0x54db…0174

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x54dbe14d342f129be293df83a12515065b6c0174
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+1.9pp

ROI

+10%

Tasa de acierto

28% @ 25.6¢

Brier

0.108

Resueltas

4264

Tamaño med.

$80

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	31% (201/642)	+7%	642
Economía	39% (13/33)	+55%	33
Política	13% (4/31)	-17%	31
Tecnología	30% (6/20)	-7%	20
Deportes	11% (1/9)	+540%	9
Ciencia	100% (1/1)	+85%	1
Cripto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other642 apuestas
Tasa acierto
31% (201/642)
ROI
+7%
Economía33 apuestas
Tasa acierto
39% (13/33)
ROI
+55%
Política31 apuestas
Tasa acierto
13% (4/31)
ROI
-17%
Tecnología20 apuestas
Tasa acierto
30% (6/20)
ROI
-7%
Deportes9 apuestas
Tasa acierto
11% (1/9)
ROI
+540%
Ciencia1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+85%
Cripto1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

31% acierto · 226/737

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?	No	$52	33.3¢	Perdió
Will SPOLU get more than 26% of the vote in the Czech election?	Yes	$3	3.2¢	Perdió
Will 9 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Perdió
Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?	Yes	$3	2.5¢	Perdió
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?	No	$77	76.8¢	Ganó
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?	Yes	$20	15.0¢	Perdió
Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?	No	$173	13.1¢	Perdió
Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?	Yes	$151	89.3¢	Ganó
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $330,000 and $335,000 on September 30?	Yes	$4	6.2¢	Perdió
Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?	Yes	$415	33.0¢	Perdió
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by June 30?	Yes	$3	1.0¢	Perdió
Will Orbán flip Magyar for Next Hungary PM by Jan 31?	Yes	$50	5.0¢	Perdió
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?	Yes	$47	7.8¢	Perdió
Will the Labor Party win by 40 or more seats?	No	$2	0.1¢	Perdió
Will the Labor Party win by 40 or more seats?	Yes	$35	3.0¢	Ganó
Will Mircea Geoană win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	$5	0.1¢	Perdió
Will egg prices be between $4.50-4.75 for January?	No	$61	83.2¢	Ganó
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?	No	$23	46.0¢	Perdió
Will Siumut win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?	Yes	$8	2.7¢	Perdió
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?	No	$134	35.1¢	Ganó
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	Yes	$93	0.2¢	Perdió
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?	No	$315	89.8¢	Ganó
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?	Yes	$10	3.6¢	Perdió
Will Saudi Arabia be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Perdió
Will Crin Antonescu win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?	No	$21	69.3¢	Ganó
Will Crin Antonescu win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?	Yes	$172	4.1¢	Perdió
Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor majority?	No	$564	6.9¢	Perdió
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?	No	$280	70.0¢	Ganó
Will Hungary win the UEFA EURO 2028?	Yes	$4	0.6¢	Perdió
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 90m and 100m views in first 24 hours?	Yes	$32	11.1¢	Perdió
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,185,000 and $1,201,000 on September 30?	Yes	$5	1.1¢	Perdió
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?	Yes	$31	41.0¢	Ganó
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?	Yes	$2.7k	67.3¢	Ganó
Will turnout be more than 69% in the Czech election?	Yes	$6	0.3¢	Perdió
Will António José Seguro win the first round?	No	$32	3.0¢	Perdió
Will $Trump FDV be $15b or more on inauguration day?	No	$31	16.0¢	Perdió
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be between 78 and 81%?	No	$143	36.4¢	Perdió
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?	No	$1.2k	51.9¢	Perdió
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?	Yes	$3.3k	59.4¢	Ganó
Will $MELANIA FDV be $13-15b on Friday?	Yes	$9	3.3¢	Perdió
Will $Trump FDV be $5-10b on Feb 1?	Yes	$7	4.9¢	Perdió
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?	Yes	$267	9.9¢	Perdió
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?	No	$695	77.1¢	Perdió
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?	Yes	$213	19.2¢	Ganó
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?	Yes	$3	12.0¢	Perdió
Will the next Pope be trans?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Perdió
Will 'Minecraft' gross between 48-64m on opening weekend?	Yes	$42	2.0¢	Perdió
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	$413	53.1¢	Ganó
Will Solana dip to $30 in February?	Yes	$31	1.9¢	Perdió
Will the Liberal party lead by 7-8% on April 18?	Yes	$3	17.0¢	Perdió

Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?Perdió
No$52 @ 33.3¢
Will SPOLU get more than 26% of the vote in the Czech election?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 3.2¢
Will 9 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 2.5¢
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?Ganó
No$77 @ 76.8¢
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 15.0¢
Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?Perdió
No$173 @ 13.1¢
Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?Ganó
Yes$151 @ 89.3¢
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $330,000 and $335,000 on September 30?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 6.2¢
Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Perdió
Yes$415 @ 33.0¢
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by June 30?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 1.0¢
Will Orbán flip Magyar for Next Hungary PM by Jan 31?Perdió
Yes$50 @ 5.0¢
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?Perdió
Yes$47 @ 7.8¢
Will the Labor Party win by 40 or more seats?Perdió
No$2 @ 0.1¢
Will the Labor Party win by 40 or more seats?Ganó
Yes$35 @ 3.0¢
Will Mircea Geoană win the Romanian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
Will egg prices be between $4.50-4.75 for January?Ganó
No$61 @ 83.2¢
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Perdió
No$23 @ 46.0¢
Will Siumut win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 2.7¢
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Ganó
No$134 @ 35.1¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?Perdió
Yes$93 @ 0.2¢
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?Ganó
No$315 @ 89.8¢
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 3.6¢
Will Saudi Arabia be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Crin Antonescu win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?Ganó
No$21 @ 69.3¢
Will Crin Antonescu win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?Perdió
Yes$172 @ 4.1¢
Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor majority?Perdió
No$564 @ 6.9¢
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?Ganó
No$280 @ 70.0¢
Will Hungary win the UEFA EURO 2028?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 0.6¢
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 90m and 100m views in first 24 hours?Perdió
Yes$32 @ 11.1¢
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,185,000 and $1,201,000 on September 30?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 1.1¢
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?Ganó
Yes$31 @ 41.0¢
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?Ganó
Yes$2.7k @ 67.3¢
Will turnout be more than 69% in the Czech election?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 0.3¢
Will António José Seguro win the first round?Perdió
No$32 @ 3.0¢
Will $Trump FDV be $15b or more on inauguration day?Perdió
No$31 @ 16.0¢
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be between 78 and 81%?Perdió
No$143 @ 36.4¢
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?Perdió
No$1.2k @ 51.9¢
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?Ganó
Yes$3.3k @ 59.4¢
Will $MELANIA FDV be $13-15b on Friday?Perdió
Yes$9 @ 3.3¢
Will $Trump FDV be $5-10b on Feb 1?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 4.9¢
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?Perdió
Yes$267 @ 9.9¢
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?Perdió
No$695 @ 77.1¢
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?Ganó
Yes$213 @ 19.2¢
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 12.0¢
Will the next Pope be trans?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will 'Minecraft' gross between 48-64m on opening weekend?Perdió
Yes$42 @ 2.0¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Ganó
No$413 @ 53.1¢
Will Solana dip to $30 in February?Perdió
Yes$31 @ 1.9¢
Will the Liberal party lead by 7-8% on April 18?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 17.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	Ciencia	Yes	$387	40.9¢
Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	Ciencia	Yes	$279	51.6¢
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?	Other	No	$230	92.1¢
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?	Other	No	$189	91.0¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,800,000 and 5,000,000?	Política	No	$133	66.3¢
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?	Other	No	$120	62.7¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?	Other	Yes	$79	13.5¢
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?	Política	Yes	$76	41.4¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31?	Other	Yes	$72	30.6¢
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?	Other	Yes	$62	6.2¢
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	Economía	No	$47	68.4¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,600,000 and 4,800,000?	Política	Yes	$36	19.4¢
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Deportes	Yes	$34	17.0¢
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?	Other	No	$34	76.1¢
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?	Economía	Yes	$32	15.6¢
Will Hungary win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2?	Deportes	No	$30	76.0¢
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?	Política	Yes	$29	16.8¢
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?	Cripto	No	$28	26.9¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,400,000 and 4,600,000?	Política	No	$26	80.6¢
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?	Política	Yes	$25	16.1¢
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by December 31?	Other	Yes	$16	27.5¢
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?	Other	No	$14	90.0¢
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?	Other	Yes	$11	16.8¢
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by December 31?	Other	Yes	$8	24.0¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?	Política	No	$6	64.0¢
Will Khatt Ahmar win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Política	No	$5	99.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$5	97.1¢
Will Hungary win the UEFA EURO 2028?	Deportes	Yes	$4	0.6¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 400,000 and 430,000?	Política	Yes	$3	12.4¢
Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?	Economía	Yes	$3	17.0¢

Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ciencia
Yes$387 @ 40.9¢
Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?Ciencia
Yes$279 @ 51.6¢
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?Other
No$230 @ 92.1¢
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?Other
No$189 @ 91.0¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,800,000 and 5,000,000?Política
No$133 @ 66.3¢
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Other
No$120 @ 62.7¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?Other
Yes$79 @ 13.5¢
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?Política
Yes$76 @ 41.4¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31?Other
Yes$72 @ 30.6¢
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?Other
Yes$62 @ 6.2¢
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?Economía
No$47 @ 68.4¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,600,000 and 4,800,000?Política
Yes$36 @ 19.4¢
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Deportes
Yes$34 @ 17.0¢
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?Other
No$34 @ 76.1¢
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Economía
Yes$32 @ 15.6¢
Will Hungary win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2?Deportes
No$30 @ 76.0¢
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?Política
Yes$29 @ 16.8¢
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?Cripto
No$28 @ 26.9¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,400,000 and 4,600,000?Política
No$26 @ 80.6¢
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?Política
Yes$25 @ 16.1¢
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by December 31?Other
Yes$16 @ 27.5¢
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?Other
No$14 @ 90.0¢
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?Other
Yes$11 @ 16.8¢
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by December 31?Other
Yes$8 @ 24.0¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?Política
No$6 @ 64.0¢
Will Khatt Ahmar win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Política
No$5 @ 99.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$5 @ 97.1¢
Will Hungary win the UEFA EURO 2028?Deportes
Yes$4 @ 0.6¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 400,000 and 430,000?Política
Yes$3 @ 12.4¢
Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?Economía
Yes$3 @ 17.0¢