0x4ebb…525f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4ebb04b6cb81590cd06284144b2f482f38ea525f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+7.6pp

ROI

+17%

Tasa de acierto

78% @ 70.0¢

Brier

0.146

Resueltas

513

Tamaño med.

$68

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	76% (90/119)	+17%	119
Deportes	80% (55/69)	+15%	69
Política	79% (44/56)	+18%	56
Geopolítica	73% (11/15)	+18%	15
Cripto	100% (9/9)	+8%	9
Tecnología	75% (3/4)	+14%	4
Economía	100% (4/4)	+48%	4

Other119 apuestas
Tasa acierto
76% (90/119)
ROI
+17%
Deportes69 apuestas
Tasa acierto
80% (55/69)
ROI
+15%
Política56 apuestas
Tasa acierto
79% (44/56)
ROI
+18%
Geopolítica15 apuestas
Tasa acierto
73% (11/15)
ROI
+18%
Cripto9 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (9/9)
ROI
+8%
Tecnología4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
75% (3/4)
ROI
+14%
Economía4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (4/4)
ROI
+48%

Historial

78% acierto · 216/276

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	$5	94.0¢	Perdió
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	Yes	$5	93.0¢	Ganó
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 18?	Yes	$5	91.0¢	Ganó
Will Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?	No	$5	90.3¢	Ganó
Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?	Yes	$5	91.0¢	Perdió
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	$5	93.0¢	Ganó
Stephen F. Austin vs. Nicholls State	Stephen F. Austin	$5	93.0¢	Ganó
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	$5	94.0¢	Ganó
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 17?	Yes	$5	93.7¢	Ganó
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?	Yes	$5	92.0¢	Ganó
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	Yes	$5	92.0¢	Ganó
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 16?	Yes	$5	94.9¢	Ganó
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 16?	Yes	$5	91.0¢	Ganó
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16?	Yes	$5	91.0¢	Ganó
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026?	No	$5	95.0¢	Ganó
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	No	$5	92.0¢	Ganó
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?	No	$5	93.0¢	Ganó
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 15?	No	$5	91.0¢	Ganó
Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-08-10?	No	$5	93.0¢	Ganó
Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-14?	No	$5	91.0¢	Ganó
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 14?	No	$5	95.0¢	Ganó
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September?	No	$5	92.6¢	Ganó
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?	No	$5	92.9¢	Ganó
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?	No	$5	95.0¢	Ganó
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	$5	91.0¢	Perdió
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	$5	94.0¢	Ganó
Tiburon: Darwin Blanch vs Bryce Nakashima	Darwin Blanch	$5	80.0¢	Ganó
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	$101	72.0¢	Ganó
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$101	69.8¢	Perdió
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	No	$202	62.0¢	Ganó
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	$20	76.0¢	Ganó
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$302	86.0¢	Ganó
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	$20	81.0¢	Ganó
Korea Open: Alina Korneeva vs Darya Astakhova	Alina Korneeva	$5	82.0¢	Ganó
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$251	72.5¢	Ganó
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$610	76.0¢	Ganó
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	Yes	$5	70.0¢	Ganó
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?	Yes	$100	76.0¢	Ganó
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	No	$101	68.0¢	Ganó
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$200	69.5¢	Perdió
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	No	$302	85.0¢	Ganó
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	No	$110	75.9¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	$102	70.0¢	Ganó
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$152	86.0¢	Ganó
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds	Yes	$103	52.0¢	Ganó
Tolentino: Federica Urgesi vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Federica Urgesi	$5	80.0¢	Perdió
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	$5	66.0¢	Ganó
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	$10	58.0¢	Ganó
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	No	$100	42.0¢	Perdió
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$298	76.0¢	Ganó

Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 94.0¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 93.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 18?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 91.0¢
Will Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?Ganó
No$5 @ 90.3¢
Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 91.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Ganó
No$5 @ 93.0¢
Stephen F. Austin vs. Nicholls StateGanó
Stephen F. Austin$5 @ 93.0¢
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-17?Ganó
No$5 @ 94.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 17?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 93.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 92.0¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 92.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 16?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 94.9¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 16?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 91.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 91.0¢
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026?Ganó
No$5 @ 95.0¢
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?Ganó
No$5 @ 92.0¢
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?Ganó
No$5 @ 93.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 15?Ganó
No$5 @ 91.0¢
Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-08-10?Ganó
No$5 @ 93.0¢
Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-14?Ganó
No$5 @ 91.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 14?Ganó
No$5 @ 95.0¢
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September?Ganó
No$5 @ 92.6¢
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?Ganó
No$5 @ 92.9¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?Ganó
No$5 @ 95.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 91.0¢
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 94.0¢
Tiburon: Darwin Blanch vs Bryce NakashimaGanó
Darwin Blanch$5 @ 80.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Ganó
No$101 @ 72.0¢
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$101 @ 69.8¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Ganó
No$202 @ 62.0¢
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Ganó
No$20 @ 76.0¢
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Ganó
Yes$302 @ 86.0¢
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Ganó
No$20 @ 81.0¢
Korea Open: Alina Korneeva vs Darya AstakhovaGanó
Alina Korneeva$5 @ 82.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
No$251 @ 72.5¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Ganó
No$610 @ 76.0¢
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 70.0¢
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?Ganó
Yes$100 @ 76.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Ganó
No$101 @ 68.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Perdió
No$200 @ 69.5¢
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?Ganó
No$302 @ 85.0¢
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?Ganó
No$110 @ 75.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Ganó
No$102 @ 70.0¢
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
Yes$152 @ 86.0¢
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati RedsGanó
Yes$103 @ 52.0¢
Tolentino: Federica Urgesi vs Oksana SelekhmetevaPerdió
Federica Urgesi$5 @ 80.0¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 66.0¢
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Ganó
No$10 @ 58.0¢
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Perdió
No$100 @ 42.0¢
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
Yes$298 @ 76.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Política	No	$298	82.0¢
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Política	Yes	$207	29.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?	—	Yes	$192	71.9¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?	—	Yes	$101	40.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?	—	No	$101	44.0¢
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$100	69.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?	—	No	$100	49.0¢
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	No	$100	73.0¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?	—	No	$100	65.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	—	No	$100	74.0¢
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Deportes	No	$100	42.0¢
Vancouver: Keegan Rice vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	—	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	$99	72.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	—	No	$99	64.0¢
San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado	—	Daniel Rincon	$99	57.0¢
Zug: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Alvaro Guillen Meza	—	Buvaysar Gadamauri	$99	47.0¢
Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche	—	Dusan Lajovic	$99	44.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	—	No	$94	50.6¢
Bunschoten: Andres Santamarta vs Max Schoenhaus	—	Andres Santamarta	$70	40.0¢
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys	—	Alexander Bublik	$38	65.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	—	Yes	$5	70.0¢
National Bank Open: Solana Sierra vs Sloane Stephens	—	Solana Sierra	$5	60.0¢
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Política	No	$5	19.0¢
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?	—	No	$2	36.0¢
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	—	No	$1	64.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$0	73.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Geopolítica	No	$0	62.0¢
Hamburg: Cezar Cretu vs Marvin Moeller	—	Cezar Cretu	$0	0.0¢

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Política
No$298 @ 82.0¢
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Política
Yes$207 @ 29.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?—
Yes$192 @ 71.9¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?—
Yes$101 @ 40.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?—
No$101 @ 44.0¢
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$100 @ 69.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?—
No$100 @ 49.0¢
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
No$100 @ 73.0¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?—
No$100 @ 65.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?—
No$100 @ 74.0¢
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Deportes
No$100 @ 42.0¢
Vancouver: Keegan Rice vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz—
Pablo Llamas Ruiz$99 @ 72.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?—
No$99 @ 64.0¢
San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado—
Daniel Rincon$99 @ 57.0¢
Zug: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Alvaro Guillen Meza—
Buvaysar Gadamauri$99 @ 47.0¢
Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche—
Dusan Lajovic$99 @ 44.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?—
No$94 @ 50.6¢
Bunschoten: Andres Santamarta vs Max Schoenhaus—
Andres Santamarta$70 @ 40.0¢
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys—
Alexander Bublik$38 @ 65.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?—
Yes$5 @ 70.0¢
National Bank Open: Solana Sierra vs Sloane Stephens—
Solana Sierra$5 @ 60.0¢
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Política
No$5 @ 19.0¢
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?—
No$2 @ 36.0¢
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?—
No$1 @ 64.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Política
Yes$0 @ 73.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Geopolítica
No$0 @ 62.0¢
Hamburg: Cezar Cretu vs Marvin Moeller—
Cezar Cretu$0 @ 0.0¢