0x6cf8…042f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6cf833cd47e3cc3c6a5dd993b8ec362ec09f042f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+12.3pp

ROI

+21%

Tasa de acierto

49% @ 36.9¢

Brier

0.214

Resueltas

1639

Tamaño med.

$22

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	48% (63/132)	+10%	132
Deportes	47% (39/83)	-8%	83
Política	45% (19/42)	+89%	42

Other132 apuestas
Tasa acierto
48% (63/132)
ROI
+10%
Deportes83 apuestas
Tasa acierto
47% (39/83)
ROI
-8%
Política42 apuestas
Tasa acierto
45% (19/42)
ROI
+89%

Historial

47% acierto · 121/257

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Powell say "immigrant" or "immigration" during January press conference?	Yes	$25	25.0¢	Ganó
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$7	11.0¢	Perdió
Will Harris win Minnesota by 3+ points?	No	$120	24.0¢	Perdió
Will the Republican candidate win Arizona by 4.0% or more?	Yes	$31	45.7¢	Ganó
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	$66	33.0¢	Ganó
Spread: Florida International (-10.5)	Florida International	$47	47.0¢	Perdió
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?	Yes	$97	24.2¢	Ganó
Spread: Liberty (-14.5)	Liberty	$46	46.0¢	Ganó
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)	Bulls	$50	50.0¢	Perdió
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?	Yes	$230	4.6¢	Perdió
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?	No	$55	68.5¢	Ganó
Spread: Bengals (-6.5)	Dolphins	$96	48.0¢	Perdió
Seven Trump Cabinet confirmations in January?	Yes	$90	7.5¢	Perdió
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?	Yes	$87	87.0¢	Ganó
Spread: Western Michigan (-13.5)	Western Michigan	$5	50.0¢	Perdió
Will Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?	Yes	$22	8.0¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?	Yes	$52	16.9¢	Ganó
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	$29	17.9¢	Perdió
Spread: Grizzlies (-8.5)	Grizzlies	$50	50.0¢	Ganó
House control after 2024 election?	Democratic	$795	26.7¢	Perdió
House control after 2024 election?	Republican	$287	52.2¢	Ganó
Spread: Tulane (-10.5)	Tulane	$48	48.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?	Yes	$314	12.6¢	Perdió
Spread: Army (-2.5)	Army	$1	50.0¢	Ganó
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 55% by March 31?	Yes	$11	26.5¢	Ganó
Will the CDU/CSU win by 6-8%?	Yes	$24	16.0¢	Ganó
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Timberwolves	$51	51.0¢	Ganó
Spread: Boise State (-13.5)	Washington State	$50	50.0¢	Perdió
Eight Trump Cabinet confirmations in January?	Yes	$138	19.7¢	Ganó
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	$130	28.4¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$243	63.9¢	Ganó
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?	Yes	$385	22.7¢	Perdió
Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International: O/U 45.5	Over	$52	52.0¢	Ganó
Will Jerome Powell say "Tariff" 10 or more times during the March meeting?	Yes	$9	12.0¢	Ganó
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 40.5	Over	$47	47.0¢	Ganó
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)	Pelicans	$48	48.0¢	Ganó
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	$46	11.5¢	Perdió
Ohio State vs. Indiana: O/U 50.5	Over	$102	51.0¢	Perdió
Spread: South Florida (-7.5)	South Florida	$50	50.0¢	Ganó
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?	Yes	$57	11.3¢	Perdió
Spread: Duke (-3.5)	Duke	$92	46.0¢	Perdió
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$416	83.2¢	Ganó
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 60% by March 31?	Yes	$28	75.0¢	Ganó
Spread: Lions (-5.5)	Cardinals	$102	50.0¢	Perdió
Spread: Texas State (-14.5)	Texas State	$80	47.0¢	Ganó
Spread: Texans (-9.5)	Giants	$46	46.0¢	Ganó
Spread: Heat (-7.5)	Mavericks	$49	49.0¢	Ganó
Spread: James Madison (-10.5)	James Madison	$49	49.0¢	Perdió
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	$2.2k	49.3¢	Ganó
Spread: Notre Dame (-30.5)	Navy	$48	48.0¢	Ganó

Will Powell say "immigrant" or "immigration" during January press conference?Ganó
Yes$25 @ 25.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 11.0¢
Will Harris win Minnesota by 3+ points?Perdió
No$120 @ 24.0¢
Will the Republican candidate win Arizona by 4.0% or more? Ganó
Yes$31 @ 45.7¢
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Ganó
Yes$66 @ 33.0¢
Spread: Florida International (-10.5)Perdió
Florida International$47 @ 47.0¢
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?Ganó
Yes$97 @ 24.2¢
Spread: Liberty (-14.5)Ganó
Liberty$46 @ 46.0¢
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)Perdió
Bulls$50 @ 50.0¢
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?Perdió
Yes$230 @ 4.6¢
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?Ganó
No$55 @ 68.5¢
Spread: Bengals (-6.5)Perdió
Dolphins$96 @ 48.0¢
Seven Trump Cabinet confirmations in January? Perdió
Yes$90 @ 7.5¢
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?Ganó
Yes$87 @ 87.0¢
Spread: Western Michigan (-13.5)Perdió
Western Michigan$5 @ 50.0¢
Will Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?Perdió
Yes$22 @ 8.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Ganó
Yes$52 @ 16.9¢
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Perdió
Yes$29 @ 17.9¢
Spread: Grizzlies (-8.5)Ganó
Grizzlies$50 @ 50.0¢
House control after 2024 election?Perdió
Democratic$795 @ 26.7¢
House control after 2024 election?Ganó
Republican$287 @ 52.2¢
Spread: Tulane (-10.5)Perdió
Tulane$48 @ 48.0¢
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?Perdió
Yes$314 @ 12.6¢
Spread: Army (-2.5)Ganó
Army$1 @ 50.0¢
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 55% by March 31?Ganó
Yes$11 @ 26.5¢
Will the CDU/CSU win by 6-8%?Ganó
Yes$24 @ 16.0¢
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Ganó
Timberwolves$51 @ 51.0¢
Spread: Boise State (-13.5)Perdió
Washington State$50 @ 50.0¢
Eight Trump Cabinet confirmations in January? Ganó
Yes$138 @ 19.7¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Perdió
Yes$130 @ 28.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Ganó
No$243 @ 63.9¢
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?Perdió
Yes$385 @ 22.7¢
Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International: O/U 45.5Ganó
Over$52 @ 52.0¢
Will Jerome Powell say "Tariff" 10 or more times during the March meeting?Ganó
Yes$9 @ 12.0¢
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 40.5Ganó
Over$47 @ 47.0¢
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)Ganó
Pelicans$48 @ 48.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Perdió
Yes$46 @ 11.5¢
Ohio State vs. Indiana: O/U 50.5Perdió
Over$102 @ 51.0¢
Spread: South Florida (-7.5)Ganó
South Florida$50 @ 50.0¢
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Perdió
Yes$57 @ 11.3¢
Spread: Duke (-3.5)Perdió
Duke$92 @ 46.0¢
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$416 @ 83.2¢
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 60% by March 31?Ganó
Yes$28 @ 75.0¢
Spread: Lions (-5.5)Perdió
Cardinals$102 @ 50.0¢
Spread: Texas State (-14.5)Ganó
Texas State$80 @ 47.0¢
Spread: Texans (-9.5)Ganó
Giants$46 @ 46.0¢
Spread: Heat (-7.5)Ganó
Mavericks$49 @ 49.0¢
Spread: James Madison (-10.5)Perdió
James Madison$49 @ 49.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ganó
Yes$2.2k @ 49.3¢
Spread: Notre Dame (-30.5)Ganó
Navy$48 @ 48.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?	Política	Yes	$1.2k	91.9¢
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?	Política	No	$740	74.0¢
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Política	Yes	$365	73.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	No	$279	62.1¢
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?	Cripto	Yes	$256	66.5¢
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$184	92.0¢
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Política	No	$103	25.7¢
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Política	Yes	$76	39.1¢
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economía	Yes	$65	3.9¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$65	9.2¢
Spread: Seahawks (-10.5)	Deportes	Cardinals	$62	46.0¢
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?	Política	No	$56	56.0¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$54	12.3¢
Sam Houston vs. Jacksonville State: O/U 47.5	Deportes	Over	$51	51.0¢
Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5	Deportes	Under	$50	50.0¢
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Política	Yes	$49	61.5¢
Rutgers vs. Wisconsin: O/U 45.5	Deportes	Over	$49	49.0¢
Spread: Tulsa (-1.5)	Deportes	Tulane	$49	49.0¢
Spread: Oklahoma State (-5.5)	Deportes	Kansas State	$49	49.0¢
Charlotte vs. UAB: O/U 47.5	Deportes	Over	$49	49.0¢
Spread: Navy (-7.5)	Deportes	Navy	$48	48.0¢
BYU vs. Utah: O/U 49.5	Deportes	Over	$47	47.0¢
Spread: North Carolina (-6.5)	Deportes	UConn	$47	47.0¢
Spread: Kansas (-3.5)	Deportes	Kansas	$46	46.0¢
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Política	Yes	$40	40.0¢
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	Política	No	$38	75.0¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 9%-12%?	Política	Yes	$37	25.0¢
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)	Política	National	$32	32.0¢
US recession by end of 2027?	Economía	Yes	$32	32.0¢
Vanderbilt vs. Mississippi State: O/U 49.5	Deportes	Over	$30	46.0¢

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?Política
Yes$1.2k @ 91.9¢
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?Política
No$740 @ 74.0¢
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Política
Yes$365 @ 73.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
No$279 @ 62.1¢
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?Cripto
Yes$256 @ 66.5¢
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Política
No$184 @ 92.0¢
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Política
No$103 @ 25.7¢
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Política
Yes$76 @ 39.1¢
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economía
Yes$65 @ 3.9¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$65 @ 9.2¢
Spread: Seahawks (-10.5)Deportes
Cardinals$62 @ 46.0¢
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?Política
No$56 @ 56.0¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$54 @ 12.3¢
Sam Houston vs. Jacksonville State: O/U 47.5Deportes
Over$51 @ 51.0¢
Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5Deportes
Under$50 @ 50.0¢
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Política
Yes$49 @ 61.5¢
Rutgers vs. Wisconsin: O/U 45.5Deportes
Over$49 @ 49.0¢
Spread: Tulsa (-1.5)Deportes
Tulane$49 @ 49.0¢
Spread: Oklahoma State (-5.5)Deportes
Kansas State$49 @ 49.0¢
Charlotte vs. UAB: O/U 47.5Deportes
Over$49 @ 49.0¢
Spread: Navy (-7.5)Deportes
Navy$48 @ 48.0¢
BYU vs. Utah: O/U 49.5Deportes
Over$47 @ 47.0¢
Spread: North Carolina (-6.5)Deportes
UConn$47 @ 47.0¢
Spread: Kansas (-3.5)Deportes
Kansas$46 @ 46.0¢
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Política
Yes$40 @ 40.0¢
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?Política
No$38 @ 75.0¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 9%-12%?Política
Yes$37 @ 25.0¢
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)Política
National$32 @ 32.0¢
US recession by end of 2027?Economía
Yes$32 @ 32.0¢
Vanderbilt vs. Mississippi State: O/U 49.5Deportes
Over$30 @ 46.0¢