0x4fe2…87c5

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4fe26282f10c7903a1af09fa376af8d885ba87c5
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+8.0pp

ROI

+13%

Tasa de acierto

66% @ 58.0¢

Brier

0.159

Resueltas

2623

Tamaño med.

$73

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	62% (214/346)	+13%	346
Cripto	82% (9/11)	+36%	11
Política	67% (2/3)	+3%	3
Geopolítica	67% (2/3)	-43%	3
Economía	100% (3/3)	+5%	3
Tecnología	100% (1/1)	+4%	1
Negocios	100% (1/1)	+5%	1

Other346 apuestas
Tasa acierto
62% (214/346)
ROI
+13%
Cripto11 apuestas
Tasa acierto
82% (9/11)
ROI
+36%
Política3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (2/3)
ROI
+3%
Geopolítica3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (2/3)
ROI
-43%
Economía3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (3/3)
ROI
+5%
Tecnología1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+4%
Negocios1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+5%

Historial

63% acierto · 232/368

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	$185	98.6¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	No	$332	95.9¢	Ganó
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in September 2026?	No	$218	98.0¢	Ganó
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?	No	$642	98.0¢	Ganó
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?	No	$268	96.9¢	Ganó
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	$349	93.0¢	Ganó
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	$891	96.7¢	Ganó
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	$317	92.2¢	Ganó
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in September?	No	$253	95.0¢	Ganó
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$225	96.4¢	Ganó
Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.0% and 46.4% on March 28?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Perdió
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?	No	$2	1.6¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025?	No	$769	82.8¢	Ganó
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?	No	$230	86.0¢	Perdió
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?	Yes	$93	69.5¢	Ganó
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be less than 47.5% on February 28?	No	$55	83.0¢	Ganó
Ethereum all time high before October?	No	$2.3k	59.3¢	Perdió
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	Yes	$243	85.0¢	Ganó
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	No	$477	84.0¢	Ganó
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?	No	$789	76.2¢	Ganó
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?	No	$339	81.8¢	Ganó
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?	No	$112	60.2¢	Perdió
Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration?	No	$1	1.0¢	Perdió
Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration?	Yes	$59	87.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 44-45°F on February 24?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Perdió
Will China's monthly inflation increase by ≤0.0% in December?	No	$160	86.0¢	Ganó
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?	No	$180	63.0¢	Ganó
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $121 Week of April 6 2026?	Yes	$15	4.0¢	Perdió
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$153	82.0¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$280	41.2¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $430 - 435b on February 28?	Yes	$1	1.5¢	Perdió
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$291	82.1¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump Jr. be a member of the Trump administration?	Yes	$2	3.0¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$1.0k	88.2¢	Ganó
Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?	Yes	$77	60.0¢	Ganó
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?	Yes	$41	22.0¢	Perdió
Will 52 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?	No	$63	60.3¢	Perdió
Will 52 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?	Yes	$133	40.1¢	Ganó
Trump positive approval on April 1?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Perdió
Will Solana reach $270 in September?	No	$1.5k	73.7¢	Ganó
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?	No	$2.8k	70.2¢	Ganó
Will XRP reach $3.7 in July?	No	$221	83.0¢	Ganó
Will Ethereum reach $3900 in July?	No	$86	46.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 39-40°F on March 8?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Perdió
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?	Yes	$20	2.7¢	Perdió
Ethereum all time high before 2026?	No	$4.1k	52.1¢	Perdió
Ethereum all time high before 2026?	Yes	$15	49.0¢	Ganó
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	No	$352	89.0¢	Ganó
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?	Yes	$62	6.9¢	Perdió
Seven Trump Cabinet confirmations in January?	No	$236	88.0¢	Ganó

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Ganó
No$185 @ 98.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?Ganó
No$332 @ 95.9¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in September 2026?Ganó
No$218 @ 98.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?Ganó
No$642 @ 98.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?Ganó
No$268 @ 96.9¢
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Ganó
No$349 @ 93.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Ganó
Yes$891 @ 96.7¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Ganó
No$317 @ 92.2¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in September?Ganó
No$253 @ 95.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Ganó
Yes$225 @ 96.4¢
Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.0% and 46.4% on March 28?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Perdió
No$2 @ 1.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025?Ganó
No$769 @ 82.8¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?Perdió
No$230 @ 86.0¢
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?Ganó
Yes$93 @ 69.5¢
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be less than 47.5% on February 28?Ganó
No$55 @ 83.0¢
Ethereum all time high before October?Perdió
No$2.3k @ 59.3¢
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Ganó
Yes$243 @ 85.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Ganó
No$477 @ 84.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?Ganó
No$789 @ 76.2¢
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?Ganó
No$339 @ 81.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?Perdió
No$112 @ 60.2¢
Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration? Perdió
No$1 @ 1.0¢
Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration? Ganó
Yes$59 @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 44-45°F on February 24?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will China's monthly inflation increase by ≤0.0% in December?Ganó
No$160 @ 86.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?Ganó
No$180 @ 63.0¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $121 Week of April 6 2026?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 4.0¢
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Perdió
Yes$153 @ 82.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Ganó
No$280 @ 41.2¢
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $430 - 435b on February 28?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 1.5¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ganó
Yes$291 @ 82.1¢
Will Donald Trump Jr. be a member of the Trump administration? Perdió
Yes$2 @ 3.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?Ganó
No$1.0k @ 88.2¢
Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?Ganó
Yes$77 @ 60.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?Perdió
Yes$41 @ 22.0¢
Will 52 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?Perdió
No$63 @ 60.3¢
Will 52 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?Ganó
Yes$133 @ 40.1¢
Trump positive approval on April 1?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will Solana reach $270 in September?Ganó
No$1.5k @ 73.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Ganó
No$2.8k @ 70.2¢
Will XRP reach $3.7 in July?Ganó
No$221 @ 83.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3900 in July?Perdió
No$86 @ 46.0¢
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 39-40°F on March 8?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 2.7¢
Ethereum all time high before 2026?Perdió
No$4.1k @ 52.1¢
Ethereum all time high before 2026?Ganó
Yes$15 @ 49.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Ganó
No$352 @ 89.0¢
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Perdió
Yes$62 @ 6.9¢
Seven Trump Cabinet confirmations in January? Ganó
No$236 @ 88.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
US recession by end of 2026?	Economía	No	$10.0k	75.9¢
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	Cripto	No	$1.8k	74.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$1.8k	84.9¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Política	No	$1.6k	91.7¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$1.6k	73.7¢
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$1.1k	97.0¢
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$1.1k	94.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	Política	No	$990	97.0¢
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Economía	No	$931	75.5¢
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Economía	Yes	$899	91.6¢
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$895	93.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$852	91.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$831	74.2¢
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$738	95.1¢
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$726	94.5¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$723	73.6¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Geopolítica	No	$706	89.5¢
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$667	91.9¢
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 75,000 and 80,000?	Other	No	$667	92.5¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$618	55.8¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$613	43.4¢
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$568	96.9¢
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$561	83.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$549	97.0¢
Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?	Política	No	$539	95.2¢
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	Política	No	$532	94.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Política	No	$515	91.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$424	71.6¢
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$403	54.9¢
Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?	Política	No	$372	95.9¢

US recession by end of 2026?Economía
No$10.0k @ 75.9¢
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Cripto
No$1.8k @ 74.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$1.8k @ 84.9¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolítica
No$1.6k @ 91.7¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$1.6k @ 73.7¢
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$1.1k @ 97.0¢
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$1.1k @ 94.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?Política
No$990 @ 97.0¢
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Economía
No$931 @ 75.5¢
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Economía
Yes$899 @ 91.6¢
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$895 @ 93.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$852 @ 91.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$831 @ 74.2¢
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$738 @ 95.1¢
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$726 @ 94.5¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$723 @ 73.6¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Geopolítica
No$706 @ 89.5¢
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$667 @ 91.9¢
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 75,000 and 80,000?Other
No$667 @ 92.5¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$618 @ 55.8¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$613 @ 43.4¢
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$568 @ 96.9¢
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$561 @ 83.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$549 @ 97.0¢
Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Política
No$539 @ 95.2¢
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?Política
No$532 @ 94.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Política
No$515 @ 91.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$424 @ 71.6¢
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$403 @ 54.9¢
Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?Política
No$372 @ 95.9¢