0x4b8c…9e5d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4b8c8f25a0ab91aa2bffe45de975f16fde2f9e5d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+1.9pp

ROI

+42%

Tasa de acierto

11% @ 9.2¢

Brier

0.075

Resueltas

4340

Tamaño med.

$13

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	13% (23/178)	+134%	178
Política	18% (13/72)	-65%	72
Cripto	5% (2/43)	-90%	43
Tecnología	21% (4/19)	-35%	19
Geopolítica	21% (3/14)	-57%	14
Deportes	0% (0/11)	-100%	11
Economía	50% (1/2)	+76%	2

Other178 apuestas
Tasa acierto
13% (23/178)
ROI
+134%
Política72 apuestas
Tasa acierto
18% (13/72)
ROI
-65%
Cripto43 apuestas
Tasa acierto
5% (2/43)
ROI
-90%
Tecnología19 apuestas
Tasa acierto
21% (4/19)
ROI
-35%
Geopolítica14 apuestas
Tasa acierto
21% (3/14)
ROI
-57%
Deportes11 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/11)
ROI
-100%
Economía2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
+76%

Historial

14% acierto · 46/339

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?	Yes	$2	18.3¢	Perdió
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 12?	Yes	$54	3.1¢	Perdió
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 16?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Perdió
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?	Yes	$378	3.7¢	Perdió
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18?	Yes	$13	10.0¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	Yes	$103	14.1¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?	Yes	$190	8.4¢	Perdió
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 15?	Yes	$12	0.1¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	$53	15.0¢	Perdió
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 15?	Yes	$9	1.0¢	Perdió
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 17?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?	No	$27	0.7¢	Perdió
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 14?	Yes	$28	4.0¢	Perdió
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	Yes	$8	3.6¢	Perdió
Will USA be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	$7	14.5¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$79	78.7¢	Perdió
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	No	$89	89.0¢	Ganó
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 21?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Perdió
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?	No	$2	2.5¢	Perdió
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	Yes	$4	1.7¢	Perdió
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 16?	Yes	$64	0.2¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	$45	0.6¢	Perdió
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?	No	$1.1k	6.5¢	Perdió
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$512	43.0¢	Ganó
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?	Yes	$12	0.2¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	$150	68.4¢	Ganó
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 19?	Yes	$241	1.3¢	Perdió
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	$33	0.7¢	Perdió
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$761	5.8¢	Perdió
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 3?	Yes	$2	1.5¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?	Yes	$275	50.3¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$1.6k	61.2¢	Ganó
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$22	22.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?	Yes	$635	0.7¢	Perdió
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?	Yes	$10	2.4¢	Perdió
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?	Yes	$95	46.7¢	Perdió
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	$91	6.4¢	Perdió
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	Yes	$2	13.6¢	Perdió
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$69	31.0¢	Perdió
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$22	22.0¢	Ganó
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 12?	Yes	$21	5.0¢	Perdió
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	No	$452	0.6¢	Perdió
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	Yes	$6	0.1¢	Perdió
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 15?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Perdió
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?	Yes	$173	54.3¢	Perdió
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	$894	59.1¢	Ganó
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	$355	3.9¢	Perdió
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	$343	16.9¢	Perdió
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?	Yes	$42	8.2¢	Perdió
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on April 21?	Yes	$16	8.0¢	Perdió

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 18.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 12?Perdió
Yes$54 @ 3.1¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 16?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?Perdió
Yes$378 @ 3.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18?Perdió
Yes$13 @ 10.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?Perdió
Yes$103 @ 14.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Perdió
Yes$190 @ 8.4¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 15?Perdió
Yes$12 @ 0.1¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Perdió
Yes$53 @ 15.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 15?Perdió
Yes$9 @ 1.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 17?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?Perdió
No$27 @ 0.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 14?Perdió
Yes$28 @ 4.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 3.6¢
Will USA be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 14.5¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Perdió
Yes$79 @ 78.7¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Ganó
No$89 @ 89.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 21?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?Perdió
No$2 @ 2.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 1.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 16?Perdió
Yes$64 @ 0.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?Perdió
Yes$45 @ 0.6¢
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?Perdió
No$1.1k @ 6.5¢
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Ganó
Yes$512 @ 43.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?Perdió
Yes$12 @ 0.2¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Ganó
No$150 @ 68.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 19?Perdió
Yes$241 @ 1.3¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Perdió
Yes$33 @ 0.7¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Perdió
Yes$761 @ 5.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 3?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 1.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?Perdió
Yes$275 @ 50.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Ganó
No$1.6k @ 61.2¢
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?Ganó
Yes$22 @ 22.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Perdió
Yes$635 @ 0.7¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 2.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?Perdió
Yes$95 @ 46.7¢
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?Perdió
Yes$91 @ 6.4¢
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 13.6¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Perdió
Yes$69 @ 31.0¢
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$22 @ 22.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 12?Perdió
Yes$21 @ 5.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Perdió
No$452 @ 0.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 15?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Perdió
Yes$173 @ 54.3¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Ganó
No$894 @ 59.1¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Perdió
Yes$355 @ 3.9¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Perdió
Yes$343 @ 16.9¢
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?Perdió
Yes$42 @ 8.2¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on April 21?Perdió
Yes$16 @ 8.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$95	1.4¢
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$71	0.8¢
Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	Cripto	Yes	$64	1.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in September?	Other	Yes	$27	1.2¢
Will XRP reach $2.00 in September?	Cripto	Yes	$24	3.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in September?	Other	Yes	$23	1.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Cripto	Yes	$19	3.5¢
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$15	0.3¢
Solana all time high by September 30, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$13	1.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on October 1?	Cripto	Yes	$12	1.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?	Cripto	Yes	$11	3.2¢
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Economía	Yes	$10	1.0¢
Will XRP reach $2.80 in September?	Cripto	Yes	$7	1.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on October 5?	Cripto	Yes	$7	1.3¢
Will XRP reach $2.60 in September?	Cripto	Yes	$7	1.3¢
Will there be 30 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?	Geopolítica	Yes	$5	1.0¢
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economía	Yes	$5	0.2¢
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?	Política	Yes	$4	5.0¢
Will XRP reach $2.20 in September?	Cripto	Yes	$2	2.4¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 5?	Cripto	No	$2	2.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on October 4?	Cripto	Yes	$2	1.0¢
Will XRP reach $2.40 in September?	Cripto	Yes	$1	1.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$0	16.0¢
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	Economía	Yes	$0	7.0¢
NATO article 5 before 2027?	Política	Yes	$0	7.1¢
Solana all time high by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$0	4.4¢

XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?Cripto
Yes$95 @ 1.4¢
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?Cripto
Yes$71 @ 0.8¢
Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?Cripto
Yes$64 @ 1.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in September?Other
Yes$27 @ 1.2¢
Will XRP reach $2.00 in September?Cripto
Yes$24 @ 3.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in September?Other
Yes$23 @ 1.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?Cripto
Yes$19 @ 3.5¢
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?Cripto
Yes$15 @ 0.3¢
Solana all time high by September 30, 2026?Cripto
Yes$13 @ 1.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on October 1?Cripto
Yes$12 @ 1.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?Cripto
Yes$11 @ 3.2¢
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Economía
Yes$10 @ 1.0¢
Will XRP reach $2.80 in September?Cripto
Yes$7 @ 1.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on October 5?Cripto
Yes$7 @ 1.3¢
Will XRP reach $2.60 in September?Cripto
Yes$7 @ 1.3¢
Will there be 30 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Geopolítica
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economía
Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Política
Yes$4 @ 5.0¢
Will XRP reach $2.20 in September?Cripto
Yes$2 @ 2.4¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 5?Cripto
No$2 @ 2.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on October 4?Cripto
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Will XRP reach $2.40 in September?Cripto
Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Política
Yes$0 @ 16.0¢
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Economía
Yes$0 @ 7.0¢
NATO article 5 before 2027?Política
Yes$0 @ 7.1¢
Solana all time high by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$0 @ 4.4¢