0x4fcd…de5e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4fcd0f993bc357213e242c09f82559930f8bde5e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+7.3pp

ROI

+8%

Tasa de acierto

67% @ 60.2¢

Brier

0.143

Resueltas

455

Tamaño med.

$67

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	60% (73/122)	+7%	122
Política	84% (26/31)	+8%	31
Geopolítica	86% (12/14)	+16%	14
Cultura	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Cripto	100% (1/1)	+15%	1

Other122 apuestas
Tasa acierto
60% (73/122)
ROI
+7%
Política31 apuestas
Tasa acierto
84% (26/31)
ROI
+8%
Geopolítica14 apuestas
Tasa acierto
86% (12/14)
ROI
+16%
Cultura1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Cripto1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+15%

Historial

66% acierto · 112/169

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	No	$211	84.6¢	Ganó
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	$147	89.4¢	Ganó
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?	Yes	$75	75.0¢	Perdió
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?	No	$95	63.5¢	Perdió
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	$207	69.0¢	Ganó
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	No	$445	89.0¢	Ganó
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$5	5.2¢	Perdió
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?	No	$38	89.9¢	Ganó
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	No	$345	86.3¢	Ganó
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	No	$0	50.0¢	Ganó
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	$174	87.0¢	Ganó
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?	No	$13	67.0¢	Ganó
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	$37	74.0¢	Ganó
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 23?	No	$11	1.2¢	Perdió
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	$20	10.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$83	83.0¢	Ganó
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 27?	No	$1	0.6¢	Perdió
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	$460	75.5¢	Ganó
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?	Yes	$91	86.5¢	Ganó
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?	No	$122	61.1¢	Ganó
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?	Yes	$44	22.0¢	Perdió
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?	No	$146	73.0¢	Ganó
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 2?	Yes	$50	82.0¢	Ganó
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	No	$382	85.0¢	Ganó
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	No	$33	11.0¢	Perdió
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?	No	$99	90.0¢	Ganó
Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	$402	85.5¢	Ganó
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$398	79.5¢	Perdió
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 10?	No	$27	10.8¢	Perdió
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	No	$134	89.0¢	Ganó
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 29?	No	$1	0.9¢	Perdió
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	No	$428	81.2¢	Ganó
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?	Yes	$239	85.3¢	Ganó
Will Zaccaria Pinball win VR Game of the Year at the 2025 Steam Awards?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Perdió
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	Yes	$75	81.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?	Yes	$81	81.0¢	Ganó
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	No	$45	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	$108	72.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in January?	No	$37	78.2¢	Ganó
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$28	78.8¢	Ganó
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 9?	No	$22	58.9¢	Ganó
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?	No	$82	22.3¢	Perdió
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	$336	84.0¢	Perdió
Government shutdown on Saturday?	Yes	$90	17.9¢	Perdió
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?	No	$32	65.0¢	Perdió
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?	Yes	$58	83.0¢	Ganó
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	$113	75.0¢	Ganó
Will MrBeast hit 470 Million subscribers by March 31?	Yes	$158	88.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Monday?	No	$38	75.0¢	Ganó
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	$66	66.0¢	Perdió

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Ganó
No$211 @ 84.6¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Ganó
No$147 @ 89.4¢
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Perdió
Yes$75 @ 75.0¢
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?Perdió
No$95 @ 63.5¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Ganó
No$207 @ 69.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Ganó
No$445 @ 89.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Perdió
No$5 @ 5.2¢
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Ganó
No$38 @ 89.9¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$345 @ 86.3¢
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?Ganó
No$0 @ 50.0¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Ganó
No$174 @ 87.0¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?Ganó
No$13 @ 67.0¢
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?Ganó
Yes$37 @ 74.0¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 23?Perdió
No$11 @ 1.2¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 10.0¢
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Ganó
Yes$83 @ 83.0¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 27?Perdió
No$1 @ 0.6¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Ganó
No$460 @ 75.5¢
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Ganó
Yes$91 @ 86.5¢
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Ganó
No$122 @ 61.1¢
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Perdió
Yes$44 @ 22.0¢
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?Ganó
No$146 @ 73.0¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 2?Ganó
Yes$50 @ 82.0¢
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Ganó
No$382 @ 85.0¢
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Perdió
No$33 @ 11.0¢
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?Ganó
No$99 @ 90.0¢
Iran leadership change by May 31?Ganó
No$402 @ 85.5¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Perdió
No$398 @ 79.5¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 10?Perdió
No$27 @ 10.8¢
US strike on Mexico by January 31?Ganó
No$134 @ 89.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 29?Perdió
No$1 @ 0.9¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Ganó
No$428 @ 81.2¢
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Ganó
Yes$239 @ 85.3¢
Will Zaccaria Pinball win VR Game of the Year at the 2025 Steam Awards?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?Perdió
Yes$75 @ 81.0¢
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Ganó
Yes$81 @ 81.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?Ganó
No$45 @ 89.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Ganó
No$108 @ 72.0¢
Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in January?Ganó
No$37 @ 78.2¢
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$28 @ 78.8¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 9?Ganó
No$22 @ 58.9¢
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?Perdió
No$82 @ 22.3¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?Perdió
Yes$336 @ 84.0¢
Government shutdown on Saturday?Perdió
Yes$90 @ 17.9¢
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Perdió
No$32 @ 65.0¢
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Ganó
Yes$58 @ 83.0¢
US strike on Mexico by March 31?Ganó
No$113 @ 75.0¢
Will MrBeast hit 470 Million subscribers by March 31?Ganó
Yes$158 @ 88.0¢
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Monday?Ganó
No$38 @ 75.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Perdió
Yes$66 @ 66.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$770	50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	No	$770	50.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Geopolítica	Yes	$504	84.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$480	87.2¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$465	93.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Política	No	$460	92.0¢
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?	Política	No	$252	72.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Política	Yes	$247	89.0¢
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	Política	No	$179	51.0¢

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$770 @ 50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
No$770 @ 50.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Geopolítica
Yes$504 @ 84.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
Yes$480 @ 87.2¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
Yes$465 @ 93.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolítica
No$460 @ 92.0¢
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Política
No$252 @ 72.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Política
Yes$247 @ 89.0¢
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Política
No$179 @ 51.0¢