0x4d78…4cc1

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4d787c8666bbda53c63e7ba40e3974c822e14cc1
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+14.0pp

ROI

+11%

Tasa de acierto

65% @ 51.1¢

Brier

0.131

Resueltas

709

Tamaño med.

$250

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	64% (28/44)	+2%	44
Deportes	49% (17/35)	+14%	35
Política	64% (7/11)	+13%	11
Tecnología	100% (1/1)	+122%	1
Geopolítica	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other44 apuestas
Tasa acierto
64% (28/44)
ROI
+2%
Deportes35 apuestas
Tasa acierto
49% (17/35)
ROI
+14%
Política11 apuestas
Tasa acierto
64% (7/11)
ROI
+13%
Tecnología1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+122%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

58% acierto · 53/92

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	No	$5.5k	58.1¢	Perdió
Will MOUZ Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	No	$6.4k	67.0¢	Ganó
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	$4.8k	76.0¢	Ganó
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$817	24.8¢	Perdió
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	Vitality	$6.7k	71.0¢	Ganó
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$7.1k	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$637	15.9¢	Perdió
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	$131	51.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$248	31.0¢	Perdió
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	No	$4.6k	84.0¢	Ganó
Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	$51	51.0¢	Ganó
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$130	65.0¢	Ganó
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	M80	$58	14.0¢	Perdió
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$196	4.9¢	Perdió
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	$466	9.2¢	Perdió
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	$6	89.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$174	87.0¢	Ganó
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	$4	11.0¢	Perdió
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$5.4k	89.7¢	Ganó
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$234	5.9¢	Perdió
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance	Canada	$13	66.0¢	Ganó
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	$2.0k	43.1¢	Ganó
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.2k	2.1¢	Perdió
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$825	15.0¢	Perdió
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.7k	66.1¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$236	59.0¢	Perdió
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$13.2k	20.7¢	Perdió
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$821	44.0¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	$345	86.2¢	Perdió
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance	Portugal	$1.3k	34.0¢	Perdió
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	Yes	$1.1k	40.0¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	$408	81.7¢	Ganó
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$306	45.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	$15	0.8¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	$657	73.0¢	Ganó
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$322	8.1¢	Perdió
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	$4.0k	83.5¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$780	60.0¢	Ganó
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$450	45.0¢	Ganó
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	$5.0k	48.0¢	Ganó
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$70	0.3¢	Perdió
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$554	39.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$10	51.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$270	45.0¢	Perdió
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	No	$5	1.7¢	Perdió
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	Argentina	$10.7k	45.1¢	Ganó
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$523	13.0¢	Ganó
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance	Spain	$5.0k	74.8¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	$827	60.4¢	Ganó
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$333	49.0¢	Ganó

Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?Perdió
No$5.5k @ 58.1¢
Will MOUZ Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?Ganó
No$6.4k @ 67.0¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsGanó
Vitality$4.8k @ 76.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvancePerdió
Switzerland$817 @ 24.8¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsGanó
Vitality$6.7k @ 71.0¢
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Ganó
No$7.1k @ 89.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$637 @ 15.9¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Ganó
No$131 @ 51.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$248 @ 31.0¢
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?Ganó
No$4.6k @ 84.0¢
Golden Knights vs. DucksGanó
Golden Knights$51 @ 51.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Ganó
Yes$130 @ 65.0¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StagePerdió
M80$58 @ 14.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$196 @ 4.9¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?Perdió
Yes$466 @ 9.2¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?Ganó
No$6 @ 89.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Ganó
No$174 @ 87.0¢
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?Perdió
No$4 @ 11.0¢
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Ganó
No$5.4k @ 89.7¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$234 @ 5.9¢
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to AdvanceGanó
Canada$13 @ 66.0¢
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Ganó
Yes$2.0k @ 43.1¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$1.2k @ 2.1¢
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
No$825 @ 15.0¢
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
Yes$1.7k @ 66.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Perdió
Yes$236 @ 59.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$13.2k @ 20.7¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Ganó
Yes$821 @ 44.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Perdió
No$345 @ 86.2¢
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvancePerdió
Portugal$1.3k @ 34.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?Ganó
Yes$1.1k @ 40.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Ganó
No$408 @ 81.7¢
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$306 @ 45.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Perdió
No$15 @ 0.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Ganó
Yes$657 @ 73.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$322 @ 8.1¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsGanó
Vitality$4.0k @ 83.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$780 @ 60.0¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ganó
Yes$450 @ 45.0¢
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?Ganó
No$5.0k @ 48.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Perdió
No$70 @ 0.3¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceGanó
Switzerland$554 @ 39.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 51.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$270 @ 45.0¢
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?Perdió
No$5 @ 1.7¢
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceGanó
Argentina$10.7k @ 45.1¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
Yes$523 @ 13.0¢
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceGanó
Spain$5.0k @ 74.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Ganó
Yes$827 @ 60.4¢
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
Yes$333 @ 49.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will MOUZ Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	Deportes	No	$6.4k	67.0¢
Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	Deportes	No	$5.5k	58.1¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Deportes	No	$410	55.0¢

Will MOUZ Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?Deportes
No$6.4k @ 67.0¢
Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?Deportes
No$5.5k @ 58.1¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Deportes
No$410 @ 55.0¢