0x5168…a894

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x51682b09b50d22c8c3edb9642a2c206b4cdda894
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

-11.0pp

ROI

+34%

Tasa de acierto

41% @ 52.0¢

Brier

0.134

Resueltas

129

Tamaño med.

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	40% (4/10)	+238%	10
Política	83% (5/6)	+22%	6
Deportes	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other10 apuestas
Tasa acierto
40% (4/10)
ROI
+238%
Política6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
83% (5/6)
ROI
+22%
Deportes1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

53% acierto · 9/17

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	No	$4	41.9¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	No	$1	71.0¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$3	29.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$1	29.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	$1	39.0¢	Ganó
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$11	81.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$2	45.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$1	50.0¢	Ganó
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	No	$14	8.0¢	Perdió
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$11	88.0¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?	No	$4	33.0¢	Perdió
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$48	35.1¢	Perdió
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$24	82.9¢	Ganó
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?	Yes	$4	3.6¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	86.0¢	Ganó
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?	No	$2	42.3¢	Ganó
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?	Yes	$1	67.8¢	Perdió

Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Perdió
No$4 @ 41.9¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Ganó
No$1 @ 71.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 29.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Perdió
No$1 @ 29.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 39.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Ganó
Yes$11 @ 81.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Perdió
No$2 @ 45.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 50.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Perdió
No$14 @ 8.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$11 @ 88.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Perdió
No$4 @ 33.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$48 @ 35.1¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Ganó
No$24 @ 82.9¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 3.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 86.0¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Ganó
No$2 @ 42.3¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 67.8¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	No	$27	72.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Política	No	$16	84.3¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$14	82.3¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$11	47.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$10	76.5¢
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	No	$10	99.3¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Deportes	No	$4	94.4¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	Cultura	No	$4	88.1¢
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Política	No	$1	93.3¢

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
No$27 @ 72.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Política
No$16 @ 84.3¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$14 @ 82.3¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
Yes$11 @ 47.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
Yes$10 @ 76.5¢
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
No$10 @ 99.3¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Deportes
No$4 @ 94.4¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Cultura
No$4 @ 88.1¢
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Política
No$1 @ 93.3¢