0x54b5…4b31

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x54b56146656e7eef9da02b3a030c18e06e924b31
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+17.2pp

ROI

+6%

Tasa de acierto

66% @ 48.7¢

Brier

0.169

Resueltas

2747

Tamaño med.

$267

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	22% (26/120)	-28%	120
Deportes	54% (51/94)	+6%	94
Other	34% (14/41)	+20%	41
Geopolítica	50% (4/8)	+7%	8
Tecnología	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Economía	33% (1/3)	-80%	3
Ciencia	100% (1/1)	+1%	1
Cripto	100% (1/1)	+4%	1

Política120 apuestas
Tasa acierto
22% (26/120)
ROI
-28%
Deportes94 apuestas
Tasa acierto
54% (51/94)
ROI
+6%
Other41 apuestas
Tasa acierto
34% (14/41)
ROI
+20%
Geopolítica8 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (4/8)
ROI
+7%
Tecnología3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Economía3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (1/3)
ROI
-80%
Ciencia1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+1%
Cripto1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+4%

Historial

36% acierto · 98/271

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	$1.6k	67.8¢	Ganó
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$97	56.3¢	Perdió
UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims)	JooSang Yoo	$230	46.0¢	Perdió
Colts vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	$144	48.0¢	Ganó
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$51.7k	29.5¢	Perdió
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	No	$680	34.0¢	Perdió
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	$561	55.6¢	Perdió
Patriots vs. Seahawks	Patriots	$1.8k	51.1¢	Perdió
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?	No	$9.1k	17.9¢	Perdió
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$10.5k	66.5¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	Yes	$630	63.0¢	Ganó
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$307	0.5¢	Perdió
Counter-Strike: M80 vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A	M80	$157	17.0¢	Perdió
Giants vs. Rams	Rams	$1.4k	72.0¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	Yes	$95	0.6¢	Perdió
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	Mauricio Ruffy	$779	29.2¢	Perdió
UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Tai Tuivasa	$1.8k	19.2¢	Perdió
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$879	20.9¢	Perdió
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	Team Falcons	$630	63.0¢	Ganó
49ers vs. Rams	49ers	$2.5k	31.9¢	Ganó
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?	No	$1.1k	35.0¢	Perdió
Lions vs. Bills	Lions	$2.0k	30.5¢	Perdió
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	$202	24.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	Yes	$159	10.6¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$15.1k	53.2¢	Ganó
UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)	Morgan Charrière	$2.3k	31.7¢	Perdió
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	Yes	$1.7k	20.7¢	Ganó
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	No	$3.8k	81.2¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	Yes	$26	63.0¢	Ganó
Vikings vs. Bears	Vikings	$374	37.4¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	Yes	$3.1k	62.7¢	Ganó
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	$10	0.2¢	Perdió
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	No	$88	77.0¢	Ganó
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-17?	No	$395	56.0¢	Perdió
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	$10.2k	72.2¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	Yes	$450	9.0¢	Perdió
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	$4.1k	44.0¢	Perdió
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	Yes	$1.0k	34.0¢	Perdió
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31?	No	$160	17.5¢	Perdió
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$400	8.0¢	Ganó
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	$2.7k	24.1¢	Perdió
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	$1.1k	69.3¢	Ganó
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	$784	76.6¢	Ganó
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$46.0k	19.6¢	Perdió
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$12.6k	50.5¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$641	16.0¢	Perdió
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$2.6k	25.1¢	Perdió
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$71.4k	78.1¢	Ganó
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$410	5.1¢	Perdió
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	$1.3k	43.7¢	Perdió

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Ganó
No$1.6k @ 67.8¢
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Perdió
Yes$97 @ 56.3¢
UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims)Perdió
JooSang Yoo$230 @ 46.0¢
Colts vs. ChiefsGanó
Chiefs$144 @ 48.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$51.7k @ 29.5¢
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Perdió
No$680 @ 34.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Perdió
Yes$561 @ 55.6¢
Patriots vs. SeahawksPerdió
Patriots$1.8k @ 51.1¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?Perdió
No$9.1k @ 17.9¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Ganó
Yes$10.5k @ 66.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Ganó
Yes$630 @ 63.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$307 @ 0.5¢
Counter-Strike: M80 vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group APerdió
M80$157 @ 17.0¢
Giants vs. RamsGanó
Rams$1.4k @ 72.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Perdió
Yes$95 @ 0.6¢
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)Perdió
Mauricio Ruffy$779 @ 29.2¢
UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)Perdió
Tai Tuivasa$1.8k @ 19.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$879 @ 20.9¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BGanó
Team Falcons$630 @ 63.0¢
49ers vs. RamsGanó
49ers$2.5k @ 31.9¢
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?Perdió
No$1.1k @ 35.0¢
Lions vs. BillsPerdió
Lions$2.0k @ 30.5¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Perdió
Yes$202 @ 24.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Perdió
Yes$159 @ 10.6¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Ganó
Yes$15.1k @ 53.2¢
UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)Perdió
Morgan Charrière$2.3k @ 31.7¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Ganó
Yes$1.7k @ 20.7¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Ganó
No$3.8k @ 81.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Ganó
Yes$26 @ 63.0¢
Vikings vs. BearsGanó
Vikings$374 @ 37.4¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Ganó
Yes$3.1k @ 62.7¢
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-30?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Ganó
No$88 @ 77.0¢
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-17?Perdió
No$395 @ 56.0¢
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Ganó
No$10.2k @ 72.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Perdió
Yes$450 @ 9.0¢
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Perdió
No$4.1k @ 44.0¢
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Perdió
Yes$1.0k @ 34.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31?Perdió
No$160 @ 17.5¢
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
No$400 @ 8.0¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Perdió
No$2.7k @ 24.1¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Ganó
Yes$1.1k @ 69.3¢
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Ganó
Yes$784 @ 76.6¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
No$46.0k @ 19.6¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$12.6k @ 50.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$641 @ 16.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Perdió
No$2.6k @ 25.1¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$71.4k @ 78.1¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Perdió
Yes$410 @ 5.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.3k @ 43.7¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	No	$24.9k	71.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Política	Yes	$9.2k	22.9¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$8.3k	83.2¢
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Tecnología	No	$4.9k	89.8¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	Tecnología	Yes	$4.0k	26.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Geopolítica	Yes	$3.3k	65.7¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$3.3k	81.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$2.0k	34.0¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Política	Yes	$1.2k	60.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Política	Yes	$700	14.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Geopolítica	Yes	$700	35.0¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$514	51.3¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Política	Yes	$485	24.2¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Cultura	Yes	$450	45.0¢
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Tecnología	Yes	$360	12.0¢
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Política	Yes	$338	16.9¢
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Deportes	Yes	$322	11.0¢
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Cripto	Yes	$210	42.0¢
Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$157	65.1¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Deportes	Yes	$143	2.8¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$120	12.0¢
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?	Política	Yes	$115	23.0¢
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Tecnología	No	$85	84.5¢
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$43	1.4¢
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$38	1.4¢
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$14	1.4¢

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
No$24.9k @ 71.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Política
Yes$9.2k @ 22.9¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$8.3k @ 83.2¢
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tecnología
No$4.9k @ 89.8¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tecnología
Yes$4.0k @ 26.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Geopolítica
Yes$3.3k @ 65.7¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Política
No$3.3k @ 81.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Política
Yes$2.0k @ 34.0¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Política
Yes$1.2k @ 60.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Política
Yes$700 @ 14.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Geopolítica
Yes$700 @ 35.0¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Política
Yes$514 @ 51.3¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Política
Yes$485 @ 24.2¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Cultura
Yes$450 @ 45.0¢
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tecnología
Yes$360 @ 12.0¢
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Política
Yes$338 @ 16.9¢
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?Deportes
Yes$322 @ 11.0¢
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Cripto
Yes$210 @ 42.0¢
Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$157 @ 65.1¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Deportes
Yes$143 @ 2.8¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$120 @ 12.0¢
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Política
Yes$115 @ 23.0¢
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tecnología
No$85 @ 84.5¢
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Política
Yes$43 @ 1.4¢
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Política
Yes$38 @ 1.4¢
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Política
Yes$14 @ 1.4¢