0x4c86…6993

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4c86cdfff0fcff0f6b56a9ddb9f805b4b28f6993
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+2.8pp

ROI

+6%

Tasa de acierto

49% @ 46.3¢

Brier

0.097

Resueltas

1663

Tamaño med.

$105

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	40% (80/199)	+3%	199
Deportes	29% (41/141)	+12%	141
Política	50% (2/4)	+1%	4

Other199 apuestas
Tasa acierto
40% (80/199)
ROI
+3%
Deportes141 apuestas
Tasa acierto
29% (41/141)
ROI
+12%
Política4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (2/4)
ROI
+1%

Historial

36% acierto · 123/344

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	$21	3.1¢	Perdió
Will South Africa win?	No	$440	97.8¢	Ganó
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?	No	$880	88.0¢	Perdió
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?	Yes	$4	4.0¢	Perdió
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	No	$1.5k	31.0¢	Perdió
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$670	67.0¢	Ganó
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	$8	1.6¢	Perdió
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5	Over	$19	75.1¢	Perdió
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$133	5.0¢	Perdió
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?	No	$82	27.3¢	Perdió
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	No	$258	25.8¢	Ganó
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	$385	77.0¢	Ganó
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$610	61.0¢	Ganó
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia?	No	$6.8k	85.0¢	Ganó
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals	Yes	$24	3.9¢	Perdió
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	No	$2.0k	34.0¢	Perdió
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals	Yes	$41	2.9¢	Perdió
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverry	Tomas Etcheverry	$8	3.2¢	Perdió
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5	Over	$1.0k	46.6¢	Perdió
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	$83	20.0¢	Perdió
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$8	0.8¢	Perdió
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	No	$770	25.7¢	Perdió
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	No	$500	10.0¢	Perdió
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 1 Algeria?	No	$592	49.1¢	Ganó
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?	No	$14	51.0¢	Ganó
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?	No	$840	84.0¢	Ganó
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 3 Algeria?	Yes	$1	7.4¢	Perdió
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5	Over	$30	8.8¢	Perdió
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	No	$207	6.9¢	Perdió
Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 2 United States?	No	$3.6k	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	No	$50	2.5¢	Perdió
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	$100	5.0¢	Perdió
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao?	No	$2.2k	73.7¢	Ganó
France vs. England: O/U 0.5	Under	$317	3.9¢	Perdió
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Perdió
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Australia?	No	$890	89.0¢	Ganó
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosa	Paula Badosa	$205	38.5¢	Perdió
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	0.4¢	Perdió
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	No	$614	59.0¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?	Yes	$70	16.3¢	Perdió
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$13	9.9¢	Ganó
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Austria?	No	$890	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?	No	$1.6k	73.0¢	Perdió
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	No	$1.9k	47.0¢	Ganó
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 England?	Yes	$110	1.1¢	Perdió
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$2.6k	42.0¢	Perdió
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$311	22.6¢	Perdió
Will New Zealand win?	No	$51	65.0¢	Perdió
Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 2 Mexico?	No	$345	36.3¢	Ganó
Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 0 Egypt?	No	$15	88.6¢	Ganó

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Perdió
Yes$21 @ 3.1¢
Will South Africa win?Ganó
No$440 @ 97.8¢
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?Perdió
No$880 @ 88.0¢
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 4.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Perdió
No$1.5k @ 31.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Ganó
Yes$670 @ 67.0¢
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 1.6¢
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Perdió
Over$19 @ 75.1¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Perdió
Yes$133 @ 5.0¢
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?Perdió
No$82 @ 27.3¢
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?Ganó
No$258 @ 25.8¢
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?Ganó
No$385 @ 77.0¢
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?Ganó
Yes$610 @ 61.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia?Ganó
No$6.8k @ 85.0¢
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsPerdió
Yes$24 @ 3.9¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Perdió
No$2.0k @ 34.0¢
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsPerdió
Yes$41 @ 2.9¢
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas EtcheverryPerdió
Tomas Etcheverry$8 @ 3.2¢
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Perdió
Over$1.0k @ 46.6¢
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?Perdió
Yes$83 @ 20.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 0.8¢
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Perdió
No$770 @ 25.7¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Perdió
No$500 @ 10.0¢
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 1 Algeria?Ganó
No$592 @ 49.1¢
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?Ganó
No$14 @ 51.0¢
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?Ganó
No$840 @ 84.0¢
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 3 Algeria?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 7.4¢
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5Perdió
Over$30 @ 8.8¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Perdió
No$207 @ 6.9¢
Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 2 United States?Ganó
No$3.6k @ 89.0¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?Perdió
No$50 @ 2.5¢
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco?Perdió
Yes$100 @ 5.0¢
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao?Ganó
No$2.2k @ 73.7¢
France vs. England: O/U 0.5Perdió
Under$317 @ 3.9¢
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Australia?Ganó
No$890 @ 89.0¢
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula BadosaPerdió
Paula Badosa$205 @ 38.5¢
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 0.4¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?Perdió
No$614 @ 59.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Perdió
Yes$70 @ 16.3¢
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
No$13 @ 9.9¢
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Austria?Ganó
No$890 @ 89.0¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?Perdió
No$1.6k @ 73.0¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Ganó
No$1.9k @ 47.0¢
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 England?Perdió
Yes$110 @ 1.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
No$2.6k @ 42.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Perdió
No$311 @ 22.6¢
Will New Zealand win?Perdió
No$51 @ 65.0¢
Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 2 Mexico?Ganó
No$345 @ 36.3¢
Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 0 Egypt?Ganó
No$15 @ 88.6¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	Política	No	$626	99.5¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Deportes	Yes	$274	29.7¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	No	$100	50.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	No	$51	50.7¢
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?	Política	No	$6	97.8¢
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$0	0.0¢

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?Política
No$626 @ 99.5¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Deportes
Yes$274 @ 29.7¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
No$100 @ 50.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
No$51 @ 50.7¢
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?Política
No$6 @ 97.8¢
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢