0x68d3…82e1

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x68d399617573841413513ba7eec8e793b32582e1
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+11.2pp

ROI

+16%

Tasa de acierto

75% @ 64.2¢

Brier

0.118

Resueltas

1055

Tamaño med.

$70

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	68% (69/101)	+26%	101
Política	59% (17/29)	-17%	29
Geopolítica	71% (5/7)	+3%	7
Deportes	100% (1/1)	+20%	1

Other101 apuestas
Tasa acierto
68% (69/101)
ROI
+26%
Política29 apuestas
Tasa acierto
59% (17/29)
ROI
-17%
Geopolítica7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
71% (5/7)
ROI
+3%
Deportes1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+20%

Historial

67% acierto · 92/138

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	No	$133	88.8¢	Ganó
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	Yes	$182	82.7¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?	Yes	$10	78.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	Yes	$34	17.0¢	Perdió
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$1.2k	64.1¢	Ganó
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 8, 2026?	No	$49	82.1¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$49	49.0¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	$14	14.0¢	Ganó
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$2.7k	83.5¢	Perdió
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	$32	2.8¢	Perdió
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	$1.6k	53.3¢	Ganó
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	Yes	$506	73.1¢	Ganó
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	$123	30.8¢	Perdió
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	No	$1.0k	83.5¢	Ganó
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?	Yes	$88	88.0¢	Ganó
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?	Yes	$2.0k	77.1¢	Ganó
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	$587	72.3¢	Ganó
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$19	2.8¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?	No	$636	72.6¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?	No	$160	82.0¢	Ganó
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 1, 2026?	Yes	$7	83.0¢	Ganó
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	$1.2k	81.9¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 14, 2026?	Yes	$80	80.0¢	Ganó
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026??	No	$151	86.0¢	Ganó
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 7, 2026?	Yes	$254	86.6¢	Ganó
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	Yes	$70	5.9¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	No	$187	87.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	Yes	$299	60.8¢	Perdió
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 10, 2026?	No	$0	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 9, 2026?	No	$13	87.3¢	Ganó
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	$3.2k	70.1¢	Ganó
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	No	$496	80.8¢	Ganó
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	Yes	$320	82.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$554	66.0¢	Ganó
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?	No	$672	85.9¢	Ganó
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 2, 2026?	Yes	$176	88.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$149	49.7¢	Perdió
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	$266	88.7¢	Ganó
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 8, 2026?	No	$175	89.0¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?	Yes	$70	80.0¢	Ganó
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	$88	88.1¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	$379	51.9¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$934	84.9¢	Ganó
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	Yes	$4	80.0¢	Ganó
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?	No	$74	4.4¢	Perdió
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	$1.3k	81.4¢	Ganó
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Perdió
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?	No	$1.5k	63.2¢	Ganó
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	$172	86.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?	No	$852	61.7¢	Ganó

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?Ganó
No$133 @ 88.8¢
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?Perdió
Yes$182 @ 82.7¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 78.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?Perdió
Yes$34 @ 17.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1.2k @ 64.1¢
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 8, 2026?Ganó
No$49 @ 82.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$49 @ 49.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Ganó
No$14 @ 14.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Perdió
Yes$2.7k @ 83.5¢
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Perdió
No$32 @ 2.8¢
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1.6k @ 53.3¢
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?Ganó
Yes$506 @ 73.1¢
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Perdió
Yes$123 @ 30.8¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Ganó
No$1.0k @ 83.5¢
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?Ganó
Yes$88 @ 88.0¢
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?Ganó
Yes$2.0k @ 77.1¢
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Ganó
Yes$587 @ 72.3¢
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$19 @ 2.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Ganó
No$636 @ 72.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?Ganó
No$160 @ 82.0¢
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 1, 2026?Ganó
Yes$7 @ 83.0¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?Ganó
No$1.2k @ 81.9¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 14, 2026?Ganó
Yes$80 @ 80.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026??Ganó
No$151 @ 86.0¢
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 7, 2026?Ganó
Yes$254 @ 86.6¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?Perdió
Yes$70 @ 5.9¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Ganó
No$187 @ 87.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Perdió
Yes$299 @ 60.8¢
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 10, 2026?Ganó
No$0 @ 89.0¢
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 9, 2026?Ganó
No$13 @ 87.3¢
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Ganó
Yes$3.2k @ 70.1¢
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?Ganó
No$496 @ 80.8¢
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?Perdió
Yes$320 @ 82.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Ganó
Yes$554 @ 66.0¢
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?Ganó
No$672 @ 85.9¢
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 2, 2026?Ganó
Yes$176 @ 88.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Perdió
Yes$149 @ 49.7¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$266 @ 88.7¢
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 8, 2026?Perdió
No$175 @ 89.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?Ganó
Yes$70 @ 80.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Ganó
Yes$88 @ 88.1¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Ganó
No$379 @ 51.9¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$934 @ 84.9¢
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 80.0¢
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?Perdió
No$74 @ 4.4¢
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Ganó
Yes$1.3k @ 81.4¢
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?Ganó
No$1.5k @ 63.2¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Ganó
No$172 @ 86.0¢
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?Ganó
No$852 @ 61.7¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$2.8k	69.0¢
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Política	Yes	$68	34.2¢
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Ciencia	No	$1	11.0¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$2.8k @ 69.0¢
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Política
Yes$68 @ 34.2¢
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ciencia
No$1 @ 11.0¢