141/679)	-13%	679
Política	41% (19/46)	+164%	46
Deportes	36% (13/36)	-37%	36
Geopolítica	33% (2/6)	-8%	6
Tecnología	50% (1/2)	-68%	2
Ciencia	50% (1/2)	-83%	2
Cripto	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other679 apuestas
Tasa acierto
21% (141/679)
ROI
-13%
Política46 apuestas
Tasa acierto
41% (19/46)
ROI
+164%
Deportes36 apuestas
Tasa acierto
36% (13/36)
ROI
-37%
Geopolítica6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (2/6)
ROI
-8%
Tecnología2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
-68%
Ciencia2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
-83%
Cripto2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Historial

23% acierto · 177/773

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	$60	6.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 5?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Perdió
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$180	89.9¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on April 5?	Yes	$16	4.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on April 4?	Yes	$6	2.0¢	Perdió
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$75	34.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on April 5?	Yes	$15	6.9¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 2?	Yes	$7	10.8¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on April 5?	No	$32	6.2¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on April 5?	Yes	$18	53.4¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 26?	Yes	$44	11.5¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 2?	Yes	$2	15.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 4?	Yes	$3	5.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 3?	Yes	$4	7.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 3?	Yes	$17	2.2¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 21?	Yes	$12	6.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on April 6?	Yes	$10	3.7¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 4?	Yes	$5	2.9¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on April 4?	No	$130	69.0¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 4?	Yes	$20	5.9¢	Perdió
Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	$2	1.1¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 20?	Yes	$440	48.5¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.1k	65.8¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C or below on April 22?	Yes	$101	8.9¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on April 2?	Yes	$8	4.6¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 4?	Yes	$2	2.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on April 5?	Yes	$3	2.4¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 4?	Yes	$22	5.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on April 19?	Yes	$0	36.0¢	Ganó
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 3, 2026?	Yes	$1	4.7¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?	Yes	$34	34.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 3?	Yes	$10	5.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 7?	Yes	$5	2.3¢	Perdió
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?	Yes	$10	5.2¢	Perdió
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?	Yes	$10	10.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on April 3?	Yes	$9	0.9¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Dow" or "S&P" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?	No	$21	30.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 6?	Yes	$3	4.0¢	Perdió
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?	No	$275	24.2¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 5?	Yes	$22	9.9¢	Ganó
Will Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	Yes	$69	2.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on April 7?	No	$171	47.9¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on April 3?	Yes	$15	2.3¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on April 4?	Yes	$6	3.0¢	Perdió
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 1?	No	$27	27.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on April 5?	Yes	$27	6.5¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 8?	Yes	$8	7.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on April 2?	Yes	$8	1.0¢	Perdió

Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Perdió
Yes$60 @ 6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 5?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Ganó
Yes$180 @ 89.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on April 5?Perdió
Yes$16 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on April 4?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 2.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Ganó
Yes$75 @ 34.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on April 5?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 6.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 2?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 10.8¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on April 5?Perdió
No$32 @ 6.2¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on April 5?Ganó
Yes$18 @ 53.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 26?Perdió
Yes$44 @ 11.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 2?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 4?Ganó
Yes$3 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 3?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 7.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 3?Perdió
Yes$17 @ 2.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 21?Perdió
Yes$12 @ 6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on April 6?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 3.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 4?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 2.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on April 4?Ganó
No$130 @ 69.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in April 2026?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 4?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 5.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 20?Ganó
Yes$440 @ 48.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1.1k @ 65.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C or below on April 22?Perdió
Yes$101 @ 8.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on April 2?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 4.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 4?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on April 5?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 2.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 4?Ganó
Yes$22 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on April 19?Ganó
Yes$0 @ 36.0¢
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 3, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 4.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?Ganó
Yes$34 @ 34.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 3?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 7?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 2.3¢
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 5.2¢
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on April 3?Perdió
Yes$9 @ 0.9¢
Will Trump say "Dow" or "S&P" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?Perdió
No$21 @ 30.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 6?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 4.0¢
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?Perdió
No$275 @ 24.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 5?Ganó
Yes$22 @ 9.9¢
Will Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?Perdió
Yes$69 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on April 7?Ganó
No$171 @ 47.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on April 3?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 2.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on April 4?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 3.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 1?Perdió
No$27 @ 27.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on April 5?Perdió
Yes$27 @ 6.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 8?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 7.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on April 2?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 1.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	Política	No	$5.2k	86.4¢
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?	Política	No	$1.4k	86.2¢
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Deportes	No	$1.1k	81.7¢
Trump renames AI by September 30?	Política	No	$948	67.6¢
Will Ipswich Town be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Deportes	No	$440	55.0¢
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?	Política	No	$436	65.2¢
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	Política	No	$329	90.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Política	Yes	$270	27.0¢
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Deportes	No	$228	45.7¢
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Economía	Yes	$150	30.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$73	52.0¢
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Ciencia	Yes	$41	46.0¢
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Cultura	Yes	$38	41.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	Política	No	$36	3.6¢
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Ciencia	Yes	$20	28.0¢

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Política
No$5.2k @ 86.4¢
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?Política
No$1.4k @ 86.2¢
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Deportes
No$1.1k @ 81.7¢
Trump renames AI by September 30?Política
No$948 @ 67.6¢
Will Ipswich Town be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Deportes
No$440 @ 55.0¢
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?Política
No$436 @ 65.2¢
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?Política
No$329 @ 90.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Política
Yes$270 @ 27.0¢
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Deportes
No$228 @ 45.7¢
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Economía
Yes$150 @ 30.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
Yes$73 @ 52.0¢
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ciencia
Yes$41 @ 46.0¢
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Cultura
Yes$38 @ 41.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Política
No$36 @ 3.6¢
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ciencia
Yes$20 @ 28.0¢