0x688b…49f5

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x688b15f0b28ed993dba8ee14f3485ddbb55349f5
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+1.6pp

ROI

+248%

Tasa de acierto

11% @ 8.9¢

Brier

0.082

Resueltas

1646

Tamaño med.

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	31% (22/72)	+156%	72
Política	16% (10/63)	+385%	63
Geopolítica	20% (2/10)	-89%	10

Other72 apuestas
Tasa acierto
31% (22/72)
ROI
+156%
Política63 apuestas
Tasa acierto
16% (10/63)
ROI
+385%
Geopolítica10 apuestas
Tasa acierto
20% (2/10)
ROI
-89%

Historial

23% acierto · 34/145

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?	No	$2	48.0¢	Perdió
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?	Yes	$2	31.2¢	Ganó
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	Yes	$2	15.0¢	Perdió
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	No	$2	86.0¢	Ganó
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	Yes	$3	86.6¢	Perdió
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	Yes	$15	19.0¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$20	8.9¢	Perdió
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	Yes	$10	89.0¢	Ganó
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	Yes	$1	1.5¢	Perdió
Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	$10	3.1¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$2	54.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$19	29.5¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$6	4.0¢	Perdió
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$1	11.0¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Yes	$9	27.4¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$22	1.9¢	Perdió
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$3	23.5¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	0.2¢	Perdió
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 28?	Yes	$1	50.0¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$4	0.2¢	Ganó
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	9.0¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$9	0.2¢	Perdió
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 22?	Yes	$4	86.0¢	Ganó
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	No	$5	14.0¢	Perdió
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	$3	66.0¢	Ganó
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	$1	30.0¢	Perdió
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$13	0.4¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Perdió
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2	3.0¢	Perdió
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$43	0.7¢	Perdió
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	$4	3.7¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?	Yes	$5	0.1¢	Perdió
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	$4	4.2¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$20	16.9¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	$1	88.0¢	Ganó
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?	Yes	$13	21.5¢	Ganó
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	Yes	$2	0.5¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	Yes	$12	19.6¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	Yes	$67	39.0¢	Perdió
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$18	2.3¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	0.3¢	Perdió
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$1	13.0¢	Perdió
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	No	$6	84.8¢	Ganó
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	Yes	$4	55.7¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Perdió
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	20.0¢	Perdió
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Perdió
Will 70-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?	Yes	$5	14.1¢	Perdió

Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?Perdió
No$2 @ 48.0¢
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 31.2¢
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?Ganó
No$2 @ 86.0¢
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 86.6¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 19.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 8.9¢
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 89.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 1.5¢
Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 3.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$2 @ 54.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$19 @ 29.5¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 4.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Perdió
Yes$9 @ 27.4¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Perdió
Yes$22 @ 1.9¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 23.5¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 0.2¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 28?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 50.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 0.2¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$9 @ 0.2¢
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 22?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 86.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Perdió
No$5 @ 14.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Ganó
No$3 @ 66.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 30.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$13 @ 0.4¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 3.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$43 @ 0.7¢
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 3.7¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 4.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 16.9¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$1 @ 88.0¢
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?Ganó
Yes$13 @ 21.5¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Perdió
Yes$12 @ 19.6¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?Perdió
Yes$67 @ 39.0¢
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$18 @ 2.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 0.3¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?Ganó
No$6 @ 84.8¢
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 55.7¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 20.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will 70-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 14.1¢

Operaciones recientes

en vivo desde Polymarket · haz clic en una columna para ordenar

Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.75% at the end of 2027?	Política	Yes	$26	10.8¢
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$24	0.2¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the end of 2027?	Política	Yes	$20	13.5¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.0% at the end of 2027?	Política	Yes	$20	14.1¢
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$19	0.2¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.25% at the end of 2027?	Política	Yes	$18	8.6¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Política	Yes	$12	7.8¢
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$11	1.1¢
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$11	0.8¢
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$10	0.4¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$9	13.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Política	Yes	$8	22.4¢
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Política	Yes	$5	7.0¢
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Política	Yes	$5	0.4¢
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$5	0.3¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Política	Yes	$4	5.8¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.5% at the end of 2027?	Política	Yes	$3	1.9¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$3	11.2¢
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Economía	Yes	$3	0.2¢
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$3	0.2¢
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	Yes	$2	0.2¢
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Política	Yes	$2	0.1¢
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	Política	No	$2	31.0¢
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	Yes	$1	0.2¢
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$1	4.0¢
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$1	0.3¢
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$1	0.2¢
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$1	0.2¢
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	Yes	$1	0.2¢
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$1	0.2¢

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.75% at the end of 2027?Política
Yes$26 @ 10.8¢
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
Yes$24 @ 0.2¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the end of 2027?Política
Yes$20 @ 13.5¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.0% at the end of 2027?Política
Yes$20 @ 14.1¢
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
Yes$19 @ 0.2¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.25% at the end of 2027?Política
Yes$18 @ 8.6¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Política
Yes$12 @ 7.8¢
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
Yes$11 @ 1.1¢
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
Yes$11 @ 0.8¢
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
Yes$10 @ 0.4¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$9 @ 13.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Política
Yes$8 @ 22.4¢
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Política
Yes$5 @ 7.0¢
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Política
Yes$5 @ 0.4¢
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
Yes$5 @ 0.3¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Política
Yes$4 @ 5.8¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.5% at the end of 2027?Política
Yes$3 @ 1.9¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Geopolítica
No$3 @ 11.2¢
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Economía
Yes$3 @ 0.2¢
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
Yes$3 @ 0.2¢
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?Política
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Política
No$2 @ 31.0¢
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Política
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢