0x56e7…7c0b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x56e777a0ac58b25be414f8f29866e99ad5737c0b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+8.6pp

ROI

+22%

Tasa de acierto

62% @ 53.5¢

Brier

0.173

Resueltas

572

Tamaño med.

$388

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	67% (18/27)	+20%	27
Other	45% (10/22)	+16%	22
Cultura	59% (10/17)	+67%	17
Deportes	71% (5/7)	-6%	7
Geopolítica	33% (2/6)	-91%	6
Negocios	100% (1/1)	+8%	1

Política27 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (18/27)
ROI
+20%
Other22 apuestas
Tasa acierto
45% (10/22)
ROI
+16%
Cultura17 apuestas
Tasa acierto
59% (10/17)
ROI
+67%
Deportes7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
71% (5/7)
ROI
-6%
Geopolítica6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (2/6)
ROI
-91%
Negocios1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+8%

Historial

57% acierto · 46/80

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	$5.2k	76.1¢	Ganó
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	$2.4k	92.4¢	Ganó
Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	Yes	$732	82.8¢	Ganó
Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	$519	96.7¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	$8.2k	97.2¢	Ganó
Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m?	Yes	$140	96.0¢	Ganó
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?	No	$946	4.9¢	Perdió
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?	No	$1.3k	87.9¢	Ganó
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	$838	89.4¢	Ganó
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$496	85.0¢	Ganó
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Yes	$271	51.0¢	Perdió
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	$1.8k	89.9¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$73	85.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$1.3k	4.7¢	Perdió
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30?	Yes	$138	2.9¢	Perdió
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	No	$16.0k	86.3¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$246	67.9¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$38.3k	85.6¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	$380	10.0¢	Perdió
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	$74	3.7¢	Ganó
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$292	13.5¢	Perdió
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?	No	$190	55.5¢	Ganó
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?	No	$604	20.0¢	Perdió
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?	Yes	$2.5k	87.6¢	Ganó
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Sean OMalley	$85	85.0¢	Ganó
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?	Yes	$195	5.9¢	Perdió
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30?	Yes	$461	18.3¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	$2.2k	53.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?	No	$813	82.6¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?	Yes	$406	18.0¢	Perdió
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?	No	$803	73.8¢	Ganó
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	$787	52.5¢	Perdió
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$5.7k	77.1¢	Ganó
Parma: Daniel Rincon vs Stefano Napolitano	Daniel Rincon	$16	82.0¢	Ganó
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	$135	26.7¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	$28.7k	65.0¢	Ganó
Royan: Gerard Campana Lee vs Thomas Faurel	Gerard Campana Lee	$78	78.0¢	Ganó
Brescia: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Mia Ristic	Mia Ristic	$36	71.0¢	Perdió
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	$11.8k	60.4¢	Ganó
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$2.6k	50.2¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	No	$10.4k	77.7¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	Yes	$4.2k	29.6¢	Perdió
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2	BIG	$41	51.5¢	Perdió
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?	No	$311	68.8¢	Perdió
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?	Yes	$358	87.9¢	Perdió
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	$219	17.2¢	Perdió
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	Ilia Topuria	$142	71.0¢	Perdió
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?	No	$7.0k	42.5¢	Ganó
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$1.4k	89.6¢	Ganó
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31?	Yes	$18	0.1¢	Perdió

US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ganó
No$5.2k @ 76.1¢
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ganó
No$2.4k @ 92.4¢
Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?Ganó
Yes$732 @ 82.8¢
Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?Ganó
Yes$519 @ 96.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ganó
Yes$8.2k @ 97.2¢
Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m?Ganó
Yes$140 @ 96.0¢
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Perdió
No$946 @ 4.9¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?Ganó
No$1.3k @ 87.9¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Ganó
No$838 @ 89.4¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Ganó
No$496 @ 85.0¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Perdió
Yes$271 @ 51.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Ganó
No$1.8k @ 89.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Ganó
No$73 @ 85.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Perdió
Yes$1.3k @ 4.7¢
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30?Perdió
Yes$138 @ 2.9¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Ganó
No$16.0k @ 86.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Ganó
No$246 @ 67.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Ganó
No$38.3k @ 85.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Perdió
Yes$380 @ 10.0¢
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Ganó
No$74 @ 3.7¢
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$292 @ 13.5¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Ganó
No$190 @ 55.5¢
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?Perdió
No$604 @ 20.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?Ganó
Yes$2.5k @ 87.6¢
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)Ganó
Sean OMalley$85 @ 85.0¢
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?Perdió
Yes$195 @ 5.9¢
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30?Perdió
Yes$461 @ 18.3¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Ganó
No$2.2k @ 53.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Ganó
No$813 @ 82.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Perdió
Yes$406 @ 18.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?Ganó
No$803 @ 73.8¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$787 @ 52.5¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$5.7k @ 77.1¢
Parma: Daniel Rincon vs Stefano NapolitanoGanó
Daniel Rincon$16 @ 82.0¢
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Perdió
Yes$135 @ 26.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Ganó
No$28.7k @ 65.0¢
Royan: Gerard Campana Lee vs Thomas FaurelGanó
Gerard Campana Lee$78 @ 78.0¢
Brescia: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Mia RisticPerdió
Mia Ristic$36 @ 71.0¢
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$11.8k @ 60.4¢
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$2.6k @ 50.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Ganó
No$10.4k @ 77.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Perdió
Yes$4.2k @ 29.6¢
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2Perdió
BIG$41 @ 51.5¢
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Perdió
No$311 @ 68.8¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Perdió
Yes$358 @ 87.9¢
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Perdió
Yes$219 @ 17.2¢
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Perdió
Ilia Topuria$142 @ 71.0¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Ganó
No$7.0k @ 42.5¢
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Ganó
Yes$1.4k @ 89.6¢
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31?Perdió
Yes$18 @ 0.1¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$12.8k	85.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	Cultura	Yes	$4.8k	96.9¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?	Cultura	Yes	$3.8k	18.2¢
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Ciencia	Yes	$3.2k	85.1¢
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?	Cultura	Yes	$2.7k	95.9¢
US imports Russian diesel by November 2?	Política	No	$2.1k	88.5¢
Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?	Política	No	$386	95.9¢
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?	Política	No	$250	97.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30?	Cultura	Yes	$130	57.9¢
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?	Política	No	$130	96.2¢
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?	Política	No	$65	97.7¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$12.8k @ 85.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Cultura
Yes$4.8k @ 96.9¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?Cultura
Yes$3.8k @ 18.2¢
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ciencia
Yes$3.2k @ 85.1¢
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?Cultura
Yes$2.7k @ 95.9¢
US imports Russian diesel by November 2?Política
No$2.1k @ 88.5¢
Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?Política
No$386 @ 95.9¢
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?Política
No$250 @ 97.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30?Cultura
Yes$130 @ 57.9¢
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?Política
No$130 @ 96.2¢
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?Política
No$65 @ 97.7¢