0x5d2f…4adb

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x5d2f49295387e01a49f0a3e59449ceed791c4adb
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+6.1pp

ROI

+12%

Tasa de acierto

40% @ 34.1¢

Brier

0.115

Resueltas

823

Tamaño med.

$191

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	59% (107/181)	+21%	181
Deportes	46% (11/24)	-9%	24
Política	53% (8/15)	-30%	15
Cripto	67% (6/9)	+49%	9
Geopolítica	50% (3/6)	-1%	6
Cultura	25% (1/4)	+101%	4
Tecnología	67% (2/3)	-82%	3
Economía	50% (1/2)	-43%	2

Other181 apuestas
Tasa acierto
59% (107/181)
ROI
+21%
Deportes24 apuestas
Tasa acierto
46% (11/24)
ROI
-9%
Política15 apuestas
Tasa acierto
53% (8/15)
ROI
-30%
Cripto9 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (6/9)
ROI
+49%
Geopolítica6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (3/6)
ROI
-1%
Cultura4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
25% (1/4)
ROI
+101%
Tecnología3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (2/3)
ROI
-82%
Economía2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
-43%

Historial

57% acierto · 139/244

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	$2.3k	75.0¢	Ganó
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	Yes	$1000	73.9¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?	No	$500	86.6¢	Ganó
Will the Australian hero donation campaign reach $1.7 million by Dec 15?	No	$100	12.3¢	Perdió
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?	No	$100	9.1¢	Perdió
Will Casemiro score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$1	55.0¢	Perdió
Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?	No	$200	7.0¢	Perdió
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?	No	$1.0k	44.9¢	Ganó
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$88	3.0¢	Perdió
Another Israel military action on Yemen in May?	No	$100	14.2¢	Perdió
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?	No	$900	30.0¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?	No	$100	19.5¢	Ganó
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?	No	$960	48.0¢	Ganó
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?	Yes	$100	55.0¢	Perdió
Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?	No	$500	64.1¢	Ganó
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30?	No	$60	75.0¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?	No	$500	41.3¢	Ganó
Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$56	6.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?	Yes	$100	68.4¢	Ganó
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 20, 2026?	Yes	$649	77.1¢	Ganó
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026?	Yes	$1.8k	79.3¢	Ganó
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	No	$100	16.7¢	Perdió
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	No	$1.0k	29.0¢	Perdió
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$580	58.0¢	Perdió
Will Netherlands be the highest-scoring team in Group F during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.6k	81.3¢	Ganó
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?	No	$105	25.0¢	Perdió
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	Yes	$500	63.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	$849	84.0¢	Ganó
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$1.0k	64.0¢	Ganó
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?	No	$30	23.0¢	Ganó
Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?	Yes	$300	32.7¢	Perdió
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?	Yes	$10	1.8¢	Perdió
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?	Yes	$100	31.9¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	No	$1.0k	69.9¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	No	$1.0k	87.0¢	Ganó
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?	No	$750	75.0¢	Ganó
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$105	1.9¢	Perdió
Will Russia enter Sviato-Pokrovske by December 31?	No	$100	11.1¢	Perdió
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$105	3.8¢	Perdió
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 14, 2026?	Yes	$200	75.0¢	Perdió
Will Berachain launch a token in January?	No	$300	85.2¢	Ganó
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?	No	$75	75.0¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$1000	71.0¢	Ganó
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 22, 2026?	Yes	$19	70.0¢	Ganó
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	No	$1000	90.0¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?	No	$500	34.4¢	Perdió
Will Federico Valverde score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$12	30.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$800	40.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$800	40.0¢	Perdió
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	No	$300	30.0¢	Perdió

World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Ganó
Yes$2.3k @ 75.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Ganó
Yes$1000 @ 73.9¢
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?Ganó
No$500 @ 86.6¢
Will the Australian hero donation campaign reach $1.7 million by Dec 15?Perdió
No$100 @ 12.3¢
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Perdió
No$100 @ 9.1¢
Will Casemiro score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
No$1 @ 55.0¢
Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?Perdió
No$200 @ 7.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?Ganó
No$1.0k @ 44.9¢
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$88 @ 3.0¢
Another Israel military action on Yemen in May?Perdió
No$100 @ 14.2¢
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?Ganó
No$900 @ 30.0¢
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?Ganó
No$100 @ 19.5¢
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?Ganó
No$960 @ 48.0¢
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?Perdió
Yes$100 @ 55.0¢
Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?Ganó
No$500 @ 64.1¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30?Ganó
No$60 @ 75.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Ganó
No$500 @ 41.3¢
Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$56 @ 6.0¢
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?Ganó
Yes$100 @ 68.4¢
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 20, 2026?Ganó
Yes$649 @ 77.1¢
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1.8k @ 79.3¢
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Perdió
No$100 @ 16.7¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Perdió
No$1.0k @ 29.0¢
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
No$580 @ 58.0¢
Will Netherlands be the highest-scoring team in Group F during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
Yes$1.6k @ 81.3¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?Perdió
No$105 @ 25.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Perdió
Yes$500 @ 63.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Ganó
No$849 @ 84.0¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Ganó
Yes$1.0k @ 64.0¢
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?Ganó
No$30 @ 23.0¢
Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?Perdió
Yes$300 @ 32.7¢
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 1.8¢
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?Perdió
Yes$100 @ 31.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Ganó
No$1.0k @ 69.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?Ganó
No$1.0k @ 87.0¢
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?Ganó
No$750 @ 75.0¢
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Perdió
Yes$105 @ 1.9¢
Will Russia enter Sviato-Pokrovske by December 31?Perdió
No$100 @ 11.1¢
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Perdió
Yes$105 @ 3.8¢
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 14, 2026?Perdió
Yes$200 @ 75.0¢
Will Berachain launch a token in January?Ganó
No$300 @ 85.2¢
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?Perdió
No$75 @ 75.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$1000 @ 71.0¢
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 22, 2026?Ganó
Yes$19 @ 70.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Ganó
No$1000 @ 90.0¢
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?Perdió
No$500 @ 34.4¢
Will Federico Valverde score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
No$12 @ 30.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Ganó
No$800 @ 40.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Perdió
Yes$800 @ 40.0¢
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?Perdió
No$300 @ 30.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Política	Yes	$2.0k	88.6¢
Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	Cripto	No	$1.8k	83.7¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Política	Yes	$1.5k	15.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Cripto	Yes	$1.3k	64.0¢
Will 2026 rank 6th or higher among the highest domestic box office years?	Cultura	Yes	$1.0k	24.9¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	Tecnología	No	$1.0k	50.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Deportes	No	$1.0k	50.0¢
Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?	Cultura	No	$1000	20.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	No	$1000	22.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Política	Yes	$999	34.5¢
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m?	Cultura	No	$360	12.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	Tecnología	No	$293	16.8¢
Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?	Cultura	No	$1	15.0¢

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Política
Yes$2.0k @ 88.6¢
Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?Cripto
No$1.8k @ 83.7¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Política
Yes$1.5k @ 15.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?Cripto
Yes$1.3k @ 64.0¢
Will 2026 rank 6th or higher among the highest domestic box office years?Cultura
Yes$1.0k @ 24.9¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Tecnología
No$1.0k @ 50.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Deportes
No$1.0k @ 50.0¢
Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?Cultura
No$1000 @ 20.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
No$1000 @ 22.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Política
Yes$999 @ 34.5¢
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m?Cultura
No$360 @ 12.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Tecnología
No$293 @ 16.8¢
Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?Cultura
No$1 @ 15.0¢