0x6a67…df6f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6a678ca367432d28cb6aa55bb6bc57d8f53bdf6f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+3.0pp

ROI

+37%

Tasa de acierto

23% @ 19.9¢

Brier

0.108

Resueltas

1658

Tamaño med.

$118

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Deportes	21% (11/52)	+24%	52
Other	53% (16/30)	+29%	30
Política	33% (7/21)	+72%	21
Geopolítica	33% (1/3)	-68%	3
Cripto	67% (2/3)	+34%	3
Tecnología	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Deportes52 apuestas
Tasa acierto
21% (11/52)
ROI
+24%
Other30 apuestas
Tasa acierto
53% (16/30)
ROI
+29%
Política21 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (7/21)
ROI
+72%
Geopolítica3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (1/3)
ROI
-68%
Cripto3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (2/3)
ROI
+34%
Tecnología2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Historial

33% acierto · 37/111

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	Yes	$1.1k	69.7¢	Ganó
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$1.5k	69.3¢	Perdió
Will Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	$280	28.0¢	Ganó
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	$1.1k	6.4¢	Perdió
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Argentina	$34.8k	72.5¢	Ganó
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$4.8k	86.8¢	Ganó
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?	Yes	$26	13.0¢	Perdió
Will Racing Club De Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain end in a draw?	Yes	$51	33.7¢	Perdió
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$285	77.1¢	Ganó
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$3.6k	45.1¢	Ganó
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$510	33.7¢	Perdió
Will Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	No	$700	70.0¢	Ganó
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$6	6.4¢	Perdió
GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	$11	88.0¢	Ganó
Will Real Madrid vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?	No	$28	27.5¢	Perdió
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$398	16.7¢	Perdió
World Cup Goals H2H: Dembele vs. Olise	Olise	$10	2.0¢	Perdió
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$500	47.6¢	Perdió
Will France win on 2026-09-25?	No	$260	26.0¢	Perdió
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$126	60.8¢	Ganó
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	$497	88.9¢	Ganó
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	$1.2k	29.6¢	Perdió
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	$171	85.5¢	Ganó
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2.3k	2.0¢	Perdió
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$1.6k	61.0¢	Ganó
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	$30	3.0¢	Perdió
Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$25	5.0¢	Perdió
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.2k	2.6¢	Perdió
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	$444	88.0¢	Ganó
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$35.0k	1.4¢	Perdió
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance	Spain	$640	64.0¢	Ganó
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	$9.3k	24.2¢	Ganó
Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	$270	27.0¢	Perdió
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	$444	40.2¢	Perdió
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$48	0.6¢	Perdió
Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$4	86.0¢	Ganó
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	$2.1k	73.5¢	Ganó
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$485	46.7¢	Perdió
Will Racing Club De Lens win on 2026-08-16?	No	$64	64.0¢	Perdió
Will Racing Club De Lens win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	$413	88.9¢	Ganó
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$4.3k	82.6¢	Ganó
Will New People (NL) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?	Yes	$44	24.0¢	Perdió
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$295	59.0¢	Ganó
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$3.9k	52.6¢	Ganó
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$11	0.6¢	Perdió
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$15	0.4¢	Perdió
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$45	8.0¢	Perdió
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$12	55.9¢	Perdió
Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	$90	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$9	0.2¢	Perdió

Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?Ganó
Yes$1.1k @ 69.7¢
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
No$1.5k @ 69.3¢
Will Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?Ganó
Yes$280 @ 28.0¢
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Perdió
Yes$1.1k @ 6.4¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceGanó
Argentina$34.8k @ 72.5¢
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Ganó
No$4.8k @ 86.8¢
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Perdió
Yes$26 @ 13.0¢
Will Racing Club De Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain end in a draw?Perdió
Yes$51 @ 33.7¢
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
No$285 @ 77.1¢
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Ganó
No$3.6k @ 45.1¢
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$510 @ 33.7¢
Will Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?Ganó
No$700 @ 70.0¢
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 6.4¢
GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?Ganó
Yes$11 @ 88.0¢
Will Real Madrid vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?Perdió
No$28 @ 27.5¢
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Perdió
Yes$398 @ 16.7¢
World Cup Goals H2H: Dembele vs. OlisePerdió
Olise$10 @ 2.0¢
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$500 @ 47.6¢
Will France win on 2026-09-25?Perdió
No$260 @ 26.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Ganó
Yes$126 @ 60.8¢
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Ganó
Yes$497 @ 88.9¢
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Perdió
No$1.2k @ 29.6¢
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?Ganó
Yes$171 @ 85.5¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$2.3k @ 2.0¢
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
No$1.6k @ 61.0¢
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?Perdió
Yes$30 @ 3.0¢
Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Perdió
Yes$25 @ 5.0¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$1.2k @ 2.6¢
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Ganó
No$444 @ 88.0¢
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$35.0k @ 1.4¢
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceGanó
Spain$640 @ 64.0¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Ganó
Yes$9.3k @ 24.2¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?Perdió
Yes$270 @ 27.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-16?Perdió
Yes$444 @ 40.2¢
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open?Perdió
Yes$48 @ 0.6¢
Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 86.0¢
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ganó
No$2.1k @ 73.5¢
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
No$485 @ 46.7¢
Will Racing Club De Lens win on 2026-08-16?Perdió
No$64 @ 64.0¢
Will Racing Club De Lens win on 2026-08-16?Ganó
Yes$413 @ 88.9¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Ganó
Yes$4.3k @ 82.6¢
Will New People (NL) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?Perdió
Yes$44 @ 24.0¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Ganó
Yes$295 @ 59.0¢
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Ganó
Yes$3.9k @ 52.6¢
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Perdió
Yes$11 @ 0.6¢
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 0.4¢
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Perdió
Yes$45 @ 8.0¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Perdió
Yes$12 @ 55.9¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?Ganó
Yes$90 @ 89.0¢
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$9 @ 0.2¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Deportes	Yes	$34.5k	71.5¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Deportes	Yes	$12.2k	25.7¢
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Deportes	Yes	$1.8k	55.3¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Deportes	Yes	$1.2k	6.6¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Deportes	Yes	$1.2k	12.9¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?	Deportes	Yes	$920	92.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?	Política	Yes	$764	69.5¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Deportes	Yes	$683	32.0¢
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Cripto	No	$664	96.3¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	Deportes	Yes	$618	70.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$467	77.8¢
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Deportes	Yes	$398	68.0¢
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Deportes	Yamal	$394	74.8¢
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Deportes	No	$303	94.8¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$283	70.7¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Deportes	Yes	$282	42.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Política	Yes	$279	62.0¢
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Deportes	No	$273	91.0¢
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Deportes	Yes	$255	25.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	Política	No	$171	76.0¢
Will Ferran Torres finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Deportes	No	$170	96.0¢
Will Nuno Mendes finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Deportes	No	$152	89.0¢
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Deportes	No	$147	94.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	Política	No	$137	91.0¢
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Deportes	No	$128	64.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Deportes	Yes	$122	97.0¢
Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Deportes	Messi	$113	54.0¢
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Deportes	Yes	$107	67.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Deportes	Yes	$105	95.9¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	Política	No	$97	52.0¢

Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Deportes
Yes$34.5k @ 71.5¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Deportes
Yes$12.2k @ 25.7¢
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Deportes
Yes$1.8k @ 55.3¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Deportes
Yes$1.2k @ 6.6¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Deportes
Yes$1.2k @ 12.9¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?Deportes
Yes$920 @ 92.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Política
Yes$764 @ 69.5¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Deportes
Yes$683 @ 32.0¢
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?Cripto
No$664 @ 96.3¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?Deportes
Yes$618 @ 70.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Política
No$467 @ 77.8¢
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Deportes
Yes$398 @ 68.0¢
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Deportes
Yamal$394 @ 74.8¢
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Deportes
No$303 @ 94.8¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
Yes$283 @ 70.7¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Deportes
Yes$282 @ 42.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Política
Yes$279 @ 62.0¢
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Deportes
No$273 @ 91.0¢
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Deportes
Yes$255 @ 25.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Política
No$171 @ 76.0¢
Will Ferran Torres finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Deportes
No$170 @ 96.0¢
Will Nuno Mendes finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Deportes
No$152 @ 89.0¢
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Deportes
No$147 @ 94.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Política
No$137 @ 91.0¢
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Deportes
No$128 @ 64.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Deportes
Yes$122 @ 97.0¢
Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?Deportes
Messi$113 @ 54.0¢
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Deportes
Yes$107 @ 67.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Deportes
Yes$105 @ 95.9¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?Política
No$97 @ 52.0¢