0x5b8d…a1ae

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x5b8d2dc97625e7c51954bc36371c30a902b5a1ae
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+6.2pp

ROI

+12%

Tasa de acierto

72% @ 65.6¢

Brier

0.074

Resueltas

2114

Tamaño med.

$143

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	36% (74/205)	+12%	205
Deportes	49% (20/41)	+40%	41
Política	44% (11/25)	+2%	25
Geopolítica	22% (2/9)	-76%	9
Cripto	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Economía	100% (1/1)	+12%	1

Other205 apuestas
Tasa acierto
36% (74/205)
ROI
+12%
Deportes41 apuestas
Tasa acierto
49% (20/41)
ROI
+40%
Política25 apuestas
Tasa acierto
44% (11/25)
ROI
+2%
Geopolítica9 apuestas
Tasa acierto
22% (2/9)
ROI
-76%
Cripto2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Economía1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+12%

Historial

38% acierto · 108/283

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	No	$6	19.7¢	Perdió
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	$0	3.3¢	Perdió
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	Yes	$7	71.0¢	Ganó
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	No	$164	54.7¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$58	37.0¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	$85	17.0¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	Yes	$8	8.2¢	Perdió
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?	No	$6	59.0¢	Perdió
Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?	Yes	$153	51.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$36	36.0¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$231	47.6¢	Ganó
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	$20	74.8¢	Ganó
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1	No	$37	45.5¢	Ganó
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1	Yes	$18	29.5¢	Perdió
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	No	$168	84.0¢	Ganó
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$116	58.0¢	Ganó
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	No	$20	73.5¢	Ganó
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	$20	13.6¢	Perdió
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Perdió
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$6	73.7¢	Ganó
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$3	31.0¢	Perdió
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?	No	$54	67.0¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?	Yes	$191	30.7¢	Perdió
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	5.2¢	Perdió
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$6	28.0¢	Perdió
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$9	86.0¢	Ganó
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	$364	53.0¢	Ganó
US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?	Yes	$88	44.0¢	Ganó
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?	No	$1	55.0¢	Perdió
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?	Yes	$4	65.1¢	Ganó
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$128	17.5¢	Perdió
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	$26	15.0¢	Ganó
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	No	$14	33.0¢	Perdió
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?	Yes	$50	41.0¢	Perdió
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	14.0¢	Perdió
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	$105	8.3¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	$66	66.0¢	Ganó
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 8?	Yes	$47	47.2¢	Perdió
Will G2 Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?	Yes	$8	1.5¢	Perdió
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?	Yes	$5	8.0¢	Perdió
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$156	52.0¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?	Yes	$72	72.0¢	Perdió
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 31?	No	$21	41.0¢	Ganó
Odds of US x Venezuela Military Engagement in 2025 Under 40% by Friday?	No	$40	52.9¢	Perdió
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	Yes	$280	28.0¢	Perdió
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$4	23.0¢	Ganó
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?	No	$210	69.5¢	Ganó
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?	Yes	$7	33.0¢	Perdió
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?	Yes	$30	71.0¢	Ganó
Mallorca vs. Getafe: Both Teams to Score	No	$3	45.0¢	Ganó

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Perdió
No$6 @ 19.7¢
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 3.3¢
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Ganó
Yes$7 @ 71.0¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Perdió
No$164 @ 54.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Perdió
No$58 @ 37.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Ganó
Yes$85 @ 17.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 8.2¢
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?Perdió
No$6 @ 59.0¢
Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?Ganó
Yes$153 @ 51.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$36 @ 36.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Ganó
No$231 @ 47.6¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Ganó
No$20 @ 74.8¢
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1Ganó
No$37 @ 45.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1Perdió
Yes$18 @ 29.5¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Ganó
No$168 @ 84.0¢
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Ganó
No$116 @ 58.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Ganó
No$20 @ 73.5¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 13.6¢
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
No$6 @ 73.7¢
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 31.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Ganó
No$54 @ 67.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Perdió
Yes$191 @ 30.7¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 5.2¢
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
No$6 @ 28.0¢
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
Yes$9 @ 86.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Ganó
Yes$364 @ 53.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?Ganó
Yes$88 @ 44.0¢
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?Perdió
No$1 @ 55.0¢
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 65.1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$128 @ 17.5¢
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Ganó
Yes$26 @ 15.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?Perdió
No$14 @ 33.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?Perdió
Yes$50 @ 41.0¢
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 14.0¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Perdió
Yes$105 @ 8.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Ganó
No$66 @ 66.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 8?Perdió
Yes$47 @ 47.2¢
Will G2 Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 1.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 8.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$156 @ 52.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?Perdió
Yes$72 @ 72.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 31?Ganó
No$21 @ 41.0¢
Odds of US x Venezuela Military Engagement in 2025 Under 40% by Friday?Perdió
No$40 @ 52.9¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Perdió
Yes$280 @ 28.0¢
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Ganó
No$4 @ 23.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?Ganó
No$210 @ 69.5¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 33.0¢
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?Ganó
Yes$30 @ 71.0¢
Mallorca vs. Getafe: Both Teams to ScoreGanó
No$3 @ 45.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Política	Yes	$322	23.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$127	80.8¢
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Política	No	$80	72.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$63	31.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Política	Yes	$51	51.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Política	Yes	$30	19.1¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Geopolítica	Yes	$29	74.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	Yes	$18	18.7¢
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Política	Yes	$16	16.6¢
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$12	26.4¢
Will Russia enter Borova by September 30?	Política	Yes	$12	16.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Política	No	$10	75.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Política	No	$10	69.0¢
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	Geopolítica	Yes	$6	16.6¢
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Geopolítica	Yes	$6	21.0¢
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$5	76.0¢
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Política	Yes	$5	4.2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$4	29.5¢
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?	Geopolítica	Yes	$4	6.0¢
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$2	50.0¢
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Política	Yes	$2	21.0¢
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?	Tecnología	No	$2	23.0¢

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Política
Yes$322 @ 23.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
Yes$127 @ 80.8¢
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Política
No$80 @ 72.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Política
No$63 @ 31.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Política
Yes$51 @ 51.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Política
Yes$30 @ 19.1¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Geopolítica
Yes$29 @ 74.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
Yes$18 @ 18.7¢
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Política
Yes$16 @ 16.6¢
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$12 @ 26.4¢
Will Russia enter Borova by September 30?Política
Yes$12 @ 16.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Política
No$10 @ 75.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Política
No$10 @ 69.0¢
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Geopolítica
Yes$6 @ 16.6¢
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Geopolítica
Yes$6 @ 21.0¢
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$5 @ 76.0¢
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Política
Yes$5 @ 4.2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$4 @ 29.5¢
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?Geopolítica
Yes$4 @ 6.0¢
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$2 @ 50.0¢
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Política
Yes$2 @ 21.0¢
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Tecnología
No$2 @ 23.0¢