0x60a9…5a71

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x60a92c8620846d81f5ea17b0564e0d4b7c545a71
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+10.0pp

ROI

+20%

Tasa de acierto

51% @ 40.5¢

Brier

0.158

Resueltas

457

Tamaño med.

$424

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	39% (16/41)	+18%	41
Other	64% (7/11)	+35%	11
Geopolítica	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Política41 apuestas
Tasa acierto
39% (16/41)
ROI
+18%
Other11 apuestas
Tasa acierto
64% (7/11)
ROI
+35%
Geopolítica2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Historial

43% acierto · 23/54

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$267	89.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$18.8k	29.8¢	Perdió
Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	$100	6.4¢	Perdió
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	$2.1k	40.3¢	Perdió
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$756	6.2¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$8.1k	74.1¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$2.9k	14.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	$4	4.0¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$50	3.6¢	Perdió
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	$846	75.5¢	Ganó
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$3.1k	72.2¢	Ganó
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$8.7k	29.3¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	$9.1k	82.6¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$1.7k	29.7¢	Perdió
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	$9.7k	80.7¢	Ganó
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$3.3k	26.2¢	Perdió
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	No	$641	31.1¢	Perdió
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	$5.3k	72.3¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	$94	4.5¢	Perdió
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.7k	4.8¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?	No	$5	0.6¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?	No	$4.1k	54.9¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?	Yes	$3.1k	48.1¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$1.5k	12.7¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$45.5k	48.3¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	$351	3.4¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	$161	65.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	$2.4k	80.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$950	21.7¢	Perdió
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	$458	63.7¢	Ganó
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?	No	$890	75.0¢	Ganó
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?	Yes	$140	14.0¢	Perdió
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	$179	61.0¢	Perdió
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$9.5k	54.5¢	Ganó
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	$4.2k	42.3¢	Perdió
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$847	18.1¢	Ganó
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	No	$2.0k	88.5¢	Ganó
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	$78	6.0¢	Perdió
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	$3.5k	40.4¢	Perdió
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	$3.4k	61.0¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	$2.6k	83.7¢	Ganó
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	$550	6.1¢	Perdió
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	$400	6.3¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	$42	4.7¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	$224	8.8¢	Perdió
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	$619	77.4¢	Ganó
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$203	31.0¢	Perdió
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$11.8k	75.6¢	Ganó
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$182	5.1¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?	Yes	$50	4.8¢	Perdió

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$267 @ 89.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$18.8k @ 29.8¢
Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?Perdió
Yes$100 @ 6.4¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Perdió
No$2.1k @ 40.3¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Perdió
Yes$756 @ 6.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$8.1k @ 74.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$2.9k @ 14.0¢
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 4.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Perdió
Yes$50 @ 3.6¢
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?Ganó
No$846 @ 75.5¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Ganó
No$3.1k @ 72.2¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$8.7k @ 29.3¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$9.1k @ 82.6¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.7k @ 29.7¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Ganó
No$9.7k @ 80.7¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Perdió
Yes$3.3k @ 26.2¢
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?Perdió
No$641 @ 31.1¢
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?Ganó
Yes$5.3k @ 72.3¢
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?Perdió
Yes$94 @ 4.5¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.7k @ 4.8¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?Perdió
No$5 @ 0.6¢
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?Perdió
No$4.1k @ 54.9¢
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?Ganó
Yes$3.1k @ 48.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$1.5k @ 12.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$45.5k @ 48.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?Perdió
Yes$351 @ 3.4¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$161 @ 65.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$2.4k @ 80.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$950 @ 21.7¢
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Ganó
Yes$458 @ 63.7¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?Ganó
No$890 @ 75.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?Perdió
Yes$140 @ 14.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Perdió
No$179 @ 61.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Ganó
Yes$9.5k @ 54.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Perdió
No$4.2k @ 42.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$847 @ 18.1¢
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Ganó
No$2.0k @ 88.5¢
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Perdió
Yes$78 @ 6.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Perdió
No$3.5k @ 40.4¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Ganó
Yes$3.4k @ 61.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Ganó
No$2.6k @ 83.7¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Perdió
Yes$550 @ 6.1¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Perdió
Yes$400 @ 6.3¢
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Perdió
Yes$42 @ 4.7¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Perdió
Yes$224 @ 8.8¢
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?Ganó
No$619 @ 77.4¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Perdió
No$203 @ 31.0¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Ganó
Yes$11.8k @ 75.6¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$182 @ 5.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?Perdió
Yes$50 @ 4.8¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?	Política	No	$7.1k	89.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Política	No	$5.8k	75.9¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Política	No	$5.2k	90.0¢
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Política	No	$5.1k	57.1¢
Tucker Carlson federally charged?	Política	No	$3.5k	93.5¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Geopolítica	No	$3.4k	47.2¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?	Política	Yes	$3.2k	82.9¢
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	Política	No	$3.2k	64.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Geopolítica	Yes	$3.2k	11.3¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Geopolítica	Yes	$2.8k	20.5¢
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$2.7k	83.4¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Ciencia	No	$2.4k	77.6¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Política	No	$2.3k	80.7¢
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Política	No	$2.3k	81.2¢
Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Política	No	$2.0k	89.6¢
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	Política	No	$2.0k	70.4¢
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Política	Yes	$1.9k	21.0¢
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?	Política	No	$1.9k	58.0¢
Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Política	No	$1.8k	81.2¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Política	Yes	$1.5k	41.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Política	No	$1.4k	8.1¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Política	Yes	$1.4k	41.0¢
Les Wexner charged by June 30?	Política	No	$1.3k	89.5¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Política	No	$1.2k	86.7¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Geopolítica	Yes	$1.2k	15.8¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$1.1k	29.5¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Política	No	$1.0k	44.4¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$969	66.4¢
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Política	Yes	$881	44.8¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Política	Yes	$872	58.7¢

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Política
No$7.1k @ 89.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Política
No$5.8k @ 75.9¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Política
No$5.2k @ 90.0¢
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Política
No$5.1k @ 57.1¢
Tucker Carlson federally charged?Política
No$3.5k @ 93.5¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolítica
No$3.4k @ 47.2¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Política
Yes$3.2k @ 82.9¢
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Política
No$3.2k @ 64.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Geopolítica
Yes$3.2k @ 11.3¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Geopolítica
Yes$2.8k @ 20.5¢
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Geopolítica
No$2.7k @ 83.4¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?Ciencia
No$2.4k @ 77.6¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Política
No$2.3k @ 80.7¢
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Política
No$2.3k @ 81.2¢
Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Política
No$2.0k @ 89.6¢
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?Política
No$2.0k @ 70.4¢
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Política
Yes$1.9k @ 21.0¢
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?Política
No$1.9k @ 58.0¢
Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Política
No$1.8k @ 81.2¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Política
Yes$1.5k @ 41.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Política
No$1.4k @ 8.1¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Política
Yes$1.4k @ 41.0¢
Les Wexner charged by June 30?Política
No$1.3k @ 89.5¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?Política
No$1.2k @ 86.7¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Geopolítica
Yes$1.2k @ 15.8¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Política
Yes$1.1k @ 29.5¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Política
No$1.0k @ 44.4¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Geopolítica
No$969 @ 66.4¢
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Política
Yes$881 @ 44.8¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Política
Yes$872 @ 58.7¢