0x4bc1…80c1

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4bc1570472463b5a2c1be9e2ecca0a55598580c1
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Rentable

Ventaja

+14.5pp

ROI

+48%

Tasa de acierto

40% @ 25.1¢

Brier

0.216

Resueltas

106

Tamaño med.

$52

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	15% (5/34)	-76%	34
Deportes	26% (7/27)	-95%	27
Economía	100% (2/2)	+335%	2
Política	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Cripto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other34 apuestas
Tasa acierto
15% (5/34)
ROI
-76%
Deportes27 apuestas
Tasa acierto
26% (7/27)
ROI
-95%
Economía2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (2/2)
ROI
+335%
Política1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Cripto1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

22% acierto · 14/65

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	$23	14.0¢	Perdió
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	$5	4.1¢	Perdió
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	$13	6.0¢	Perdió
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	$1	0.1¢	Perdió
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	$10	5.4¢	Perdió
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)	Argentina	$14	7.7¢	Perdió
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	$27	5.8¢	Perdió
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	$2	1.0¢	Perdió
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	$1	0.1¢	Perdió
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	$6	0.6¢	Perdió
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	$5	75.0¢	Perdió
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	$9	0.9¢	Perdió
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	$4	19.6¢	Perdió
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	$5	23.0¢	Perdió
Spread: Spain (-3.5)	Spain	$14	10.0¢	Perdió
Will Salzburg win the FIFA Club World Cup?	Yes	$5	0.8¢	Perdió
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$507	20.9¢	Perdió
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$960	19.1¢	Perdió
Pacers vs. Thunder	Pacers	$10	33.5¢	Perdió
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Perdió
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	No	$2	29.0¢	Perdió
Will Bayern Munich win the FIFA Club World Cup?	Yes	$119	13.9¢	Perdió
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$45	6.0¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$771	0.4¢	Perdió
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$42	1.6¢	Perdió
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$10	44.0¢	Perdió
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$2	46.0¢	Ganó
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$349	9.4¢	Perdió
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 6.5	Over	$1	3.0¢	Perdió
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	$1	14.0¢	Ganó
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$4	0.7¢	Perdió
Will Fluminense win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?	Yes	$33	34.0¢	Perdió
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1.3k	20.4¢	Ganó
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	$528	33.5¢	Ganó
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$2	21.0¢	Perdió
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$12	17.2¢	Perdió
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$2	18.0¢	Perdió
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	No	$9	24.0¢	Perdió
Will Botafogo RJ win the FIFA Club World Cup?	Yes	$60	2.8¢	Perdió
Will Real Madrid win Group H at the FIFA Club World Cup?	No	$25	57.3¢	Perdió
Will "I'm Still Here" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?	Yes	$17	1.4¢	Perdió
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$96	12.7¢	Perdió
Will Boca Juniors win Group C at the FIFA Club World Cup?	Yes	$5	8.9¢	Perdió
Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup?	Yes	$10	3.2¢	Perdió
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$18	52.8¢	Perdió
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)	Argentina	$5	28.0¢	Ganó
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Ganó
Will Man City win the FIFA Club World Cup?	Yes	$20	17.0¢	Perdió
Will Botafogo win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?	Yes	$30	46.3¢	Perdió
Will Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup?	Yes	$8	4.2¢	Perdió

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETPerdió
Up$23 @ 14.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETPerdió
Down$5 @ 4.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETPerdió
Down$13 @ 6.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETPerdió
Up$1 @ 0.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETPerdió
Up$10 @ 5.4¢
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Perdió
Argentina$14 @ 7.7¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETPerdió
Up$27 @ 5.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETPerdió
Down$2 @ 1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETPerdió
Down$1 @ 0.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETPerdió
Up$6 @ 0.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETPerdió
Up$5 @ 75.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETPerdió
Up$9 @ 0.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETPerdió
Up$4 @ 19.6¢
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 23.0¢
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Perdió
Spain$14 @ 10.0¢
Will Salzburg win the FIFA Club World Cup?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 0.8¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$507 @ 20.9¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$960 @ 19.1¢
Pacers vs. ThunderPerdió
Pacers$10 @ 33.5¢
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Perdió
No$2 @ 29.0¢
Will Bayern Munich win the FIFA Club World Cup?Perdió
Yes$119 @ 13.9¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$45 @ 6.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$771 @ 0.4¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$42 @ 1.6¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 44.0¢
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreGanó
Yes$2 @ 46.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$349 @ 9.4¢
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 6.5Perdió
Over$1 @ 3.0¢
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 14.0¢
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 0.7¢
Will Fluminense win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?Perdió
Yes$33 @ 34.0¢
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$1.3k @ 20.4¢
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ganó
No$528 @ 33.5¢
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 21.0¢
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?Perdió
Yes$12 @ 17.2¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 18.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-01?Perdió
No$9 @ 24.0¢
Will Botafogo RJ win the FIFA Club World Cup?Perdió
Yes$60 @ 2.8¢
Will Real Madrid win Group H at the FIFA Club World Cup?Perdió
No$25 @ 57.3¢
Will "I'm Still Here" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?Perdió
Yes$17 @ 1.4¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$96 @ 12.7¢
Will Boca Juniors win Group C at the FIFA Club World Cup?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 8.9¢
Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 3.2¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Perdió
Yes$18 @ 52.8¢
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Ganó
Argentina$5 @ 28.0¢
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Will Man City win the FIFA Club World Cup?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 17.0¢
Will Botafogo win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?Perdió
Yes$30 @ 46.3¢
Will Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 4.2¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$959	19.1¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$740	0.4¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	Deportes	Yes	$250	37.0¢
Will Colette Kress be the next CEO of NVIDIA?	Negocios	Yes	$242	30.3¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$205	20.5¢
Will Bayern Munich win the FIFA Club World Cup?	—	Yes	$119	13.9¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$93	12.7¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$41	1.6¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$36	6.1¢
Will Botafogo win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?	—	Yes	$30	46.3¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	—	Up	$27	5.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	—	Up	$23	14.0¢
Will Fernanda Torres win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?	—	Yes	$20	10.2¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Deportes	Yes	$18	52.8¢
Will "I'm Still Here" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?	—	Yes	$17	1.4¢
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)	Deportes	Argentina	$14	7.7¢
Spread: Spain (-3.5)	Deportes	Spain	$14	10.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	—	Down	$13	6.0¢
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Deportes	Yes	$12	17.2¢
Will Rafael Fonteles be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance?	Política	Yes	$12	12.0¢
Pacers vs. Thunder	—	Pacers	$10	33.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	—	Up	$10	5.4¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	—	Up	$9	0.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	—	Up	$6	0.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	—	Up	$5	75.0¢
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	—	Yes	$5	23.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	—	Down	$5	4.1¢
Will Boca Juniors win Group C at the FIFA Club World Cup?	—	Yes	$5	8.9¢
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$4	0.7¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	—	Up	$4	19.6¢

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
Yes$959 @ 19.1¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$740 @ 0.4¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?Deportes
Yes$250 @ 37.0¢
Will Colette Kress be the next CEO of NVIDIA?Negocios
Yes$242 @ 30.3¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$205 @ 20.5¢
Will Bayern Munich win the FIFA Club World Cup?—
Yes$119 @ 13.9¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$93 @ 12.7¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$41 @ 1.6¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$36 @ 6.1¢
Will Botafogo win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?—
Yes$30 @ 46.3¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET—
Up$27 @ 5.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET—
Up$23 @ 14.0¢
Will Fernanda Torres win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?—
Yes$20 @ 10.2¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Deportes
Yes$18 @ 52.8¢
Will "I'm Still Here" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?—
Yes$17 @ 1.4¢
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Deportes
Argentina$14 @ 7.7¢
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Deportes
Spain$14 @ 10.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET—
Down$13 @ 6.0¢
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?Deportes
Yes$12 @ 17.2¢
Will Rafael Fonteles be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance?Política
Yes$12 @ 12.0¢
Pacers vs. Thunder—
Pacers$10 @ 33.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET—
Up$10 @ 5.4¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET—
Up$9 @ 0.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET—
Up$6 @ 0.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET—
Up$5 @ 75.0¢
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?—
Yes$5 @ 23.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET—
Down$5 @ 4.1¢
Will Boca Juniors win Group C at the FIFA Club World Cup?—
Yes$5 @ 8.9¢
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$4 @ 0.7¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET—
Up$4 @ 19.6¢