0x6a22…ae4b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6a22c52f8f2a2e0eae13dd9670b45f0b7066ae4b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+13.9pp

ROI

+35%

Tasa de acierto

65% @ 50.9¢

Brier

0.179

Resueltas

128

Tamaño med.

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	65% (57/88)	+39%	88
Deportes	38% (3/8)	+162%	8
Política	71% (5/7)	+4%	7
Geopolítica	25% (1/4)	-81%	4
Economía	100% (1/1)	+20%	1

Other88 apuestas
Tasa acierto
65% (57/88)
ROI
+39%
Deportes8 apuestas
Tasa acierto
38% (3/8)
ROI
+162%
Política7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
71% (5/7)
ROI
+4%
Geopolítica4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
25% (1/4)
ROI
-81%
Economía1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+20%

Historial

62% acierto · 67/108

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	Yes	$1	77.0¢	Perdió
Russia x Ukraine buffer zone agreement by December 31?	No	$5	89.9¢	Ganó
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 Senegal?	Yes	$1	3.3¢	Perdió
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?	Yes	$15	79.0¢	Ganó
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?	No	$7	66.0¢	Ganó
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?	No	$4	78.0¢	Ganó
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$29	63.1¢	Ganó
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Perdió
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	No	$7	53.6¢	Ganó
Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	14.0¢	Perdió
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	$5	84.0¢	Ganó
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?	Yes	$10	76.5¢	Ganó
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	No	$25	78.5¢	Ganó
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?	No	$7	45.9¢	Perdió
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-09?	Yes	$2	29.0¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	No	$5	73.0¢	Ganó
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?	Yes	$1	50.0¢	Perdió
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?	No	$5	40.0¢	Perdió
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?	No	$3	76.0¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?	No	$8	64.0¢	Ganó
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	$7	19.0¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?	No	$15	87.0¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?	Yes	$3	32.0¢	Ganó
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$2	22.0¢	Ganó
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5	Over	$4	48.0¢	Perdió
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5	Under	$2	53.0¢	Ganó
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	$2	6.5¢	Perdió
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?	No	$10	87.0¢	Ganó
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	$1	11.0¢	Perdió
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?	Yes	$3	12.6¢	Ganó
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?	Yes	$2	1.2¢	Perdió
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?	Yes	$3	61.0¢	Perdió
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$30	78.8¢	Ganó
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?	No	$4	77.0¢	Ganó
Will Bologna vs. Juventus end in a draw?	Yes	$2	33.0¢	Ganó
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$1	2.9¢	Perdió
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	$5	57.0¢	Ganó
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	Yes	$3	5.3¢	Perdió
Will India invade Pakistan before July?	No	$10	78.0¢	Ganó
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$5	68.0¢	Ganó
Will Israel strike 1 country in November 2025?	Yes	$2	85.0¢	Perdió
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5	Over	$2	51.0¢	Ganó
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	$2	50.0¢	Ganó
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?	Yes	$2	14.0¢	Perdió
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?	No	$2	27.3¢	Perdió
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	14.7¢	Ganó
Will Romelu Lukaku be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Perdió
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-04?	Yes	$4	41.0¢	Perdió
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?	Yes	$3	7.3¢	Perdió
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?	No	$5	72.0¢	Ganó

Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 77.0¢
Russia x Ukraine buffer zone agreement by December 31?Ganó
No$5 @ 89.9¢
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 Senegal?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 3.3¢
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Ganó
Yes$15 @ 79.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Ganó
No$7 @ 66.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Ganó
No$4 @ 78.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Ganó
Yes$29 @ 63.1¢
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Ganó
No$7 @ 53.6¢
Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 14.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Ganó
No$5 @ 84.0¢
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 76.5¢
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$25 @ 78.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?Perdió
No$7 @ 45.9¢
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-09?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 29.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Ganó
No$5 @ 73.0¢
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 50.0¢
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?Perdió
No$5 @ 40.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?Ganó
No$3 @ 76.0¢
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?Ganó
No$8 @ 64.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Ganó
Yes$7 @ 19.0¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?Ganó
No$15 @ 87.0¢
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?Ganó
Yes$3 @ 32.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 22.0¢
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Perdió
Over$4 @ 48.0¢
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Ganó
Under$2 @ 53.0¢
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 6.5¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Ganó
No$10 @ 87.0¢
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?Ganó
Yes$3 @ 12.6¢
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 1.2¢
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 61.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Ganó
Yes$30 @ 78.8¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Ganó
No$4 @ 77.0¢
Will Bologna vs. Juventus end in a draw? Ganó
Yes$2 @ 33.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Perdió
No$1 @ 2.9¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Ganó
No$5 @ 57.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 5.3¢
Will India invade Pakistan before July?Ganó
No$10 @ 78.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 68.0¢
Will Israel strike 1 country in November 2025?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 85.0¢
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Ganó
Over$2 @ 51.0¢
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Ganó
No$2 @ 50.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 14.0¢
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Perdió
No$2 @ 27.3¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 14.7¢
Will Romelu Lukaku be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-04?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 41.0¢
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 7.3¢
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?Ganó
No$5 @ 72.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Geopolítica	No	$46	85.7¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Política	No	$40	92.5¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Política	No	$20	95.5¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Política	No	$20	91.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	Política	No	$20	89.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$20	79.9¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Política	No	$20	35.0¢
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	Geopolítica	No	$15	84.0¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Política	No	$15	63.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?	Política	No	$10	78.1¢
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Política	No	$10	94.0¢
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?	Política	No	$10	85.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Política	Yes	$10	70.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Política	Yes	$7	28.0¢
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Política	Yes	$5	25.0¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$5	92.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	Política	No	$5	93.0¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Política	No	$5	75.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$5	71.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Política	Yes	$5	33.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Política	Yes	$2	48.0¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	Yes	$2	41.0¢

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Geopolítica
No$46 @ 85.7¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Política
No$40 @ 92.5¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Política
No$20 @ 95.5¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Política
No$20 @ 91.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Política
No$20 @ 89.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Política
No$20 @ 79.9¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Política
No$20 @ 35.0¢
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Geopolítica
No$15 @ 84.0¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Política
No$15 @ 63.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Política
No$10 @ 78.1¢
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Política
No$10 @ 94.0¢
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Política
No$10 @ 85.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Política
Yes$10 @ 70.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Política
Yes$7 @ 28.0¢
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Política
Yes$5 @ 25.0¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Política
No$5 @ 92.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Política
No$5 @ 93.0¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Política
No$5 @ 75.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
Yes$5 @ 71.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolítica
Yes$5 @ 33.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolítica
Yes$2 @ 48.0¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
Yes$2 @ 41.0¢