0x6d79…ae69

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6d7974bd5d6454b515eaccee05827f8ad838ae69
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+11.0pp

ROI

+24%

Tasa de acierto

56% @ 45.4¢

Brier

0.115

Resueltas

867

Tamaño med.

$64

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	62% (32/52)	+10%	52
Deportes	45% (5/11)	+240%	11
Política	100% (6/6)	+44%	6
Cripto	50% (2/4)	-64%	4
Tecnología	100% (1/1)	+47%	1
Geopolítica	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other52 apuestas
Tasa acierto
62% (32/52)
ROI
+10%
Deportes11 apuestas
Tasa acierto
45% (5/11)
ROI
+240%
Política6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (6/6)
ROI
+44%
Cripto4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (2/4)
ROI
-64%
Tecnología1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+47%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

61% acierto · 46/75

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?	No	$436	85.1¢	Ganó
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?	No	$178	89.0¢	Ganó
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?	No	$264	88.0¢	Ganó
Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?	Yes	$45	89.0¢	Ganó
Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?	No	$93	82.9¢	Ganó
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	$143	56.1¢	Ganó
Will James Harden lead the NBA in Assists?	No	$676	87.9¢	Ganó
World Chess Championship 2024 Winner	Ding	$1.4k	38.7¢	Perdió
World Chess Championship 2024 Winner	Gukesh	$8.4k	71.0¢	Ganó
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	$154	77.0¢	Perdió
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	Yes	$983	73.2¢	Ganó
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?	No	$416	83.2¢	Perdió
USDT depeg in 2025?	No	$500	84.0¢	Ganó
Texans vs. Patriots	Texans	$156	39.0¢	Perdió
US government shutdown Saturday?	Yes	$780	78.0¢	Ganó
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?	Yes	$436	87.2¢	Ganó
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	Yes	$215	13.4¢	Perdió
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$16	12.0¢	Perdió
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	No	$172	86.0¢	Ganó
Will Trae Young lead the NBA in Assists?	Yes	$513	65.5¢	Ganó
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	$203	71.8¢	Perdió
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	$420	42.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?	Yes	$600	30.0¢	Perdió
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$6.4k	73.9¢	Ganó
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	$144	72.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	$432	11.5¢	Perdió
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$1.9k	20.3¢	Ganó
Bills vs. Broncos	Bills	$96	48.0¢	Perdió
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	$166	88.0¢	Ganó
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	$1.2k	68.8¢	Ganó
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	$32	68.0¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	$448	83.6¢	Perdió
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?	No	$1.3k	67.0¢	Perdió
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?	Yes	$188	57.0¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?	No	$329	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?	No	$882	32.7¢	Perdió
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?	No	$632	17.8¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	$215	43.0¢	Ganó
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	$75	18.7¢	Ganó
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	$86	86.0¢	Ganó
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	$526	57.7¢	Ganó
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	$18	37.9¢	Perdió
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	Yes	$252	21.0¢	Perdió
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	$139	6.7¢	Perdió
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$540	45.0¢	Perdió
Will Mike Kafka be fired by February 28?	Yes	$294	84.1¢	Ganó
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	$246	14.2¢	Perdió
Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?	Yes	$390	23.0¢	Ganó
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?	No	$259	86.4¢	Ganó
Chargers vs. Patriots	Chargers	$108	36.0¢	Perdió

Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?Ganó
No$436 @ 85.1¢
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?Ganó
No$178 @ 89.0¢
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Ganó
No$264 @ 88.0¢
Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?Ganó
Yes$45 @ 89.0¢
Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?Ganó
No$93 @ 82.9¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Ganó
No$143 @ 56.1¢
Will James Harden lead the NBA in Assists?Ganó
No$676 @ 87.9¢
World Chess Championship 2024 WinnerPerdió
Ding$1.4k @ 38.7¢
World Chess Championship 2024 WinnerGanó
Gukesh$8.4k @ 71.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Perdió
No$154 @ 77.0¢
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Ganó
Yes$983 @ 73.2¢
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Perdió
No$416 @ 83.2¢
USDT depeg in 2025?Ganó
No$500 @ 84.0¢
Texans vs. PatriotsPerdió
Texans$156 @ 39.0¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Ganó
Yes$780 @ 78.0¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Ganó
Yes$436 @ 87.2¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Perdió
Yes$215 @ 13.4¢
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Perdió
Yes$16 @ 12.0¢
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Ganó
No$172 @ 86.0¢
Will Trae Young lead the NBA in Assists?Ganó
Yes$513 @ 65.5¢
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?Perdió
No$203 @ 71.8¢
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Ganó
Yes$420 @ 42.0¢
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?Perdió
Yes$600 @ 30.0¢
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Ganó
Yes$6.4k @ 73.9¢
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Ganó
No$144 @ 72.0¢
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Perdió
Yes$432 @ 11.5¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Ganó
Yes$1.9k @ 20.3¢
Bills vs. BroncosPerdió
Bills$96 @ 48.0¢
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Ganó
No$166 @ 88.0¢
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Ganó
Yes$1.2k @ 68.8¢
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?Ganó
No$32 @ 68.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$448 @ 83.6¢
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?Perdió
No$1.3k @ 67.0¢
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?Ganó
Yes$188 @ 57.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?Ganó
No$329 @ 89.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Perdió
No$882 @ 32.7¢
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? Perdió
No$632 @ 17.8¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Ganó
No$215 @ 43.0¢
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Ganó
Yes$75 @ 18.7¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Ganó
No$86 @ 86.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Ganó
No$526 @ 57.7¢
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Perdió
Yes$18 @ 37.9¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Perdió
Yes$252 @ 21.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?Perdió
Yes$139 @ 6.7¢
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$540 @ 45.0¢
Will Mike Kafka be fired by February 28?Ganó
Yes$294 @ 84.1¢
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Perdió
Yes$246 @ 14.2¢
Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?Ganó
Yes$390 @ 23.0¢
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?Ganó
No$259 @ 86.4¢
Chargers vs. PatriotsPerdió
Chargers$108 @ 36.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$8.0k	50.6¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$3.5k	18.2¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Tecnología	Yes	$1.4k	17.0¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?	Tecnología	Yes	$966	53.5¢
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Deportes	Yes	$880	22.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Geopolítica	No	$568	71.0¢
Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Deportes	No	$497	49.7¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$478	10.0¢
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$469	88.8¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	Tecnología	Yes	$464	58.0¢
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Deportes	No	$406	73.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Deportes	Yes	$361	78.1¢
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Cripto	No	$305	20.3¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$270	27.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Política	No	$264	44.0¢
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	Cultura	Yes	$236	53.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$222	63.0¢
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?	Economía	No	$171	87.8¢
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Deportes	Yes	$159	3.4¢
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Deportes	Yes	$121	56.1¢
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Deportes	Yes	$105	35.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Deportes	No	$81	74.0¢
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Deportes	Yes	$70	14.0¢
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$66	27.2¢
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?	Cultura	Yes	$63	24.1¢
Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Deportes	Yes	$46	13.0¢
Will the Boston Celtics make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Deportes	Yes	$19	79.0¢
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Tecnología	Yes	$13	74.7¢
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$11	1.8¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$2	5.4¢

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$8.0k @ 50.6¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$3.5k @ 18.2¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tecnología
Yes$1.4k @ 17.0¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?Tecnología
Yes$966 @ 53.5¢
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?Deportes
Yes$880 @ 22.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Geopolítica
No$568 @ 71.0¢
Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Deportes
No$497 @ 49.7¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$478 @ 10.0¢
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Política
Yes$469 @ 88.8¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Tecnología
Yes$464 @ 58.0¢
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Deportes
No$406 @ 73.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Deportes
Yes$361 @ 78.1¢
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Cripto
No$305 @ 20.3¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Política
Yes$270 @ 27.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Política
No$264 @ 44.0¢
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?Cultura
Yes$236 @ 53.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$222 @ 63.0¢
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?Economía
No$171 @ 87.8¢
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?Deportes
Yes$159 @ 3.4¢
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Deportes
Yes$121 @ 56.1¢
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Deportes
Yes$105 @ 35.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?Deportes
No$81 @ 74.0¢
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Deportes
Yes$70 @ 14.0¢
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? Cripto
Yes$66 @ 27.2¢
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?Cultura
Yes$63 @ 24.1¢
Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Deportes
Yes$46 @ 13.0¢
Will the Boston Celtics make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Deportes
Yes$19 @ 79.0¢
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Tecnología
Yes$13 @ 74.7¢
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$11 @ 1.8¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$2 @ 5.4¢