0x542a…a81b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x542aae10712e812bd71d792861ec5a570aa8a81b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+0.5pp

ROI

+49%

Tasa de acierto

4% @ 3.0¢

Brier

0.026

Resueltas

8404

Tamaño med.

$18

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	13% (56/416)	+58%	416
Deportes	0% (0/16)	-100%	16
Política	7% (1/14)	-15%	14
Cultura	0% (0/3)	-100%	3

Other416 apuestas
Tasa acierto
13% (56/416)
ROI
+58%
Deportes16 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/16)
ROI
-100%
Política14 apuestas
Tasa acierto
7% (1/14)
ROI
-15%
Cultura3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%

Historial

13% acierto · 57/449

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?	No	$100	18.4¢	Perdió
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?	Yes	$24	24.0¢	Ganó
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House	Yes	$364	6.6¢	Perdió
Will Brad Lander’s vote share be between 12% and 15% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?	Yes	$290	11.7¢	Perdió
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	$136	3.5¢	Perdió
Will Trump tweet 20-24 times October 18-25?	Yes	$24	5.1¢	Perdió
Will Republicans control 218 or fewer seats in the House after the election?	Yes	$132	0.6¢	Perdió
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?	Yes	$19	5.2¢	Perdió
Will Trump tweet 50-59 times this week?	Yes	$32	4.3¢	Perdió
Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?	Yes	$125	20.8¢	Ganó
Iran military response by Tuesday?	Yes	$276	3.0¢	Perdió
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?	Yes	$34	1.3¢	Perdió
Will Catherine Connolly win by 0–5%?	Yes	$3	1.4¢	Perdió
Will Trump nominate Jamie Dimon for Treasury Secretary?	Yes	$14	0.4¢	Perdió
Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?	No	$44	3.9¢	Perdió
Will Aaron Frey be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Perdió
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	$36	1.0¢	Perdió
Israel military action against Yemen by Friday?	Yes	$6	12.0¢	Perdió
Trump posts 40-49 times on X?	Yes	$38	0.7¢	Perdió
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?	Yes	$246	6.6¢	Perdió
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?	Yes	$730	1.1¢	Perdió
Will Trump tweet 20-24 times this week?	Yes	$154	5.4¢	Perdió
Seven Trump Cabinet confirmations in January?	Yes	$148	14.8¢	Perdió
Will Trump tweet 20-24 times October 11-18?	Yes	$52	4.4¢	Perdió
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?	Yes	$1.0k	2.9¢	Perdió
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 2?	Yes	$22	13.0¢	Perdió
Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?	Yes	$21	14.3¢	Perdió
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?	No	$100	4.6¢	Perdió
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214	Yes	$72	5.4¢	Perdió
Will Michael Blake be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?	Yes	$130	4.5¢	Perdió
Iran military response by Monday?	Yes	$40	2.4¢	Perdió
Will Trump tweet 0 times this week?	No	$107	71.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump tweet 15-19 times October 11-18?	Yes	$51	0.8¢	Perdió
Will Trump tweet 5-9 times September 13-20?	Yes	$130	7.6¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce Jeanine Pirro as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	$5	0.4¢	Perdió
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 2?	Yes	$323	8.6¢	Perdió
Will Jimmy Patronis win by more than 35%?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Perdió
Will Christopher Miller be Trump's Defense Secretary?	Yes	$166	1.0¢	Perdió
Mike Huckabee confirmed as ambassador to Israel?	No	$982	1.3¢	Perdió
Iran military response by Friday?	Yes	$163	2.1¢	Perdió
Iran military response by Monday?	No	$23	36.8¢	Ganó
Iran military response by Monday?	Yes	$1.4k	9.0¢	Perdió
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	$1.4k	27.0¢	Perdió
House control after 2024 election?	Democratic	$227	0.3¢	Perdió
Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?	Yes	$3.5k	2.4¢	Perdió
Will Kamala Harris say "Donald" or "Trump" 5 or more times during DNC speech?	No	$55	17.0¢	Perdió
Kamala Harris DNC speech 60-75 minutes?	Yes	$12	12.1¢	Perdió
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$86	4.1¢	Perdió
Will Republicans control 219 seats in the House after the election?	Yes	$581	0.8¢	Perdió
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?	Yes	$23	0.4¢	Perdió

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?Perdió
No$100 @ 18.4¢
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?Ganó
Yes$24 @ 24.0¢
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R HousePerdió
Yes$364 @ 6.6¢
Will Brad Lander’s vote share be between 12% and 15% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?Perdió
Yes$290 @ 11.7¢
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Perdió
No$136 @ 3.5¢
Will Trump tweet 20-24 times October 18-25?Perdió
Yes$24 @ 5.1¢
Will Republicans control 218 or fewer seats in the House after the election?Perdió
Yes$132 @ 0.6¢
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Perdió
Yes$19 @ 5.2¢
Will Trump tweet 50-59 times this week?Perdió
Yes$32 @ 4.3¢
Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?Ganó
Yes$125 @ 20.8¢
Iran military response by Tuesday?Perdió
Yes$276 @ 3.0¢
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?Perdió
Yes$34 @ 1.3¢
Will Catherine Connolly win by 0–5%?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 1.4¢
Will Trump nominate Jamie Dimon for Treasury Secretary?Perdió
Yes$14 @ 0.4¢
Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?Perdió
No$44 @ 3.9¢
Will Aaron Frey be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Perdió
Yes$36 @ 1.0¢
Israel military action against Yemen by Friday?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 12.0¢
Trump posts 40-49 times on X?Perdió
Yes$38 @ 0.7¢
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?Perdió
Yes$246 @ 6.6¢
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?Perdió
Yes$730 @ 1.1¢
Will Trump tweet 20-24 times this week?Perdió
Yes$154 @ 5.4¢
Seven Trump Cabinet confirmations in January? Perdió
Yes$148 @ 14.8¢
Will Trump tweet 20-24 times October 11-18?Perdió
Yes$52 @ 4.4¢
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?Perdió
Yes$1.0k @ 2.9¢
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 2?Perdió
Yes$22 @ 13.0¢
Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Perdió
Yes$21 @ 14.3¢
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?Perdió
No$100 @ 4.6¢
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214Perdió
Yes$72 @ 5.4¢
Will Michael Blake be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?Perdió
Yes$130 @ 4.5¢
Iran military response by Monday?Perdió
Yes$40 @ 2.4¢
Will Trump tweet 0 times this week?Ganó
No$107 @ 71.0¢
Will Trump tweet 15-19 times October 11-18?Perdió
Yes$51 @ 0.8¢
Will Trump tweet 5-9 times September 13-20?Perdió
Yes$130 @ 7.6¢
Will Donald Trump announce Jeanine Pirro as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 0.4¢
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 2?Perdió
Yes$323 @ 8.6¢
Will Jimmy Patronis win by more than 35%?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Christopher Miller be Trump's Defense Secretary?Perdió
Yes$166 @ 1.0¢
Mike Huckabee confirmed as ambassador to Israel?Perdió
No$982 @ 1.3¢
Iran military response by Friday?Perdió
Yes$163 @ 2.1¢
Iran military response by Monday?Ganó
No$23 @ 36.8¢
Iran military response by Monday?Perdió
Yes$1.4k @ 9.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Perdió
Yes$1.4k @ 27.0¢
House control after 2024 election?Perdió
Democratic$227 @ 0.3¢
Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Perdió
Yes$3.5k @ 2.4¢
Will Kamala Harris say "Donald" or "Trump" 5 or more times during DNC speech?Perdió
No$55 @ 17.0¢
Kamala Harris DNC speech 60-75 minutes?Perdió
Yes$12 @ 12.1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$86 @ 4.1¢
Will Republicans control 219 seats in the House after the election?Perdió
Yes$581 @ 0.8¢
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Perdió
Yes$23 @ 0.4¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$1.2k	2.4¢
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$764	1.9¢
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$306	0.7¢
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$295	0.6¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$258	2.6¢
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$225	0.1¢
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$183	0.2¢
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$160	0.9¢
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Política	Yes	$152	0.3¢
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$69	0.3¢
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?	Cultura	Yes	$39	11.0¢
Will James Talarico be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Política	Yes	$24	9.0¢
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$20	0.4¢
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$19	0.2¢
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$19	0.2¢
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$17	1.1¢
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$12	0.1¢
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-05 House seat?	Política	Yes	$12	3.2¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	Yes	$10	20.0¢
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economía	Yes	$6	0.5¢
Will the Republican Party win the KY-05 House seat?	Política	No	$5	3.3¢
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$5	0.2¢
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$3	0.3¢
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$3	1.6¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economía	Yes	$1	17.7¢

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$1.2k @ 2.4¢
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$764 @ 1.9¢
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$306 @ 0.7¢
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$295 @ 0.6¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$258 @ 2.6¢
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$225 @ 0.1¢
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$183 @ 0.2¢
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$160 @ 0.9¢
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?Política
Yes$152 @ 0.3¢
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$69 @ 0.3¢
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?Cultura
Yes$39 @ 11.0¢
Will James Talarico be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Política
Yes$24 @ 9.0¢
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$20 @ 0.4¢
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$19 @ 0.2¢
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$19 @ 0.2¢
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$17 @ 1.1¢
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$12 @ 0.1¢
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-05 House seat?Política
Yes$12 @ 3.2¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
Yes$10 @ 20.0¢
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economía
Yes$6 @ 0.5¢
Will the Republican Party win the KY-05 House seat?Política
No$5 @ 3.3¢
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$3 @ 0.3¢
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$3 @ 1.6¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economía
Yes$1 @ 17.7¢