0x49b6…170c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x49b60d2cda22653ddc8b6ef21bad6d012a7f170c
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+1.9pp

ROI

+6%

Tasa de acierto

40% @ 38.4¢

Brier

0.172

Resueltas

3585

Tamaño med.

$187

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	48% (451/937)	+4%	937
Política	75% (21/28)	+48%	28
Deportes	42% (11/26)	+77%	26
Geopolítica	33% (1/3)	+9%	3
Cultura	67% (2/3)	+60%	3
Cripto	100% (1/1)	+108%	1

Other937 apuestas
Tasa acierto
48% (451/937)
ROI
+4%
Política28 apuestas
Tasa acierto
75% (21/28)
ROI
+48%
Deportes26 apuestas
Tasa acierto
42% (11/26)
ROI
+77%
Geopolítica3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (1/3)
ROI
+9%
Cultura3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (2/3)
ROI
+60%
Cripto1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+108%

Historial

49% acierto · 487/998

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Powell say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?	No	$1	12.0¢	Ganó
Will Tucker say "nuclear" 3 or more times during Lavrov interview?	Yes	$12	54.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "EU" or "European Union" during Meloni visit on April 17?	No	$17	16.1¢	Ganó
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	$1.7k	54.2¢	Ganó
Will Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$174	10.1¢	Perdió
Will Trump and JD Vance handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	$435	46.7¢	Ganó
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Harmony Tan vs Karman Thandi	Harmony Tan	$1.7k	86.0¢	Ganó
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?	No	$12	58.0¢	Ganó
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get less than 5m views on day 1?	Yes	$326	10.7¢	Perdió
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?	No	$5.5k	44.8¢	Ganó
Will "Hamas" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate?	No	$534	48.7¢	Perdió
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30?	Yes	$83	55.0¢	Ganó
Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 10?	Yes	$211	3.5¢	Perdió
Euro Finals pitch invader?	Yes	$73	31.0¢	Perdió
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30?	Yes	$1.0k	69.9¢	Ganó
Will Elliot Anderson be in England's Starting 11?	No	$17	3.5¢	Perdió
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?	Yes	$423	5.0¢	Ganó
Rolex Paris Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jannik Sinner	Cerundolo	$14	1.4¢	Perdió
Will Australia win Eurovision 2024?	Yes	$51	2.1¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?	No	$503	17.0¢	Perdió
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% in April?	No	$3	5.0¢	Ganó
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19?	No	$741	66.0¢	Ganó
Will Emiliano Martínez be in Argentina's Starting 11?	No	$34	10.7¢	Perdió
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet by August 23?	Yes	$90	9.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Egg" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?	Yes	$244	48.8¢	Perdió
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 9?	No	$282	50.9¢	Ganó
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	$977	86.6¢	Ganó
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	No	$304	7.2¢	Ganó
Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?	No	$37	23.0¢	Ganó
Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?	No	$246	66.3¢	Perdió
American aid to Israel by Dec 31?	No	$44	88.0¢	Ganó
American aid to Israel by Dec 31?	Yes	$1	69.0¢	Perdió
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$927	53.8¢	Perdió
Will Gemini generate images of people again in February?	Yes	$420	42.0¢	Perdió
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?	Yes	$848	77.4¢	Ganó
ETH above $4,000 next Friday?	Yes	$24	60.0¢	Perdió
Will Arizona be Trump's worst state on March 19?	No	$17	19.6¢	Perdió
Will PVV win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election?	Yes	$276	4.6¢	Ganó
Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?	Yes	$147	78.0¢	Ganó
Metepec: Alafia Ayeni vs Rodrigo Pacheco	Ayeni	$228	32.9¢	Perdió
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-23?	Yes	$92	46.0¢	Ganó
Will 'Emilia Pérez' win the Golden Globe for Best Musical or Comedy?	Yes	$18	44.8¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" during Australia PM events on October 20?	Yes	$578	78.6¢	Ganó
OpenAI apologizes to Scarlett Johansson by Friday?	Yes	$5	51.0¢	Ganó
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?	No	$361	9.5¢	Perdió
Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2026?	No	$123	55.0¢	Ganó
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31?	Yes	$422	34.2¢	Perdió
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17?	Yes	$297	72.5¢	Perdió
Exact Score: Levante UD 2 - 2 CA Osasuna?	Yes	$0	16.0¢	Perdió
Will The Studio win Best Television Series – Comedy or Musical at the 83rd Golden Globes?	No	$0	0.1¢	Perdió

Will Powell say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?Ganó
No$1 @ 12.0¢
Will Tucker say "nuclear" 3 or more times during Lavrov interview?Ganó
Yes$12 @ 54.0¢
Will Trump say "EU" or "European Union" during Meloni visit on April 17?Ganó
No$17 @ 16.1¢
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Ganó
Yes$1.7k @ 54.2¢
Will Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$174 @ 10.1¢
Will Trump and JD Vance handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address?Ganó
Yes$435 @ 46.7¢
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Harmony Tan vs Karman ThandiGanó
Harmony Tan$1.7k @ 86.0¢
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?Ganó
No$12 @ 58.0¢
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get less than 5m views on day 1?Perdió
Yes$326 @ 10.7¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Ganó
No$5.5k @ 44.8¢
Will "Hamas" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate?Perdió
No$534 @ 48.7¢
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30?Ganó
Yes$83 @ 55.0¢
Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 10?Perdió
Yes$211 @ 3.5¢
Euro Finals pitch invader?Perdió
Yes$73 @ 31.0¢
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30?Ganó
Yes$1.0k @ 69.9¢
Will Elliot Anderson be in England's Starting 11?Perdió
No$17 @ 3.5¢
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?Ganó
Yes$423 @ 5.0¢
Rolex Paris Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jannik SinnerPerdió
Cerundolo$14 @ 1.4¢
Will Australia win Eurovision 2024?Perdió
Yes$51 @ 2.1¢
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Perdió
No$503 @ 17.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% in April?Ganó
No$3 @ 5.0¢
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19?Ganó
No$741 @ 66.0¢
Will Emiliano Martínez be in Argentina's Starting 11?Perdió
No$34 @ 10.7¢
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet by August 23?Perdió
Yes$90 @ 9.0¢
Will Trump say "Egg" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?Perdió
Yes$244 @ 48.8¢
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 9?Ganó
No$282 @ 50.9¢
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Ganó
Yes$977 @ 86.6¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Ganó
No$304 @ 7.2¢
Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?Ganó
No$37 @ 23.0¢
Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?Perdió
No$246 @ 66.3¢
American aid to Israel by Dec 31?Ganó
No$44 @ 88.0¢
American aid to Israel by Dec 31?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 69.0¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Perdió
Yes$927 @ 53.8¢
Will Gemini generate images of people again in February?Perdió
Yes$420 @ 42.0¢
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?Ganó
Yes$848 @ 77.4¢
ETH above $4,000 next Friday?Perdió
Yes$24 @ 60.0¢
Will Arizona be Trump's worst state on March 19?Perdió
No$17 @ 19.6¢
Will PVV win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election?Ganó
Yes$276 @ 4.6¢
Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?Ganó
Yes$147 @ 78.0¢
Metepec: Alafia Ayeni vs Rodrigo PachecoPerdió
Ayeni$228 @ 32.9¢
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-23?Ganó
Yes$92 @ 46.0¢
Will 'Emilia Pérez' win the Golden Globe for Best Musical or Comedy?Ganó
Yes$18 @ 44.8¢
Will Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" during Australia PM events on October 20?Ganó
Yes$578 @ 78.6¢
OpenAI apologizes to Scarlett Johansson by Friday?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 51.0¢
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?Perdió
No$361 @ 9.5¢
Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2026?Ganó
No$123 @ 55.0¢
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31?Perdió
Yes$422 @ 34.2¢
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17?Perdió
Yes$297 @ 72.5¢
Exact Score: Levante UD 2 - 2 CA Osasuna?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 16.0¢
Will The Studio win Best Television Series – Comedy or Musical at the 83rd Golden Globes?Perdió
No$0 @ 0.1¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	Cultura	Yes	$14.2k	83.8¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$8.5k	24.2¢
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?	Política	No	$6.9k	92.0¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	Cultura	No	$5.7k	92.7¢
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$5.3k	68.9¢
Government shutdown by October 1?	Política	No	$4.6k	99.0¢
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	Política	No	$4.2k	88.8¢
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Política	Yes	$4.1k	67.5¢
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Tecnología	No	$1.4k	85.1¢
Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?	Cultura	No	$770	79.6¢
Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?	Cripto	No	$616	89.0¢
Will Ireland participate in Eurovision 2027?	Cultura	No	$567	80.8¢
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?	Economía	Yes	$530	33.0¢
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?	Política	No	$509	99.0¢
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Tecnología	No	$241	95.2¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 12?	—	Yes	$145	75.8¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Deportes	Yes	$106	19.9¢
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Política	Yes	$84	9.9¢
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?	Política	No	$77	51.6¢
San Marino vs. Albania: Both Teams to Score	Deportes	No	$50	71.6¢
Will Austria participate in Eurovision 2027?	Cultura	Yes	$31	79.2¢

Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Cultura
Yes$14.2k @ 83.8¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Política
Yes$8.5k @ 24.2¢
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?Política
No$6.9k @ 92.0¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Cultura
No$5.7k @ 92.7¢
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Política
No$5.3k @ 68.9¢
Government shutdown by October 1?Política
No$4.6k @ 99.0¢
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?Política
No$4.2k @ 88.8¢
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Política
Yes$4.1k @ 67.5¢
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Tecnología
No$1.4k @ 85.1¢
Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?Cultura
No$770 @ 79.6¢
Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?Cripto
No$616 @ 89.0¢
Will Ireland participate in Eurovision 2027?Cultura
No$567 @ 80.8¢
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?Economía
Yes$530 @ 33.0¢
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?Política
No$509 @ 99.0¢
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tecnología
No$241 @ 95.2¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 12?—
Yes$145 @ 75.8¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Deportes
Yes$106 @ 19.9¢
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Política
Yes$84 @ 9.9¢
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Política
No$77 @ 51.6¢
San Marino vs. Albania: Both Teams to ScoreDeportes
No$50 @ 71.6¢
Will Austria participate in Eurovision 2027?Cultura
Yes$31 @ 79.2¢