0x6512…5291

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x65126a59485f1457a945929bc353611e0a805291
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+6.5pp

ROI

+7%

Tasa de acierto

56% @ 49.6¢

Brier

0.177

Resueltas

2080

Tamaño med.

$108

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	51% (234/463)	+2%	463
Política	50% (23/46)	+36%	46
Deportes	41% (9/22)	+9%	22
Ciencia	20% (1/5)	-21%	5
Cripto	100% (4/4)	+45%	4
Geopolítica	67% (2/3)	+18%	3

Other463 apuestas
Tasa acierto
51% (234/463)
ROI
+2%
Política46 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (23/46)
ROI
+36%
Deportes22 apuestas
Tasa acierto
41% (9/22)
ROI
+9%
Ciencia5 apuestas
Tasa acierto
20% (1/5)
ROI
-21%
Cripto4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (4/4)
ROI
+45%
Geopolítica3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (2/3)
ROI
+18%

Historial

50% acierto · 273/543

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	No	$14	7.0¢	Perdió
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?	Yes	$20	96.4¢	Ganó
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 48% and 51% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$36	10.8¢	Perdió
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$85	85.0¢	Ganó
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$160	24.0¢	Ganó
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	$140	14.0¢	Perdió
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$1.3k	88.0¢	Ganó
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$207	23.3¢	Ganó
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	$1.5k	96.8¢	Ganó
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	$267	89.2¢	Ganó
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	$100	5.0¢	Perdió
Colts vs. Commanders	Colts	$66	66.0¢	Ganó
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	$10	68.3¢	Ganó
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?	No	$24	49.0¢	Ganó
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Perdió
Rams vs. Seahawks	Rams	$100	45.0¢	Perdió
Golden Knights vs. Oilers	Oilers	$200	50.0¢	Perdió
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	$100	35.0¢	Perdió
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?	Yes	$50	50.0¢	Perdió
Knicks vs. Warriors	Knicks	$10	32.0¢	Perdió
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Knicks	$67	52.0¢	Ganó
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	Yes	$1.9k	80.8¢	Ganó
Giants vs. Rams: O/U 47.5	Over	$315	49.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 12?	Yes	$1	2.1¢	Perdió
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?	No	$102	17.0¢	Perdió
Thunder vs. Jazz	Thunder	$900	81.0¢	Ganó
Wild vs. Panthers	Panthers	$175	45.0¢	Perdió
Stars vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	$133	52.0¢	Perdió
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	$216	54.0¢	Perdió
Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5	Under	$156	52.0¢	Ganó
Heat vs. Mavericks	Heat	$45	63.0¢	Perdió
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?	No	$1.9k	87.2¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "tax" 30 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?	Yes	$2	23.0¢	Perdió
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-30?	No	$10	10.0¢	Perdió
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	$200	50.0¢	Ganó
Thunder vs. Suns	Thunder	$760	76.0¢	Perdió
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	$582	18.0¢	Perdió
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5	Over	$132	44.0¢	Perdió
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?	No	$122	19.5¢	Ganó
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	No	$136	34.0¢	Perdió
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?	No	$336	48.0¢	Perdió
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	Yes	$71	70.0¢	Ganó
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?	No	$77	38.0¢	Ganó
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$754	37.5¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?	Yes	$3	56.0¢	Perdió
Hawks vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	$45	40.0¢	Ganó
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)	Hawks	$177	44.0¢	Ganó
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?	Yes	$10	4.6¢	Perdió
Will Trump and Putin hug on Friday?	Yes	$2	10.0¢	Perdió
Will FK Lokomotiv Moskva win on 2026-04-05?	Yes	$14	26.0¢	Perdió

Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Perdió
No$14 @ 7.0¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?Ganó
Yes$20 @ 96.4¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 48% and 51% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$36 @ 10.8¢
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ganó
No$85 @ 85.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ganó
No$160 @ 24.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Perdió
Yes$140 @ 14.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ganó
Yes$1.3k @ 88.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ganó
Yes$207 @ 23.3¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Ganó
Yes$1.5k @ 96.8¢
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Ganó
No$267 @ 89.2¢
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Perdió
Yes$100 @ 5.0¢
Colts vs. CommandersGanó
Colts$66 @ 66.0¢
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee BrewersGanó
Milwaukee Brewers$10 @ 68.3¢
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?Ganó
No$24 @ 49.0¢
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Rams vs. SeahawksPerdió
Rams$100 @ 45.0¢
Golden Knights vs. OilersPerdió
Oilers$200 @ 50.0¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Perdió
Yes$100 @ 35.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?Perdió
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
Knicks vs. WarriorsPerdió
Knicks$10 @ 32.0¢
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Ganó
Knicks$67 @ 52.0¢
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Ganó
Yes$1.9k @ 80.8¢
Giants vs. Rams: O/U 47.5Perdió
Over$315 @ 49.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 12?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 2.1¢
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?Perdió
No$102 @ 17.0¢
Thunder vs. JazzGanó
Thunder$900 @ 81.0¢
Wild vs. PanthersPerdió
Panthers$175 @ 45.0¢
Stars vs. CanadiensPerdió
Canadiens$133 @ 52.0¢
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Perdió
Yes$216 @ 54.0¢
Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5Ganó
Under$156 @ 52.0¢
Heat vs. MavericksPerdió
Heat$45 @ 63.0¢
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?Ganó
No$1.9k @ 87.2¢
Will Trump say "tax" 30 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 23.0¢
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-30?Perdió
No$10 @ 10.0¢
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Ganó
Over$200 @ 50.0¢
Thunder vs. SunsPerdió
Thunder$760 @ 76.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Perdió
No$582 @ 18.0¢
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Perdió
Over$132 @ 44.0¢
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?Ganó
No$122 @ 19.5¢
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Perdió
No$136 @ 34.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?Perdió
No$336 @ 48.0¢
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Ganó
Yes$71 @ 70.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Ganó
No$77 @ 38.0¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$754 @ 37.5¢
Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 56.0¢
Hawks vs. Trail BlazersGanó
Trail Blazers$45 @ 40.0¢
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Ganó
Hawks$177 @ 44.0¢
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 4.6¢
Will Trump and Putin hug on Friday?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
Will FK Lokomotiv Moskva win on 2026-04-05?Perdió
Yes$14 @ 26.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$9.3k	50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	No	$9.3k	50.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$2.7k	56.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	No	$1.4k	71.5¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$1.0k	18.0¢
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Política	No	$878	59.0¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Política	No	$520	39.6¢
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$440	88.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Política	Yes	$380	86.4¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$320	29.2¢
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Política	No	$310	62.0¢
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$250	81.0¢
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$248	76.0¢
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	Geopolítica	Yes	$100	29.0¢
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Ciencia	No	$95	94.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$90	70.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	No	$57	37.0¢
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Política	No	$54	54.0¢
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Política	No	$50	68.0¢
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Cultura	Yes	$5	73.0¢

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$9.3k @ 50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
No$9.3k @ 50.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
Yes$2.7k @ 56.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
No$1.4k @ 71.5¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$1.0k @ 18.0¢
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Política
No$878 @ 59.0¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Política
No$520 @ 39.6¢
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Geopolítica
No$440 @ 88.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Política
Yes$380 @ 86.4¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$320 @ 29.2¢
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Política
No$310 @ 62.0¢
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Geopolítica
No$250 @ 81.0¢
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Política
No$248 @ 76.0¢
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Geopolítica
Yes$100 @ 29.0¢
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Ciencia
No$95 @ 94.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$90 @ 70.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
No$57 @ 37.0¢
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Política
No$54 @ 54.0¢
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Política
No$50 @ 68.0¢
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Cultura
Yes$5 @ 73.0¢