0x6319…789d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6319970bcfe40ae655c18c0d140fe3ce3c6d789d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+6.5pp

ROI

+10%

Tasa de acierto

69% @ 62.5¢

Brier

0.196

Resueltas

442

Tamaño med.

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	74% (25/34)	+10%	34
Política	57% (4/7)	+10%	7
Geopolítica	50% (1/2)	-76%	2
Deportes	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Economía	100% (1/1)	+42%	1

Other34 apuestas
Tasa acierto
74% (25/34)
ROI
+10%
Política7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
57% (4/7)
ROI
+10%
Geopolítica2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
-76%
Deportes1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Economía1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+42%

Historial

69% acierto · 31/45

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	38.9¢	Perdió
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	No	$6	43.7¢	Perdió
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	Yes	$20	68.5¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?	Yes	$14	78.3¢	Ganó
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	No	$100	69.1¢	Ganó
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	$4	35.0¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$3	52.0¢	Perdió
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	$43	55.2¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	Yes	$35	23.6¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$75	37.4¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$19	55.0¢	Ganó
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	No	$22	79.7¢	Ganó
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	No	$134	51.3¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$401	84.6¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	$23	16.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	No	$12	39.1¢	Perdió
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	No	$81	76.3¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	Yes	$56	82.4¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	Yes	$70	63.8¢	Ganó
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?	No	$5	88.3¢	Ganó
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	$26	83.0¢	Ganó
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	$25	66.8¢	Perdió
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	$5	69.0¢	Ganó
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	$79	70.3¢	Ganó
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$87	71.1¢	Perdió
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$282	49.9¢	Ganó
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$245	76.1¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	Yes	$62	77.4¢	Ganó
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?	Yes	$97	67.4¢	Perdió
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	$74	43.4¢	Perdió
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$31	51.8¢	Ganó
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$188	60.4¢	Perdió
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?	No	$16	63.1¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	$71	71.3¢	Ganó
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?	Yes	$8	53.4¢	Ganó
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	No	$59	62.8¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	$22	52.5¢	Ganó
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?	No	$12	76.3¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	$87	53.0¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?	Yes	$9	67.6¢	Ganó
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	No	$7	86.8¢	Ganó
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	$117	77.0¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?	Yes	$3	64.0¢	Ganó
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?	Yes	$29	70.9¢	Perdió
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?	Yes	$5	71.0¢	Ganó

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 38.9¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Perdió
No$6 @ 43.7¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Ganó
Yes$20 @ 68.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Ganó
Yes$14 @ 78.3¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Ganó
No$100 @ 69.1¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 35.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 52.0¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Perdió
Yes$43 @ 55.2¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Perdió
Yes$35 @ 23.6¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Ganó
Yes$75 @ 37.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Ganó
No$19 @ 55.0¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Ganó
No$22 @ 79.7¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Perdió
No$134 @ 51.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Ganó
No$401 @ 84.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Perdió
Yes$23 @ 16.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Perdió
No$12 @ 39.1¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Ganó
No$81 @ 76.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Ganó
Yes$56 @ 82.4¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Ganó
Yes$70 @ 63.8¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Ganó
No$5 @ 88.3¢
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Ganó
No$26 @ 83.0¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Perdió
No$25 @ 66.8¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 69.0¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Ganó
Yes$79 @ 70.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
No$87 @ 71.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$282 @ 49.9¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$245 @ 76.1¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Ganó
Yes$62 @ 77.4¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Perdió
Yes$97 @ 67.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$74 @ 43.4¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Ganó
No$31 @ 51.8¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$188 @ 60.4¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Ganó
No$16 @ 63.1¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Ganó
Yes$71 @ 71.3¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Ganó
Yes$8 @ 53.4¢
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Ganó
No$59 @ 62.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Ganó
No$22 @ 52.5¢
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Ganó
No$12 @ 76.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Ganó
Yes$87 @ 53.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Ganó
Yes$9 @ 67.6¢
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Ganó
No$7 @ 86.8¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Ganó
No$117 @ 77.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?Ganó
Yes$3 @ 64.0¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Perdió
Yes$29 @ 70.9¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 71.0¢

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