0x5494…7ead

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x54945d0167c18805a7947231d34e732bdcce7ead
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+11.2pp

ROI

+27%

Tasa de acierto

81% @ 69.4¢

Brier

0.132

Resueltas

139

Tamaño med.

$10

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	84% (26/31)	+19%	31
Other	59% (16/27)	+37%	27
Cripto	100% (7/7)	+32%	7
Deportes	75% (3/4)	+8%	4
Geopolítica	100% (4/4)	+36%	4
Cultura	100% (1/1)	+69%	1

Política31 apuestas
Tasa acierto
84% (26/31)
ROI
+19%
Other27 apuestas
Tasa acierto
59% (16/27)
ROI
+37%
Cripto7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (7/7)
ROI
+32%
Deportes4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
75% (3/4)
ROI
+8%
Geopolítica4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (4/4)
ROI
+36%
Cultura1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+69%

Historial

77% acierto · 57/74

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$34	49.8¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	$36	88.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$33	76.2¢	Ganó
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	$17	78.0¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	$15	66.7¢	Perdió
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	$10	59.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$10	87.5¢	Ganó
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	$12	81.9¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	No	$36	85.4¢	Ganó
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Suns	$3	24.0¢	Perdió
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	$17	81.0¢	Ganó
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$35	15.2¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$44	79.7¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	$31	80.3¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$97	73.1¢	Ganó
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	$10	87.0¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	$15	70.7¢	Perdió
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	$8	84.4¢	Ganó
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	$10	89.3¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	$22	71.0¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	$10	77.7¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	$11	88.2¢	Ganó
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 21?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	$24	76.9¢	Ganó
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	$18	78.1¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$74	69.1¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	$10	74.0¢	Perdió
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	$16	84.8¢	Ganó
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	$8	60.0¢	Perdió
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	No	$10	83.9¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	$15	76.5¢	Ganó
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	$10	67.7¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$17	81.0¢	Ganó
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	$11	70.0¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	$11	72.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	$10	89.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$10	24.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$5	44.0¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?	No	$19	88.9¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$10	68.0¢	Ganó
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$29	72.6¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$16	76.6¢	Ganó
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Perdió
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	$20	87.3¢	Ganó
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	$10	86.8¢	Ganó
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	$10	75.0¢	Perdió
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	$20	63.4¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?	No	$19	87.5¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	$10	89.0¢	Ganó
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	$18	72.0¢	Ganó

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Ganó
Yes$34 @ 49.8¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Ganó
No$36 @ 88.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$33 @ 76.2¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Ganó
No$17 @ 78.0¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?Perdió
No$15 @ 66.7¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Ganó
No$10 @ 59.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$10 @ 87.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?Ganó
Yes$12 @ 81.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Ganó
No$36 @ 85.4¢
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Perdió
Suns$3 @ 24.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Ganó
No$17 @ 81.0¢
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Perdió
Yes$35 @ 15.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Ganó
No$44 @ 79.7¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$31 @ 80.3¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$97 @ 73.1¢
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Ganó
No$10 @ 87.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Perdió
No$15 @ 70.7¢
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?Ganó
No$8 @ 84.4¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Ganó
No$10 @ 89.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Ganó
No$22 @ 71.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Ganó
No$10 @ 77.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Ganó
No$11 @ 88.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 21?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Ganó
No$24 @ 76.9¢
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Ganó
No$18 @ 78.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Ganó
No$74 @ 69.1¢
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Perdió
No$10 @ 74.0¢
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?Ganó
No$16 @ 84.8¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Perdió
No$8 @ 60.0¢
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Perdió
No$10 @ 83.9¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Ganó
No$15 @ 76.5¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Ganó
No$10 @ 67.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Ganó
No$17 @ 81.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?Perdió
Yes$11 @ 70.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$11 @ 72.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$10 @ 89.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 24.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 44.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Ganó
No$19 @ 88.9¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$10 @ 68.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$29 @ 72.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Ganó
No$16 @ 76.6¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$20 @ 87.3¢
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Ganó
No$10 @ 86.8¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Perdió
No$10 @ 75.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Ganó
No$20 @ 63.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?Ganó
No$19 @ 87.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Ganó
No$10 @ 89.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Ganó
No$18 @ 72.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$27	79.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Política	No	$20	82.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Política	Yes	$18	70.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$10	74.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	—	No	$10	62.0¢

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Política
No$27 @ 79.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Política
No$20 @ 82.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Política
Yes$18 @ 70.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Política
No$10 @ 74.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?—
No$10 @ 62.0¢